NEG NAO Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 who else thinks this is too far north ? Transfer is too the NJ coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 If they were to change totals i would go with 8-14 for long Island area to cover all possibilities 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 While there may be some similarities, the 2/13/14 storm didn't have a rapidly northeastward advancing warmer layer at 700mb. This one does. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: who else thinks this is too far north ? Transfer is too the NJ coast Jim cantore just mentioned this and was why he was concerned now with ZR in the city an south and east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 And with that we all missed updated warning. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 119 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026 NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-250800- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.260125T0800Z-260126T2300Z/ Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau- Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 119 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and sleet expected. The snow is expected to mix with or change to sleet Sunday afternoon into the evening. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 8 and 12 inches. A brief changeover to light freezing rain along with a few hundredths of ice may occur Sunday night. The precipitation may go back to light snow late Sunday night. Isolated wind gusts around 35 mph possible Sunday afternoon and evening. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 3 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Roads will become snow covered and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and blowing snow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, Astoriaweather said: Taken from Mid-Atlantic forum. But this looks great, if it were to verify even with a few inches shaved off. That’s till 8p Sunday night. I’m sure it’s still snowing atleast up here in the HV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, Prue11 said: Jim cantore just mentioned this and was why he was concerned now with ZR in the city an south and east this just keeps getting worse. it is reminding me of jan 94. iirc we expected lots of snow then too; didn't get it, but got the ice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, snywx said: That’s till 8p Sunday night. I’m sure it’s still snowing atleast up here in the HV Totals too high along NJ coast and Philly and points south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, wthrmn654 said: And with that we all missed updated warning. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 119 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026 NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-250800- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.260125T0800Z-260126T2300Z/ Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau- Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 119 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and sleet expected. The snow is expected to mix with or change to sleet Sunday afternoon into the evening. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 8 and 12 inches. A brief changeover to light freezing rain along with a few hundredths of ice may occur Sunday night. The precipitation may go back to light snow late Sunday night. Isolated wind gusts around 35 mph possible Sunday afternoon and evening. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 3 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Roads will become snow covered and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and blowing snow. Seems more reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Uptons updated warning still calling for 10-16” here. Down from 12-16” mentioned a possible change to sleet towards the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 What's odd, Upton ice map is less then what it had been last night or this morning I do believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, weatherpruf said: no, they are just late to the game. i'll bet these amounts go down later. still a dangerous storm. Nah prob stick with that. Pretty good bet unless they only used NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 If it remains clear after sunset for awhile and winds die down. We can be looking at snow starting before sunrise with a temp around 0°F here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 26 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: it was more of an ice storm, with the few inches freezing solid, you could not get the ice off car windows it was too thick. with no home depots around yet, you could not get salt, table salt, kitty litter or sand. i got stuck in a parking lot on the ice spinning in circles and had to be pulled off by a passing tow truck. That might have been around January 8 94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 I think ZR is a real factor if the upper levels warm and the secondary is too close to the coast. It probably would be at the tail end but even .1 qpf of zr would just make things even more of a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Astoriaweather Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 6 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Totals too high along NJ coast and Philly and points south Maybe (and I think NYC only getting 5 to 8). But interesting that even LWX in DC-Baltimore sticking with 6-10 down there. If DC gets 6 to 10, think there would be no way NJ and NYC somehow get less. Basically, all the NWS offices staying aggressive and fairly coordinated. Maybe they all bust. Maybe there is a reason they are all so aggressive. I don't know, but it's almost game time. Maybe the NAM comes back a bit south this afternoon and evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: I think ZR is a real factor if the upper levels warm and the secondary is too close to the coast. It probably would be at the tail end but even .1 qpf of zr would just make things even more of a mess. Would just make it a gigantic glacier. Even if we have a period of freezing drizzle at the end it will fuse everything together into concrete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: They keep going lower and lower ever since yesterday as predicted by a lot of us, I still think they might go lower. