Is we back? February discussion thread

[WinterWolf]

One run ago had nothing for Saturday/Sunday lol. Take with a large grain of salt At the moment. 

[Ginx snewx]

8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

One run ago had nothing for Saturday/Sunday lol. Take with a large grain of salt At the moment. 

Ya think? 

[NoCORH4L]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Ya think? 

Yeah, let's not even look until 6 hours before. In fact, why even have models when they can be wrong? 

[Typhoon Tip]

yeah, that's a fun euro run, no doubt -

but on off on off...  pick a f'n date and stick with it.

[WinterWolf]

28 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said:

Yeah, let's not even look until 6 hours before. In fact, why even have models when they can be wrong? 

You know what I meant…

[brooklynwx99]

still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well

sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here 

[cleetussnow]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as some of that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well

sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here 

Swiffy

[WinterWolf]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as some of that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well

sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here 

Nothing wrong with that look whatsoever imo. 

[Typhoon Tip]

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well

sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here 

It'll go under climo at even 80% verification of those mass fields

[WinterWolf]

Yup, The cold would certainly win out with that look. 

[ORH_wxman]

Snowiest EPS run in a while....there's multiple chances in there. 

 

Decent signal for next Saturday, but far from tight consensus...good Scooter high in Quebec though

 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Snowiest EPS run in a while....there's multiple chances in there. 

 

Decent signal for next Saturday, but far from tight consensus...good Scooter high in Quebec though

 

Heh...I was lookin at that.  It's almost like the spread is literally too spread out and it's just lighting up the whole time span.  Like it's evenly distributing members at different times. 

[Typhoon Tip]

Tick killer cold on these NAM runs over the weekend.  jesus christ

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Heh...I was lookin at that.  It's almost like the spread is literally too spread out and it's just lighting up the whole time span.  Like it's evenly distributing members at different times. 

Yeah I think a lot of it is timing which isn't a surprise when you look at the upper level trough....it's coming in via a -PNA look on the west coast, so it's very broad as is crosses the middle of the CONUS....so given the broad trough, prob a lot of timing differences on when energy pops the best coastal. 

[Connecticut Appleman]

8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Tick killer cold on these NAM runs over the weekend.  jesus christ

The little bastards are going to be hiding under snow and make it just fine through this.  I hate those thing!