The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[JoshM]

3 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

The Euro that bad?

You get 0.5" QPF , it's fine. 

[JoshM]

To calm nerves ...

[chris624wx]

To calm nerves ...

Was hoping it'd be more moist and NW into VA like the GFS/CMC/ICON was. Only .2 in Virginia Beach is not good

[lilj4425]

5 minutes ago, JoshM said:

To calm nerves ...

Got a snowfall map? 

[ncforecaster89]

4 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

Got a snowfall map? 

Yes.  

[ncforecaster89]

I’m in the “screw zone” yet again on this particular run (e.g, located just N of Wilmington, NC) 

[Regan]

Are we even supposed to look at the euro anymore?

[letitsnow]

1 hour ago, kvegas-wx said:

Just remember you green thumbs out there, no better time to fertilize your lawn and put down the pre-emergent than on top of a fresh snowpack!  So make sure to visit your local feed and seed tomorrow and load up those bags of clover cleaner and be ready for Sunday.  February 1st is the beginning of lawn maintenance season in the south!  

Putting down pre-emergent on top of snow when the soil temps are nowhere close to 55 degrees is just wasting money.

[franklin NCwx]

37 minutes ago, JoshM said:

To calm nerves ...

We hug!

[franklin NCwx]

24 minutes ago, ncforecaster89 said:

I’m in the “screw zone” yet again on this particular run (e.g, located just N of Wilmington, NC) 

How much snow do yall average per year?

[SouthCentralWakeCo]

https://x.com/jeremydehartwx/status/2017095415162716342?s=46

[ncforecaster89]

17 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said:

How much snow do yall average per year?

Wilmington has historically averaged 1.6” yearly dating back to 1870.  That said, most years we see nothing, so it’s rare to even get the climatological average from one storm.  The last time Wilmington saw a 6” accumulation was during the Christmas blizzard of 1989 (a little over 36 years ago)!  

[ncforecaster89]

For those who might be interested, here’s my latest projections for 25 select locations along the east coast: 

https://x.com/tbrite89/status/2017125164824100896

[KyleEverett]

Winter Storm Warnings for Charleston is such a treat to see.

[IceQueen706]

Winter Storm Warning is up for Rabun County, Clayton, GA.

[KyleEverett]

Also, my point forecast for Lancaster just updated to 100% chance of snow on Saturday with Heavy Snow possible. It's go time.

[lilj4425]

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM
EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and
  7 inches. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph.

* WHERE...Northeast Georgia, the foothills and Piedmont of North
  Carolina, and Upstate South Carolina.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...The heavy snow will make many roads impassable and may
  produce isolated power outages due to the weight of the snow on
  tree limbs and power lines. The hazardous conditions could impact
  the Friday evening commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow is expected to rapidly stick to roads
  and other surfaces due to temperatures in the 20s. Travel
  conditions could deteriorate rapidly as early as Friday evening.
  Very gusty winds on Saturday could result in areas of blowing
  snow, causing very poor visibility.

[Upstate Tiger]

Where is everyone?   Back in my day, we’d model watch and post all night, then go straight into work without any sleep.  

[WiseWeather]

Still here just trying to figure out what im going to do with all this snow.


.

[timnc910]

06z HRRR and its still snowing in ENC

[senc30]

So far, every model is saying 7"+ for me except the Euro. It is saying 3". Will be interesting to see exactly what happens. At least for my area, it's on an island by itself. 

[lilj4425]

[ncforecaster89]

1 hour ago, ncforecaster89 said:

For those who might be interested, here’s my latest projections for 25 select locations along the east coast: 

https://x.com/tbrite89/status/2017125164824100896

My previous post is gone, so I took the time to provide a new update: 

https://x.com/tbrite89/status/2017152042779689147

[JoshM]

12 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

 

Don't look at the 6z 3k NAM, it's < .10"

[timnc910]

3k NAM 6z

 

[JoshM]

That dry slot is beyond brutal 

[timnc910]

3k NAM QPF

 

 

 

[timnc910]

Here is RAP

[Snowncanes]

absolutely insane rates in E NC on the 3k nam. LP just sitting there absolutely cranking for 20+ hours straight. Looks like models are catching on to it being more west, somewhat in line with the Gulf Stream. Dream E NC setup

[lilj4425]

10 minutes ago, JoshM said:

Don't look at the 6z 3k NAM, it's < .10"

Luckily it’s on an island by itself for now.