UnitedWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 22 minutes ago, MVOyster said: I hate being "that guy" but I have a flight with my 2 kids Monday noon out of BOS ... should I wait for model wiggle before looking at changes, or is this event looking locked? Please share any opinions. Thanks in advance from a respectful longtime lurker and enthusiast. To be nice (for once) It is in NO way locked...shit this Thursday is far from locked 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: AIFS going for broke too THIS is what I want to see to get in on this....if this is real, and other guidance follows suite, I'm in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Don't worry will be here to stroke your ego soon Nah, ironically enough it's the dearth of an ego that has allowed me to improve the past few years....failure is instructive if you own it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 21 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: The ICON is the reason young weather nerds aren't having real sex anymore. So THATS'S why Ineedsnow posts those short one liner responses to sexy model runs... he's in the men's room toggling back and forth at a rapid pace ( sorry due, I had to ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: THIS is what I want to see to get in on this....if this is real, and other guidance follows suite, I'm in. can already tell the euro is going to increase wave spacing early on at 12z. should be better and then you're literally only left with the CMC OP. we shall see but yeah, agreed. the AIFS is deadly with synoptics 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, UnitedWx said: So THATS'S why Ineedsnow posts those short one liner responses to sexy model runs... he's in the men's room toggling back and forth at a rapid pace ( sorry due, I had to ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: THIS is what I want to see to get in on this....if this is real, and other guidance follows suite, I'm in. Euro AI goes from 1000 mill bars just off of Hatteras to 991 east of Jersey then 972 a little southeast of the benchmark. We need a 50 to 75 mile shift to the north northwest. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 27 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: The ICON is the reason young weather nerds aren't having real sex anymore. Neurodiversity and acne doesn't help, either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Don't worry will be here to stroke your ego soon Sorry I speak facts. Ray went from a random enthusiast to the single greatest long term forecaster I know in the country. Just like me calling All of you guys out for when I ask an Actual meteorological question, and you guys make up BS Jokes to poke fun at me and refuse to answer. We’re 13 Years removed from the Fujiwawa and I Still HAVE ZERO answers for how that final snow map happened from anyone. But it is Rather Scary that this is a 3-run in a row GFS 00z 6z 12z for a 2-3 For Blizzard for Monday and Ray is NOT on Board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: So THATS'S why Ineedsnow posts those short one liner responses to sexy model runs... he's in the men's room toggling back and forth at a rapid pace ( sorry due, I had to ) Never considered using the word toggling like that before… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, TheSnowman said: Sorry I speak facts. Ray went from a random enthusiast to the single greatest long term forecaster I know in the country. Just like me calling All of you guys out for when I ask an Actual meteorological question, and you guys make up BS Jokes to poke fun at me and refuse to answer. We’re 13 Years removed from the Fujiwawa and I Still HAVE ZERO answers for how that final snow map happened from anyone. But it is Rather Scary that this is a 3-run in a row GFS 00z 6z 12z for a 2-3 For Blizzard for Monday and Ray is NOT on Board. He is getting closer to being on board. Just show us a plane ticket or hotel ressie showing you will be out of town. 2 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, TheSnowman said: Sorry I speak facts. Ray went from a random enthusiast to the single greatest long term forecaster I know in the country. Just like me calling All of you guys out for when I ask an Actual meteorological question, and you guys make up BS Jokes to poke fun at me and refuse to answer. We’re 13 Years removed from the Fujiwawa and I Still HAVE ZERO answers for how that final snow map happened from anyone. But it is Rather Scary that this is a 3-run in a row GFS 00z 6z 12z for a 2-3 For Blizzard for Monday and Ray is NOT on Board. You were explained standing wave a bunch of times but refuse to understand so there is that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 GEFS seem to focus more on Saturday then the Monday deal? One of them probably goes bye-bye if there is to be a big event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 GFS AI tracks over @Typhoon Tipand the EURO AI still a graze....so some detes to work out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Euro meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 GEFS AI looks outstanding....BM EPS AI OTS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just for fun - this is going to be sick and one of these years I am going out there to experience 5 plus feet!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 What was the official model tally at 12z for in favor of/or not, wrt this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 With this snowy pattern, the torch keeps getting pushed back further and is weaker and not long lasting when it does arrive. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 11 minutes ago, cut said: Just for fun - this is going to be sick and one of these years I am going out there to experience 5 plus feet!! My lil sister is there as well speak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 LOL, Euro has nothing Sun-Mon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: GEFS AI looks outstanding....BM EPS AI OTS. lol what happened to the EPS, man 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: LOL, Euro has nothing Sun-Mon. If it hadn’t been so shitty lately I’d be more concerned, watch it nail this, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 so much more phasing there, great to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: so much more phasing there, great to see Good to see but damn that thing is so unstable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: so much more phasing there, great to see 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 20 minutes ago, cut said: Just for fun - this is going to be sick and one of these years I am going out there to experience 5 plus feet!! I live at about 40’ ASL, but we’re expecting snow levels to drop to 2500-3000ft by Wednesday. The December/early January storms were too warm to bring snow to the Santa Ynez, so looking forward to being able to see the snow capped peaks from the beach for the first time since I moved here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Ideally would we want a slightly different ridge placement and a bit higher heights out ahead? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Euro very slowly trending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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