Is we back? February discussion thread

[SouthCoastMA]

GFS looks slightly better in the nstream..but the southern stream is slower so it's a disjointed mess

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

GFS looks slightly better in the nstream..but the southern stream is slower so it's a disjointed mess

Yes, it slowed that little northern-stream moose nipple down. Enough discontinuity within itself to ignite wonder as to what the pathway along the humbling journey to capitulation would look like for the GFS given it's documented struggles with phasing.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Definite step towards the EURO with respect to the N stream.

[Kitz Craver]

If the EURO steps towards the other guidance, even the slightest tick, could be time to get the Elmer’s out

[weatherwiz]

As they say at the DMV,

"NEXT"

[40/70 Benchmark]

GEM is really diving that N steam nipple into ME.

[kdxken]

I'm guessing it's probably the longest we've had a pack also

[Kitz Craver]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

GEM is really diving that N steam nipple into ME.

That’s crucial 

[MJO812]

Watch the storm for next week

 Gfs has been trending colder

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

That’s crucial 

Man, if the GEM ever got the s stream up here, it would be nuts.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Watch the storm for next week

 Gfs has been trending colder

Are you talking about the Sunday storm Tiny ?

[40/70 Benchmark]

It's scotting OTS but hour 90, but that should at least restore some antecedent cold even in retreat.

[MJO812]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Are you talking about the Sunday storm Tiny ?

Thursday 

[dryslot]

The one around the 19th is the next threat.

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Thursday 

Let’s get the first one figured out 

[weatherwiz]

If we could shift that ridge maybe a couple hundred miles west and pump the heights up a bit more (speaking about pattern beyond the Sun/Mon). I really don't think the second half of the month is totally lost but we'll just have to hope something can work in our favor in terms of overall evolution 

[ORH_wxman]

GFS try to pull a mini-Feb ‘69 next Friday. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

GFS try to pull a mini-Feb ‘69 next Friday. 

Isn’t that the so called torch period?

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Isn’t that the so called torch period?

Yeah but it’s all blocked up. GFS def trending toward the Euro idea of blockier look. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah but it’s all blocked up. GFS def trending toward the Euro idea of blockier look. 

Hey, I'll gladly take the  "L" on that...hope it continues.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Hey, I'll gladly take the  "L" on that...hope it continues.

Congrats 

 

[ORH_wxman]

Another north shore jack would be fitting too

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Congrats 

 

If either of these work out, this winter may creep towards hallowed ground.

[dendrite]

Wow look at that downslope in E CT.

[CoastalWx]

No complaints there.

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah but it’s all blocked up. GFS def trending toward the Euro idea of blockier look. 

Had a feeling this would happen. Every single warmup since October this has happened 

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Another north shore jack would be fitting too

Gloucester area has been ground-zero for hosing, too....worse than Scooter and me. Regression this year.

[TheBudMan]

That would be great NNE gets whacked while Kev sobs giant tears and joins TeamTorch 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, TheBudMan said:

That would be great NNE gets whacked while Kev sobs giant tears and joins TeamTorch 

Yea, he'd start up installs and Gypsy moth lectures as a coping tool.

[weatherwiz]

I've been very confused about this. 

Where has all the talk come from about muting warm ups all winter? Outside of that stretch we had in January, I don't think there's been any [realistic] signals of any "warmups". I mean I suppose you can quantify this week as a "warmup" though its still below climo. Where between January and up until now has there been any true warmups signaled? And 2m temperature anomaly maps from a few OP runs