nycsnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, jm1220 said: Doesn't look like it's moving north all that fast over DE and hitting some resistance over DE Bay. I'm sure it's still coming but time to watch the radar and the CC line from here IMO. And heavy enough rates can overcome a very shallow warm layer a little above freezing which is probably what the HRRR is showing with the fighting back and forth. You beat me lol… was just gonna say it looks like it crashed into a wall there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 14 minutes ago, eduggs said: That's fair, but here's 3pm near Newark. That's a sleet sounding. So presumably sleet started before this time period. Obviously the further north you go, the later this sleet. But it definitely looks like it's coming quickly. That's why I'm heading outside now to enjoy it. That's a mix 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kjtc1979 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 NYC schools remote tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Sleet line clearly slowing down south it’s def coming but any slow down or stall means a lot here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Hpw can we track movement of sleet line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, nycsnow said: Sleet line clearly slowing down south it’s def coming but any slow down or stall means a lot here How are you tracking it ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 14 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Doesn't look like it's moving north all that fast over DE and hitting some resistance over DE Bay. I'm sure it's still coming but time to watch the radar and the CC line from here IMO. And heavy enough rates can overcome a very shallow warm layer a little above freezing which is probably what the HRRR is showing with the fighting back and forth. Plenty of indications that the mid level warmth makes faster progress to our west. Could see it flipping to sleet up in OC (if it gets that far) before it does here. This is shown on some of the mesos and borne out down on the Delmarva vs NoVa. We just need to hang on long enough. Might be able to swing a snow-sleet mix until very close to the end, which is looking like a little freezing drizzle. I'm not sure the difference between worst case and best case is all that much from this vantage point. Should be a fun day. 12⁰ with light snow here atm. Eyeballing between 2 and 3 inches. We have had a couple of heavy bursts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted January 25 Author Share Posted January 25 Just now, mikem81 said: Hpw can we track movement of sleet line? I love this group. After about a week of debate about if it will snow, sleet, or suppress... we get snow. The largest snow of the year. And so do we want to go outside, enjoy the snow, maybe build a snowman or a snow castle... we track the sleet line. Like it's a predator hunting us. You guys are great. I'll admit I was refreshing tropical tidbits and pivotal weather for the next frame on the EURO like a madman... but you guys got me beat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 I already have more than the NAM gave me on some runs (4”)…yes I’m kidding but I I’ll have more than 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 7 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Sleet line clearly slowing down south it’s def coming but any slow down or stall means a lot here Still looks to come in around 2PM but due to high initial ratios and the heavy incoming thump we're more likely to approach double digits 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, psv88 said: I already have more than the NAM gave me on some runs (4”)…yes I’m kidding but I I’ll have more than 4 One run of the Nam had me at 3 total and I'm approaching 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, psv88 said: I already have more than the NAM gave me on some runs (4”)…yes I’m kidding but I I’ll have more than 4 Yea it may end up more correct than other models with regards to a flip to sleet but its godawful otherwise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: One run of the Nam had me at 3 total and I'm approaching 4 Some people knew 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 11 minutes ago, mikem81 said: Hpw can we track movement of sleet line? Radar scope correlation coefficient setting and you’ll see the line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Astoriaweather Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Snow has kind of lightened up for now in Astoria Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 There is a wall of heavy snow coming look towards PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Few inches already on the ground here in Brooklyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 RRFS is 10-14” for Long Island. Wow 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted January 25 Author Share Posted January 25 Upton should have stuck to their guns instead of caving to the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: RRFS is 10-14” for Long Island. Wow When does it have sleet starting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 I’m up over 5” already. Location is near New City in Central Rockland County. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 2 minutes ago, TriPol said: Upton should have stuck to their guns instead of caving to the NAM. 8 to 12 not reasonable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Eyeballing 1-2” in west babylon just north of southern state Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 3 minutes ago, TriPol said: Upton should have stuck to their guns instead of caving to the NAM. P&C here is 8 - 14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Few inches already on the ground here in Brooklyn. 3 inches at my location in Sheepshead Bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Download RadarScope and use Correlation Coefficient. The yellow line is where sleet mixes in. This was as of a few minutes ago 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 4 minutes ago, TriPol said: Upton should have stuck to their guns instead of caving to the NAM. Think they’ve done a great job based on how this looks right now in Suffolk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Astoriaweather Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 https://x.com/ryankanerwx/status/2015418444397556035?s=46&t=vSc28c4jRnGy3UkOwCbIQQ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Download RadarScope and use Correlation Coefficient. The yellow line is where sleet mixes in. This was as of a few minutes ago Got pushed back last few frames w little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 4 hours ago, wkd said: What is the source of this table? It's really nice. https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_base_dyn.cgi?stn=KTTN&unit=0&timetype=LOCAL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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