Is we back? February discussion thread

[UnitedWx]

22 minutes ago, MVOyster said:

I hate being "that guy" but I have a flight with my 2 kids Monday noon out of BOS ... should I wait for model wiggle before looking at changes, or is this event looking locked?  Please share any opinions.  Thanks in advance from a respectful longtime lurker and enthusiast.

To be nice (for once) It is in NO way locked...shit this Thursday is far from locked

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

AIFS going for broke too

THIS is what I want to see to get in on this....if this is real, and other guidance follows suite, I'm in.

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Don't worry will be here to stroke your ego soon

Nah, ironically enough it's the dearth of an ego that has allowed me to improve the past few years....failure is instructive if you own it.

[UnitedWx]

21 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

The ICON is the reason young weather nerds aren't having real sex anymore.

So THATS'S why Ineedsnow posts those short one liner responses to sexy model runs... he's in the men's room toggling back and forth at a rapid pace ( sorry due, I had to )

[brooklynwx99]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

THIS is what I want to see to get in on this....if this is real, and other guidance follows suite, I'm in.

can already tell the euro is going to increase wave spacing early on at 12z. should be better and then you're literally only left with the CMC OP. we shall see

but yeah, agreed. the AIFS is deadly with synoptics

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, UnitedWx said:

So THATS'S why Ineedsnow posts those short one liner responses to sexy model runs... he's in the men's room toggling back and forth at a rapid pace ( sorry due, I had to )

[mahk_webstah]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

THIS is what I want to see to get in on this....if this is real, and other guidance follows suite, I'm in.

Euro AI goes from 1000 mill bars just off of Hatteras to 991 east of Jersey then 972 a little southeast of the benchmark. We need a 50 to 75 mile shift to the north northwest.

[40/70 Benchmark]

27 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

The ICON is the reason young weather nerds aren't having real sex anymore.

Neurodiversity and acne doesn't help, either.

[TheSnowman]

10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Don't worry will be here to stroke your ego soon

Sorry I speak facts.  Ray went from a random enthusiast to the single greatest long term forecaster I know in the country.  

Just like me calling All of you guys out for when I ask an Actual meteorological question, and you guys make up BS Jokes to poke fun at me and refuse to answer.  

We’re 13 Years removed from the Fujiwawa and I Still HAVE ZERO answers for how that final snow map happened from anyone.  

But it is Rather Scary that this is a 3-run in a row GFS 00z 6z 12z  for a 2-3 For Blizzard for Monday and Ray is NOT on Board.  

[HoarfrostHubb]

5 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

So THATS'S why Ineedsnow posts those short one liner responses to sexy model runs... he's in the men's room toggling back and forth at a rapid pace ( sorry due, I had to )

Never considered using the word toggling like that before…

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, TheSnowman said:

Sorry I speak facts.  Ray went from a random enthusiast to the single greatest long term forecaster I know in the country.  

Just like me calling All of you guys out for when I ask an Actual meteorological question, and you guys make up BS Jokes to poke fun at me and refuse to answer.  

We’re 13 Years removed from the Fujiwawa and I Still HAVE ZERO answers for how that final snow map happened from anyone.  

But it is Rather Scary that this is a 3-run in a row GFS 00z 6z 12z  for a 2-3 For Blizzard for Monday and Ray is NOT on Board.  

He is getting closer to being on board.  Just show us a plane ticket or hotel ressie showing you will be out of town. 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, TheSnowman said:

Sorry I speak facts.  Ray went from a random enthusiast to the single greatest long term forecaster I know in the country.  

Just like me calling All of you guys out for when I ask an Actual meteorological question, and you guys make up BS Jokes to poke fun at me and refuse to answer.  

We’re 13 Years removed from the Fujiwawa and I Still HAVE ZERO answers for how that final snow map happened from anyone.  

But it is Rather Scary that this is a 3-run in a row GFS 00z 6z 12z  for a 2-3 For Blizzard for Monday and Ray is NOT on Board.  

You were explained standing wave a bunch of times but refuse to understand so there is that

[40/70 Benchmark]

GEFS seem to focus more on Saturday then the Monday deal?

One of them probably goes bye-bye if there is to be a big event.

[40/70 Benchmark]

GFS AI tracks over @Typhoon Tipand the EURO AI still a graze....so some detes to work out.

[ineedsnow]

Euro meh

[40/70 Benchmark]

GEFS AI looks outstanding....BM

EPS AI OTS.

[Damage In Tolland]

[cut]

Just for fun - this is going to be sick and one of these years I am going out there to experience 5 plus feet!!

 

 

[Kitz Craver]

What was the official model tally at 12z for in favor of/or not, wrt this weekend?

[78Blizzard]

With this snowy pattern, the torch keeps getting pushed back further and is weaker and not long lasting when it does arrive.

[Kitz Craver]

11 minutes ago, cut said:

Just for fun - this is going to be sick and one of these years I am going out there to experience 5 plus feet!!

 

 

My lil sister is there as well speak. 

[78Blizzard]

LOL, Euro has nothing Sun-Mon.

[brooklynwx99]

21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

GEFS AI looks outstanding....BM

EPS AI OTS.

lol what happened to the EPS, man

[Kitz Craver]

3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

LOL, Euro has nothing Sun-Mon.

If it hadn’t been so shitty lately I’d be more concerned, watch it nail this, lol

[brooklynwx99]

so much more phasing there, great to see

[Kitz Craver]

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

so much more phasing there, great to see

Good to see but damn that thing is so unstable 

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

so much more phasing there, great to see

 

[bch2014]

20 minutes ago, cut said:

Just for fun - this is going to be sick and one of these years I am going out there to experience 5 plus feet!!

 

 

I live at about 40’ ASL, but we’re expecting snow levels to drop to 2500-3000ft by Wednesday.

The December/early January storms were too warm to bring snow to the Santa Ynez, so looking forward to being able to see the snow capped peaks from the beach for the first time since I moved here.

[Kitz Craver]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

Ideally would we want a slightly different ridge placement and a bit higher heights out ahead?

[ineedsnow]

Euro very slowly trending.