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 14 minutes ago, psv88 said: No North Shore local jack, although NWNJ/OC did even better. We had over a foot followed by a little freezing rain and a bonus inch on the backend. South shore flipped to plain rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 7 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: That might have been around January 8 94 i remember it being around mlk day, as i was off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Does anyone think outside of southeast LI anywhere will go above freezing during this storm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, Prue11 said: Does anyone think outside of southeast LI anyone will go above freezing during this storm? The posters from coastal NJ south of maybe Asbury Park yes since there's an easterly flow established, otherwise no. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 44 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Yep, 2/13/14 for example I don’t think was a rapidly intensifying coastal and there was widespread 10-14” amounts. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 948 AM EST THU FEB 13 2014 .SYNOPSIS... A NOR-EASTER WILL IMPACT THE TRI-STATE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE EXITING ON FRIDAY. A WEAKER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN SLOWLY BUILDS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL NOON TODAY/... AS OF 9 AM...A BAND OF VERY HEAVY SNOW WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 TO 6 INCHES PER HOUR HAS OVERSPREAD COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE REGION...COLLOCATED WITH AN INTENSE FRONTOGENETIC BAND LIFTING NORTH FROM CENTRAL NJ AND OFF THE OCEAN. REPORTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES IN 30 MINUTES HAVE BEEN COMING INTO THE OFFICE UNDER THIS BAND. IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE COAST...RESULTING IN NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES. THIS HEAVY SNOW BAND WILL CONTINUE TO WORK NORTHWARD INTO THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT THROUGH 11 AM...COMBINED WITH 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTS...WITH RAPIDLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS. AROUND 1 FT OF SNOW LIKELY FROM MID MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON ACROSS THE INTERIOR WITH THIS BAND. AT THE SAME TIME...WATCHING TRANSITION LINE TO SLEET AND RAIN CREEPING UP THE COAST...CURRENTLY JUST SOUTH OF LI/NYC. THIS SHOULD START WORKING INTO THE SHORELINE OF LI/NYC BY AROUND 9 AM...AND THEN GRADUALLY PROGRESSING NORTH AND WESTWARD THROUGH THE MID TO LATE MORNING. CHANGEOVER LINE WILL SLOW DOWN AS IT TRIES TO PROGRESS NORTH ACROSS THE INTERIOR...BUT MAY NOT OCCUR UNTIL FRONTOGENETIC BAND IS NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID AFTERNOON. OTHER FEATURE OF NOTE IS DRY SLOT WORKING NORTH THROUGH THE DELMARVA AND SOUTHERN NJ THIS MORNING...WHICH SHOULD WORK INTO LI/NYC AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NE NJ BY AROUND MIDDAY...AND THEN INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND CT BY EARLY AFTERNOON...AND THEN NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID AFTERNOON. ONLY LIGHT SHOWERY PRECIP EXPECTED UNDER THIS DRY SLOT FOR REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...UNTIL DEFORMATION BANDING/INSTABILITY PRECIP STARTS WORKING IN FROM THE SW AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW IN THEEVENING. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. && .SHORT TERM /NOON TODAY THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/... THE TIMING OF CHANGEOVER BACK TO SNOW THIS EVENING AND WHERE THE HEAVIEST AXIS OF DEFORMATION ZONE PCPN SETS UP REMAINS A WILD CARD...BUT EARLY INDICATION ARE THAT IT MAY SET UP A BIT FARTHER EAST ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE CWA. THE 00Z AND 06Z NAM SHOWS A ROBUST AXIS OF PCPN WITH OVER A HALF INCH OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT. ISOLD TSTMS POSSIBLE TNGT. FIRST CHCS WITH THETAE ADVECTION...SECOND ROUND WITH H5 LOW PASSING OVER THE CWA. WINDS STILL ON TRACK FOR 45 MPH GUSTS ACROSS ERN ZONES WITH A 970S LOW NEAR MARTHAS VINEYARD AT 6Z FRI. ISOLD HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTN WITH A 60 KT NELY LLJET AT H925. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 how did the euro run? I was at the shopping center. I'm driving right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 5 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: 179 FXUS61 KOKX 131448 AFDOKX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 948 AM EST THU FEB 13 2014 .SYNOPSIS... A NOR-EASTER WILL IMPACT THE TRI-STATE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE EXITING ON FRIDAY. A WEAKER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN SLOWLY BUILDS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL NOON TODAY/... AS OF 9 AM...A BAND OF VERY HEAVY SNOW WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 TO 6 INCHES PER HOUR HAS OVERSPREAD COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE REGION...COLLOCATED WITH AN INTENSE FRONTOGENETIC BAND LIFTING NORTH FROM CENTRAL NJ AND OFF THE OCEAN. REPORTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES IN 30 MINUTES HAVE BEEN COMING INTO THE OFFICE UNDER THIS BAND. IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE COAST...RESULTING IN NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES. THIS HEAVY SNOW BAND WILL CONTINUE TO WORK NORTHWARD INTO THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT