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Is we back? February discussion thread


mahk_webstah
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18 minutes ago, dendrite said:

The GFS has done a good job at having the best idea from the medium range into the short range before making a little jump toward other guidance near go time.

I thought the GFS was just about flawless throughout the modeling evolution of the blizzard, despite having the rug pulled out on me last moment.....it needs to be judged within the context of what it was designed to do and it was exceptional in that regard.

Put the vaunted EURO to shame.

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2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

64"...good season, but could easily be in the 80s right now.

agree, just over 71 here but a lot left on the table of what could have been... imagine if those two that went ots had hit, it'd be historic here.

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16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I thought the GFS was just about flawless throughout the modeling evolution of the blizzard, despite having the rug pulled out on me last moment.....it needs to be judged within the context of what it was designed to do and it was exceptional in that regard.

Put the vaunted EURO to shame.

Sure. I think both of our posts are true. 

But it played major catch up the other day too. It was just consistently on the most northern side of guidance. 

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8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yes, both true, absolutely....trust me, I know all too well after seeing 30" turn into 10".

It blows my mind you only ended with 10, when we had 8 in Westfield. Now that's getting the shaft! I'll tell you, this stuff is the most like sand I've seen snow in years, you'd think the snowblower was moving 16 inches

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1 hour ago, dendrite said:

The GFS has done a good job at having the best idea from the medium range into the short range before making a little jump toward other guidance near go time.

Re the blizzard, it in fact made a late adjustment toward reality. It was just slightly too far NW of what actually transpired the day-ish before, and then made a 'within error expectation' bump - which is obfuscated by the fact that there was theoretical room for NW adjustments prior to that.  It was a bit of journey, the total error of which - to me - was irrelevant really ...  I guess I'm saying that late bump was a no fault - considering that the other global models were pretty bad until just 60 hours or even 48 hours out, comparatively.

Not accounting for the rest of the winter/other events.. .just the blizzard.  I was rollin' eyes and annoyed when the bump back SE triggered street trash. 

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