Is we back? February discussion thread

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I remember that scenario from I think 2023 or was it 2022. I did look at the euro AI which has a couple of minor events until something potentially bigger towards the 15th or 14th maybe. Then something that looks like it wants to cut on the 16th or 17th.

Yup.

With regard to the 14-17th period there…you might as well throw a few darts at the dart board blindfolded, from 30 feet away…it might be more accurate. But you know that already. 

[78Blizzard]

10 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

They were -1.9F 

That's what I get for going to AI for the answer.

[ORH_wxman]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This will have to be very wrong if the torch is real . Eerily reminiscent of December 

Not necessarily. We will prob build up some pretty strong Feb negative departures the first week-plus…so even if we torch for 5-7 days, that may just get us back near normal or maybe not even if the torch isn’t super strong.  
 

Ideally it’s just a relaxation closer to climo. If it was 2015, we’d get 2 feet of overrunning while the rest of the country torches during the relaxation. 

[EastonSN+]

31 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 

I am guessing his reference to the forecasted PV disruption would not effect us until the beginning of March 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Not necessarily. We will prob build up some pretty strong Feb negative departures the first week-plus…so even if we torch for 5-7 days, that may just get us back near normal or maybe not even if the torch isn’t super strong.  
 

Ideally it’s just a relaxation closer to climo. If it was 2015, we’d get 2 feet of overrunning while the rest of the country torches during the relaxation. 

That’s kind of we’re envisioning. Not that it’s 2015 , but that the cold will win out. It has all winter. Things don’t flip like that generally 

[Ginx snewx]

19 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Hard to believe that Boston was only 0.4 degrees F below normal for January.  I'm sure many suburbs around the city were much colder than that.

-2.3 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s kind of we’re envisioning. Not that it’s 2015 , but that the cold will win out. It has all winter. Things don’t flip like that generally 

Patterns can easily flip. There’s no reason why this one can’t. EPS was ugly imo. Not sure what to think.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

We had a 2 foot plus snow  storm and now they bust my balls because I said buckle up. Shit half these mofos think we are NNE and have no clue what climo is. Trolls gonna troll I guess because they sure as hell whine like 6 year olds over frozen water. Paybacks a bitch 

Say buckle up enough, the seatbelt will eventually click. 

[CoastalWx]

I heard the same Comments about early January and we were above normal for two weeks.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Patterns can easily flip. There’s no reason why this one can’t. EPS was ugly imo. Not sure what to think.

It was ugly many times in Dec and it was never right . Always muted as we closed in 

[Damage In Tolland]

Each time the -NA0 saved us. Why wouldn’t that continue?

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It was ugly many times in Dec and it was never right . Always muted as we closed in 

That’s not true 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Each time the -NA0 saved us. Why wouldn’t that continue?

We didn’t really have that to an extent. This time we have an AK vortex with a conus chinook.

[78Blizzard]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

-2.3 

Here's the answer I got from AI when I plug in the  -1.9F others reported:

"Boston's January 2026 weather was 1.9°F below normal, with a monthly mean temperature of 29.4°F compared to the typical average of 29.9°F. The coldest temperatures occurred mid-to-late January, with lows dropping to -13°F on January 26 and -18°F on January 21. Despite the cold, snowfall was moderate, with 10 snowy days recorded, and total precipitation at 1.76 inches, which is 52% of the normal January rainfall. The month began with milder conditions, peaking at 53°F on January 15, but rapidly cooled as the month progressed."

They show a mean of 29.4F and an average of 29.9F, a difference of -0.5, hardly -1.9.  And Boston certainly didn't get to -13F and -18F during the month.

If this is how AI is going to work, I'll never use it again.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Say buckle up enough, the seatbelt will 

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Say buckle up enough, the seatbelt will eventually click. 

 

Noted.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That’s not true 

The Euro / EPS kept torching us and it never happened. That definitely occurred. Maybe this time we end winter early but I’ll sell 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

Here's the answer I got from AI when I plug in the  -1.9F others reported:

"Boston's January 2026 weather was 1.9°F below normal, with a monthly mean temperature of 29.4°F compared to the typical average of 29.9°F. The coldest temperatures occurred mid-to-late January, with lows dropping to -13°F on January 26 and -18°F on January 21. Despite the cold, snowfall was moderate, with 10 snowy days recorded, and total precipitation at 1.76 inches, which is 52% of the normal January rainfall. The month began with milder conditions, peaking at 53°F on January 15, but rapidly cooled as the month progressed."

They show a mean of 29.4F and an average of 29.9F, a difference of -0.5, hardly -1.9.  And Boston certainly didn't get to -13F and -18F during the month.

If this is how AI is going to work, I'll never use it again.

I was referring to your suburbs remark 

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said:

Here's the answer I got from AI when I plug in the  -1.9F others reported:

"Boston's January 2026 weather was 1.9°F below normal, with a monthly mean temperature of 29.4°F compared to the typical average of 29.9°F. The coldest temperatures occurred mid-to-late January, with lows dropping to -13°F on January 26 and -18°F on January 21. Despite the cold, snowfall was moderate, with 10 snowy days recorded, and total precipitation at 1.76 inches, which is 52% of the normal January rainfall. The month began with milder conditions, peaking at 53°F on January 15, but rapidly cooled as the month progressed."

They show a mean of 29.4F and an average of 29.9F, a difference of -0.5, hardly -1.9.  And Boston certainly didn't get to -13F and -18F during the month.

If this is how AI is going to work, I'll never use it again.

AI needs to learn this website

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=box

 

[Ginx snewx]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Patterns can easily flip. There’s no reason why this one can’t. EPS was ugly imo. Not sure what to think.

Nah glue factory remember 

[CoastalWx]

Well hopefully we can get something this week. Because as far as I’m concerned, if we miss everything since the storm before MLK and go into the warmup with nothing, that’s a fail to the much talked about favorable pattern. Myself included in that.

[cleetussnow]

38 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 

Judah Cohen cancels winter -

before May?  Like where even am I?

 

 

 

 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Well hopefully we can get something this week. Because as far as I’m concerned, if we miss everything since the storm before MLK and go into the warmup with nothing, that’s a fail to the much talked about favorable pattern. Myself included in that.

Bring on spring I am ready. But if wishes were dishes..

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Nah glue factory remember 

Yup. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Way too much assuming this furnace / end to winter will happen 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

Judah Cohen cancels winter -

before May?  Like where even am I?

 

 

 

 

The guys a quack …period. Ask him how the Eurasian snow index is? 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Way too much assuming this furnace / end to winter will happen 

I don’t think anybody said end winter Kev.  But pattens can flip. Doesn’t mean this does. The colder looks have won out this season. Warm ups have been muted pretty much every time…but we’ll have to see?  The -NAO can certainly help us…but we’ll see. 

[ineedsnow]

only warmish day on the EPS is February 12th when the mean is about 35 most days in the 20s and low 30s after day 10.. so am I missing something? looks far from a torch and end to winter.. 

[Ginx snewx]

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Bring on spring I am ready. But if wishes were dishes..

 

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

only warmish day on the EPS is February 12th when the mean is about 35 most days in the 20s and low 30s after day 10.. so am I missing something? looks far from a torch and end to winter.. 

 Nobody said torch. But that 500 look is not wintry. 
 

What I hope is that we can rebuild the ridge near AK or WPO region if we’re gonna have a -PNA 

[CoastalWx]

I don’t know. I’m happy with what I had going into MLK. But missing this, then missing a nice refresher by 8 miles, followed by end of week which doesn’t seem that promising, and now these changes culminating over the last several days….feels like the crotch kicks are back baby.