cleetussnow Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 hour ago, Nibor said: I think some of the finger lakes are actually much deeper than Erie. Seneca might be. Bottomless pit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Does NYC hit zero this weekend, should we start a cold/snow thread or leave it in here? 12z HRRR was extremely cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 14 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Euro just went bonkers for next Thursday thru Saturday This is about the best solution we can hope for if you want a snowstorm here - takes a LP from Colorado moves it directly east while a HP travels across Canada and sets up shop in southeast Canada blocking the LP from cutting - then another LP develops down south moving Northeast - too good to be true though IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Here’s the start of the 2nd storm 14th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 probably won't have the same solution at 0Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 7 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Ai loves president day. This signal for 13-16 has been showing up for days now Not surprising given big switches in PNA/NAO/AO around that time. Unclear if it'll be rain/mix/snow or the exact date but the likelihood of storminess around then is high 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 10 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Ai loves president day. This signal for 13-16 has been showing up for days now not on the EURO around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 For fun 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 6 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Does NYC hit zero this weekend, should we start a cold/snow thread or leave it in here? Better ask the Bosses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, nycsnow said: For fun Sorry I'll pass on those amounts - had enough problems digging out and being stuck at home 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 6 Author Share Posted February 6 4 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: not on the EURO around here That's last night's run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 6 Author Share Posted February 6 6 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Not surprising given big switches in PNA/NAO/AO around that time. Unclear if it'll be rain/mix/snow or the exact date but the likelihood of storminess around then is high Probably be a bit of everything. Temps are borderline throughout Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: That's last night's run I know that - I posted that in response to NYC Snow saying its been showing up for days - any bets about what shows up at 0Z ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 6 Author Share Posted February 6 8 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: I know that - I posted that in response to NYC Snow saying its been showing up for days - any bets about what shows up at 0Z ? Signal is not the same thing as a run of the operational model 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Archambault event 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 57 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Euro just went bonkers for next Thursday thru Saturday Yeah basically 72 consecutive hours of precipitation - mostly snow! It ejects a bigger piece of the Pacific trof hitting CA day 4 out ahead of the consolidated ULL. This evolution doesn't have much support unfortunately among the other models save for maybe a few GEFS members. The height field evolution across the northeast days 4-6 is also very different from model consensus right now. I expect a lot of run to run variability for next week for the next few days. I don't like seeing the 2/11 wave trend a little warmer in recent runs across most guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Eps is nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 The ensembles suggest multiple waves days 5-12. But the spread-out nature of the QPF suggests disagreement about timing and significance of each in succession. I don't believe we have a clear signal yet for specific storm events or dates. The most tangible is the first, mid-week wave but even this nearer threat is still evolving. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 The blinds were closed for a week and I just peaked out to see the UKMET still showing less than 0.1" liquid through the end of its run. The CMC has a few tenths through day 10 but it's rain. And no consensus among the other models for a clear threat through the mid-range. I really hope it won't be another close-the-blinds week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Is there any chance sea ice forms in Long Island Sound with this upcoming Arctic cold? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 15 minutes ago, eduggs said: The blinds were closed for a week and I just peaked out to see the UKMET still showing less than 0.1" liquid through the end of its run. The CMC has a few tenths through day 10 but it's rain. And no consensus among the other models for a clear threat through the mid-range. I really hope it won't be another close-the-blinds week. Hopefully not because its been bone dry and that'll be an issue heading into spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 hour ago, nycsnow said: lol this run is like “f fairlawn nj in particular” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Hopefully not because its been bone dry and that'll be an issue heading into spring Shouldnt be with the PNA dropping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Realtime (-48 years) from ISP: METAR KISP 061856Z 04528G35KT 0SM +SN VV000 M02/M04 A2963 RMK SLP036 Waiting for the 3pm obs. Puking snow and the house is shaking. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 11 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: Realtime (-48 years) from ISP: METAR KISP 061856Z 04528G35KT 0SM +SN VV000 M02/M04 A2963 RMK SLP036 Waiting for the 3pm obs. Puking snow and the house is shaking. Hot off the [very cold] presses: METAR KISP 061956Z 04035G49KT 0SM +SN BLSN VV000 M02/M02 A2954 RMK SLP000 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Re: start a thread? There already is a thread in the form of the contest for low temperatures and weekend snowfall. If you enter the contest (deadline 06z or 0100h tonight) please note, snowfall as per rules begins on Saturday so anything before midnight won't count towards contest results. Feel free to discuss the cold and snow as well as entering contest there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 11 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: Hot off the [very cold] presses: METAR KISP 061956Z 04035G49KT 0SM +SN BLSN VV000 M02/M02 A2954 RMK SLP000 Right now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 7 minutes ago, NyWxGuy said: Meh. I’m not particularly enthused. The 11th threat is gone, looks too warm now. And we all know the 2-3 days of snow Euro has next weekend won’t happen like that. Looks a bit warm for that threat. After that, we have our moderation period. So cold but most of it’s gone to waste. Hopefully there’s another window towards end of month. But we haven’t had late February snow since 2021. Been so long for march snow as well. I’m not impressed We had a storm with 11-18 inches of snow area wide, followed by cold that preserved most of the snow cover in place for the two weeks since. How is that a waste of the cold? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now