The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[Blacksburg Coach]

looks like it's so close to snowing in Raleigh

[Orange county]

Weird graupel or some other icy stuff in Garner

[downeastnc]

3 minutes ago, HeartlessBadger said:

Very light snow, maybe a generous dusting @ 3mi east of RDU. 16.9 degrees. I tell myself after every disappointing winter “storm” that I’m gonna quit being hopeful but I always get suckered back in…this might actually be the straw that breaks the camel’s back tho. 
 

Family in western Pitt and Greene Counties reporting at probably 6”+.  I am happy for them but not gonna lie, green with envy. 

6 inches easy they will get another 6 before it over if these upcoming bands are anything like we have seen so far. I think you guys will still get lucky the negative tilt is pushing the western edge of the coastal precip closer and if you get under it your gonna be surprised how fast it piles up ratios are insane. 

[Blacksburg Coach]

We're close to single digits here, we could see snow here in 8-9 degrees.

That would put our snow ratios around 35-1

[wake4est]

Radar is doing nothing. Hasn't budged east in 4 hours. 

 

[SEwakenosnowforu]

3 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

6 inches easy they will get another 6 before it over if these upcoming bands are anything like we have seen so far. I think you guys will still get lucky the negative tilt is pushing the western edge of the coastal precip closer and if you get under it your gonna be surprised how fast it piles up ratios are insane. 

You sure about that ron? All I have is a sleet mound in the driveway from last week's dry slot! Rotfl

[downeastnc]

Im about to get dunked on thats one serious band

[Stebaney]

35 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Well they can't walk it down much more.

Sure they can. We can get an inch of freezing rain.

[wxdawg10]

3 minutes ago, wake4est said:

Radar is doing nothing. Hasn't budged east in 4 hours. 

 

not true. it's coming from the east.  Snowing moderately in east Raleigh/east wake county right now. Look at the weather channel radar.  It's the most accurate for this storm

[downeastnc]

1 minute ago, SEwakenosnowforu said:

You sure about that ron? All I have is a sleet mound in the driveway from last week's dry slot! Rotfl

I hope so for yalls sake it works out, even under no returns its dumping snow you get under and dark greens or yellows and its the hardest snow I have seen in literally decades.

[Orange county]

1 minute ago, wxdawg10 said:

not true. it's coming from the east.  Snowing moderately in east Raleigh/east wake county right now. Look at the weather channel radar.  It's the most accurate for this storm

So Coastal

Not ULL?

[Metasequoia]

I'm pulling for Raleigh! I lived there for a decade in the 90s and 2000s before moving to NYC. Kind of looks like the bands of snow from the developing coastal and bands to the west are about to merge over Raleigh. That would give Raleigh a shot at something decent.

[wxdawg10]

2 minutes ago, Orange county said:

So Coastal

Not ULL?

Yes the ULL has pretty much died out or close to it.  The coastal Low is taking over.  Those heavy bands from the east could lead to some surprising accumulations.  the triangle aint dead yet!

[SEwakenosnowforu]

4 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

I hope so for yalls sake it works out, even under no returns its dumping snow you get under and dark greens or yellows and its the hardest snow I have seen in literally decades.

I hope u are right...look at the white spot headed for Wake. After that something for sure.

[wxdawg10]

Just now, SEwakenosnowforu said:

I hope u are right...look at the white spot headed for Wake. After that something for sure.

My man. Relax. The precip is rotating in from E NE.  That blank white circle will get filled in.  Wake county is good now.  You should see snow in about 15 mins if you havn't already. 

[SEwakenosnowforu]

Just now, wxdawg10 said:

My man. Relax. The precip is rotating in from E NE.  That blank white circle will get filled in.  Wake county is good now.  You should see snow in about 15 mins if you havn't already. 

I have been relaxing all day. But thanks for the encouragement...I need it!

