GaWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Well, what do you know?! The model consensus is increasingly honing in on the threat of a significant snowstorm for Feb 4-5th. As of now, this threat is by far the highest in VA and NC. No rest for the weary! @buckeyefan1please pin this. Thank you. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 11 minutes ago, GaWx said: Well, what do you know?! The model consensus is increasingly honing in on the threat of a significant snowstorm for Feb 4-5th. As of now, this threat is by far the highest in VA and NC. No rest for the weary! @buckeyefan1please pin this. Thank you. nothing "significant" about this little threat. 2 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNoseHater Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADB83 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 We’re back! Looks like some warmth might be coming in behind this at least for that time between the 10th and 15 February…at least. So let’s get it while the getting is good.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 06Z EPS has 64% chance of at least a trace of snow at RDU. 18% chance of 1". 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 21 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said: nothing "significant" about this little threat. This is the SE and to me the threat of a large area of 1”+ outside the mountains is significant though it’s not currently a threat of something “major”. How many of these occur each winter on average? Not many. And it has the chance to be rather impactful. That fits my definition of “significant”. It doesn’t matter that it doesn’t have near the potential of the historic storm of this past weekend and also probably not the potential of the prior storm. In addition, this one isn’t threatening nearly as large an area (nowhere near me, for example). But it still could be significant wherever it hits if and when it does. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ObiWanKarlNobi Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 9 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said: nothing "significant" about this little threat. If we get another inch of snow, Wake County will cancel school for the rest of the week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 9 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: 06Z EPS has 64% chance of at least a trace of snow at RDU. 18% chance of 1". That’s actually a pretty big increase from 0z right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: That’s actually a pretty big increase from 0z right? About the same. 00Z was 56% and 20%, respectively. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 AI models have been pretty consistently bullish on this system. BL temps the major issue but they are pretty impressive at 500mb, kinda what 12z GFS went to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 19 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: 06Z EPS has 64% chance of at least a trace of snow at RDU. 18% chance of 1". It is the feeling of being called to coach a middle school championship game after losing the superbowl. I am thinking Roxboro could pick up an inch or two IF it is barely cold enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGTim Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 @GaWx I GOT to know if you got snow this weekend? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 6 minutes ago, NGTim said: @GaWx I GOT to know if you got snow this weekend? Hey Tim, Thanks for asking. Yes I did and it was a very nice hit of 0.75” (most winters have none). For more details if interested: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Euro AI for the Potential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 12Z Euro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 EURO trying to reel us in… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 EURO NW trend over last 4 runs is pretty impressive. Definitely has me thinking this turns into the roxboro special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 I was joking around about it this morning but watching the trend on the Euro the past few runs this thing really might have some legs for a legit chance. I think short-range and hi res will get interesting tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADB83 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Euro AI was on this earlier than the physics based models. If it were to end up verifying to a light event from nothing that would be fascinating to me. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 19 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Euro AI for the Potential It’s been pretty locked in. What does the new King say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Euro AI lines up pretty well with 12z GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Nice jump on 12z EPS! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Just now, WXNewton said: Nice jump on 12z EPS! Yep! Hard to ignore the trends, going to come down to temps/rates at this point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 It will be a long time before this past snowstorm is beaten except for maybe the Raleigh folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Good thing is it looks to come in at night! No sun angle issues 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: Good thing is it looks to come in at night! No sun angle issues Was literally about to say this. Only way this one works given marginal BL temps is nighttime snowfall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo! Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Seriously better not postpone my surgery Wednesday lol. 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Latest SREF lit up fwiw! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Love backing into an event. Nice not having to worry about model runs for a week+ and just being happy if we end up getting anything 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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