“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco

[powderfreak]

It’s a wall of precip moving north.. with easterly low level flow.

[Snowcrazed71]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It was 12-22" across the region...seems about on par.

Yup

[mreaves]

21 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

I don’t know, a half inch+ of QPF in this environment will be plowable.

The best mid-level banding often follows the QPF gradient or just north of it.

Might be another chance for a BGM-ALB-DDH-CON-LEW fluff factor band.

BTV has bumped it it up a bit. 

[weathafella]

UGW!!

[weathafella]

18+ for many.  And it seems that in general Monday is back in business on most guidance.

 

[powderfreak]

3 minutes ago, mreaves said:

BTV has bumped it it up a bit. 

I'd lower that by 30% to be honest.  Even a widespread 8-12" would be a noteworthy event.

[weathafella]

Uncle with 1.5-2 qpf for the eastern half of MA

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, weathafella said:

Uncle with 1.5-2 qpf for the eastern half of MA

Post? My data on UK is slooooow

[weathafella]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Post? My data on UK is slooooow

 

[weathafella]

Snow:

 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Uncle with 1.5-2 qpf for the eastern half of MA

More like an area of the south shore.

[78Blizzard]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Snow:

 

 

Those Storm Vista maps are always overdone.  I don't see that in any of the model runs on Pivotal.  Those are 10-1 ratios, which would bring E MA to 30" or more with the higher ratios.

[Ginx snewx]

Here's one for Wee Willie Winkle our resident encyclopedia. When was the last time Boston had 1.5 snow qpf and didn't hit 20 inches? 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Those Storm Vista maps are always overdone.  I don't see that in any of the model runs on Pivotal.  Those are 10-1 ratios, which would bring E MA to 30" or more with the higher ratios.

Pivotal 10:1 had 16" for me and a 21" jackpot around Scooter.  Probably 2' for him and 20" for me...in line with other guidance.

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Pivotal 10:1 had 16" for me and a 21" jackpot around Scooter.  Probably 2' for him and 20" for me...in line with other guidance.

All above 1.4 

[78Blizzard]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Pivotal 10:1 had 16" for me and a 21" jackpot around Scooter.  Probably 2' for him and 20" for me...in line with other guidance.

I noted earlier that there is something wrong with Pivotal's 10-1 ratio on both the 18z and 0z runs for the Ukie, at least.  The 10-1 snowfall total doesn't correspond with the qpf.

[weathafella]

12 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Those Storm Vista maps are always overdone.  I don't see that in any of the model runs on Pivotal.  Those are 10-1 ratios, which would bring E MA to 30" or more with the higher ratios.

They match 10:1 pretty closely this time.   Match the qpf.  The dark blue is 15”, the mauve is 18”, redder 21”.  There’s a 2” qpf stripe that matches that frim BOS to part of the south shore.

[mreaves]

16 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

I'd lower that by 30% to be honest.  Even a widespread 8-12" would be a noteworthy event.

Honestly? At start of this week, if you would have told me 3”-6” I would have been very happy. BTV always seems pretty level headed so I usually trust them. But you know your stuff too so I can see what you’re saying. 

[weathafella]

Point is, uncle is a pummeling but it is late Friday night and crazy uncle.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

All above 1.4 

Cool, 26" for all....you do you. Looks like 16-21" to me.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

I noted earlier that there is something wrong with Pivotal's 10-1 ration on both the 18z and 0z runs, at least.  The 10-1 snowfall total doesn't correspond with the qpf.

F5 has had that issue in the past, too...they seem to have rectified it.

[78Blizzard]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Coo, 26" for all....you do you. Looks like 16-21" to me.

Agree.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said:

Agree.

Not that there is anything wrong with that...Like Jerry said, it's a pummeling.

[78Blizzard]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Not that there is anything wrong with that...Like Jerry said, it's a pummeling.

Yup.  

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Definitely good to see the coastal assist creeping back into the picture tonight.

That will be critical to follow tomorrow.

Like I said earlier, probably the difference between 10-15 and 15-20

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

UK is weak over here. Ema thieves…

[WxWatcher007]

I'm just ready for it to get here. At some point, enough is enough. Of course, I'm up for the euro and tracking temps. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

EURO seems a hair more robust.

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

EURO seems a hair more robust.

Yep, especially down in SNE. Great run there. 

[weathafella]

15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

UK is weak over here. Ema thieves…

Euro spreads the wealth pretty evenly.