[downeastnc]

[RaleighNC]

IMG_20260131_185646.heicMy step mom sent the current status of jburns's grill. 16 degrees in Archdale, NC @jburns

IMG_20260131_185646.heic

[Coach McGuirk]

I'm hoping for a bombogenesis soon. 

[RaleighNC]

2 minutes ago, RaleighNC said:

IMG_20260131_185646.heicMy step mom sent the current status of jburns's grill. 16 degrees in Archdale, NC @jburns

IMG_20260131_185646.heic 1.04 MB · 6 downloads

not sure how to embed that photo

[Roger Smith]

The 500, 700, 850, 925 and surface lows are aligned now from nwSC to off the SC coast and the slope (imagine this to be a very large F1 tornado tilted to west at highest point) is slowly decreasing as each level catches up to the one closer to the surface. Surface banding is tending to be squeezed together by this process as the further west the snow, the more connected it is to upper level lows. This should slowly fill in that long-lived dry slot near Raleigh and allow them to join the party (a bit late so totals will be 4-7"). 

This storm will continue to rip for 6-9 more hours before the 500 mb low drifts out to sea. Some places could end up with 18-24 inch totals as heavier bands will develop now that stronger winds are blowing in from the ocean.

Some gusts to 50 or 60 mph likely in exposed coastal areas this evening into the overnight. Severe blowing and drifting of snow will occur. Wind chill values of 5-10 F or lower, seldom if ever observed before in coastal NC are possible. Further inland it won't get that windy but gusts to 35 mph will be widespread, blowing and drifting snow will strand some travelers, and wind chills will drop to near or below zero F. 

[Ravens94]

5 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

Its legit here 1-2 hr for sure

[NC DataDude]

Now that's a dome!  

[SouthWake33]

The 500, 700, 850, 925 and surface lows are aligned now from nwSC to off the SC coast and the slope (imagine this to be a very large F1 tornado tilted to west at highest point) is slowly decreasing as each level catches up to the one closer to the surface. Surface banding is tending to be squeezed together by this process as the further west the snow, the more connected it is to upper level lows. This should slowly fill in that long-lived dry slot near Raleigh and allow them to join the party (a bit late so totals will be 4-7"). 
This storm will continue to rip for 6-9 more hours before the 500 mb low drifts out to sea. Some places could end up with 18-24 inch totals as heavier bands will develop now that stronger winds are blowing in from the ocean.
Some gusts to 50 or 60 mph likely in exposed coastal areas this evening into the overnight. Severe blowing and drifting of snow will occur. Wind chill values of 5-10 F or lower, seldom if ever observed before in coastal NC are possible. Further inland it won't get that windy but gusts to 35 mph will be widespread, blowing and drifting snow will strand some travelers, and wind chills will drop to near or below zero F. 

Check please!


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[PackGrad05]

That eastern edge will not make it all the way across wake. It is in eastern wake and not progressing any further.


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[SEwakenosnowforu]

2 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

That eastern edge will not make it all the way across wake. It is in eastern wake and not progressing any further.


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Exactly...gonna be tough to get to se wake. Se wake yes!

[SouthWake33]

That eastern edge will not make it all the way across wake. It is in eastern wake and not progressing any further.


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Really?? It looks like there is still a westward moving component to me.


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[sarcean]

45 minutes ago, SHTFWX said:

Great storm.  15 miles northeast of Charlotte.  Still moderate snow coming down.  14 3/4" 

 

 

You scored big, probably pushing 10-11 inches on the lake here and still coming down  but not that. You win for the Charlotte area

 

[wxdawg10]

3 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

That eastern edge will not make it all the way across wake. It is in eastern wake and not progressing any further.


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incorrect. stop spreading missinformation.  precip is linking from both sides as the ULL dies out and the coastal low cranks

[SEwakenosnowforu]

1 minute ago, SouthWake33 said:

Really?? It looks like there is still a westward moving component to me.


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Stop squinting! Hope u r right though!