THROUGH 11 AM...COMBINED WITH 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTS...WITH RAPIDLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS. AROUND 1 FT OF SNOW LIKELY FROM MID MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON ACROSS THE INTERIOR WITH THIS BAND. AT THE SAME TIME...WATCHING TRANSITION LINE TO SLEET AND RAIN CREEPING UP THE COAST...CURRENTLY JUST SOUTH OF LI/NYC. THIS SHOULD START WORKING INTO THE SHORELINE OF LI/NYC BY AROUND 9 AM...AND THEN GRADUALLY PROGRESSING NORTH AND WESTWARD THROUGH THE MID TO LATE MORNING. CHANGEOVER LINE WILL SLOW DOWN AS IT TRIES TO PROGRESS NORTH ACROSS THE INTERIOR...BUT MAY NOT OCCUR UNTIL FRONTOGENETIC BAND IS NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID AFTERNOON. OTHER FEATURE OF NOTE IS DRY SLOT WORKING NORTH THROUGH THE DELMARVA AND SOUTHERN NJ THIS MORNING...WHICH SHOULD WORK INTO LI/NYC AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NE NJ BY AROUND MIDDAY...AND THEN INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND CT BY EARLY AFTERNOON...AND THEN NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID AFTERNOON. ONLY LIGHT SHOWERY PRECIP EXPECTED UNDER THIS DRY SLOT FOR REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...UNTIL DEFORMATION BANDING/INSTABILITY PRECIP STARTS WORKING IN FROM THE SW AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW IN THE EVENING. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. && .SHORT TERM /NOON TODAY THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/... THE TIMING OF CHANGEOVER BACK TO SNOW THIS EVENING AND WHERE THE HEAVIEST AXIS OF DEFORMATION ZONE PCPN SETS UP REMAINS A WILD CARD...BUT EARLY INDICATION ARE THAT IT MAY SET UP A BIT FARTHER EAST ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE CWA. THE 00Z AND 06Z NAM SHOWS A ROBUST AXIS OF PCPN WITH OVER A HALF INCH OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT. ISOLD TSTMS POSSIBLE TNGT. FIRST CHCS WITH THETAE ADVECTION...SECOND ROUND WITH H5 LOW PASSING OVER THE CWA. WINDS STILL ON TRACK FOR 45 MPH GUSTS ACROSS ERN ZONES WITH A 970S LOW NEAR MARTHAS VINEYARD AT 6Z FRI. ISOLD HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTN WITH A 60 KT NELY LLJET AT H925. DRY AND WINDY ON FRI WITH GUSTS IN THE 35-40 MPH RANGE. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC STATES FRIDAY NIGHT...EMERGES OFF THE COAST SATURDAY MORNING...AND PASSES WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL EXTEND NORTHWARD FROM THE CENTER AND PASS THROUGH THE TRI STATE AREA. CAPPED POPS AT CHANCE FOR NOW...WITH GENERALLY HIGHER CHANCES OF PCPN OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE CWA. PCPN TYPE MAINLY SNOW...BUT A RAIN/SNOW MIX COULD DEVELOP IN ANY REMAINING PCPN DURING SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE SE ZONES WITH BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING. POTENTIAL LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WITH THIS SYSTEM. WITH THIS EVENT...MODELS HAVE TRENDED TOWARD THE ECMWF SOLUTION OF A STRONGER LOW CENTER PASSING TO THE SOUTH AND A WEAKER LOW TO THE NORTH. THE ECMWF ALSO BRINGS THE LOW CENTER CLOSEST TO THE COAST AS IT PASSES BY...SO WILL NEED TO SEE IF THE OTHER MODELS TREND TOWARDS ITS CLOSER/WETTER SOLUTION AND IF THIS COULD BE MORE THAN A LIGHT SNOWFALL POTENTIAL. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY WITH DRY WEATHER AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. TIMING DIFFERENCES STILL EXIST AMONG THE MODELS REGARDING THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. HAVEN'T CHANGED ALL THAT MUCH FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...SO WILL MAINTAIN CHC POPS AND MIXED PCPN MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE AND NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES THEN FOLLOWS ON WEDNESDAY. && .AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... ...HIGH IMPACT WINTER STORM THROUGH TONIGHT... LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING IFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD. LOW-MOD CONFIDENCE WITH PCPN TYPE AND TIMING AFTER 15Z AS SNOW MIXES WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...POSSIBLY GOING OVER TO ALL RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET AS FAR WEST AS THE NYC TERMINALS IN THE AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST TO NORTH WIND INCREASE INTO THE AFTN TO 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. WIND BECOMES NORTHWEST TO WEST AFTER 03Z 15 TO 25 KT GUSTING UP TO 35 KT. SNOWFALL TOTALS THROUGH 00Z FRI...COASTAL 5-10 INCHES. INLAND 7-12 INCHES. 0.05 TO 0.10 INCHES OF ICE IS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON FROM KEWR TO KTEB TO KHPN TO KBDR. TONIGHT PRECIPITATION TRANSITIONS BACK TO ALL SNOW...WITH IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS. ADDITIONAL 1-3 INCHES AT THE COAST...AND 4-8 INCHES INLAND. THE SNOW WILL BE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING 09Z THROUGH 12Z WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WIND 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 KT. NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT... DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE) KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: PCPN MIX OF SLEET...RAIN...AND SNOW THROUGH 18Z. PERIOD OF -RA/DZ PSBL THROUGH THE AFTN. TIMING OF PCPN TYPE CHANGE OVER COULD DIFFER 1-2 HOURS. KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: PCPN MIX OF SLEET...RAIN...AND SNOW THROUGH 18Z. PERIOD OF -RA/DZ PSBL THROUGH THE AFTN. TIMING OF PCPN TYPE CHANGE OVER COULD DIFFER 1-2 HOURS. KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: PCPN MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW THROUGH 18Z. PERIOD OF -RA/DZ PSBL THROUGH THE AFTN. TIMING OF PCPN TYPE CHANGE OVER COULD DIFFER 1-2 HOURS. KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: PCPN MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW THROUGH 18Z. PERIOD OF -RA/DZ PSBL THROUGH THE AFTN. TIMING OF PCPN TYPE CHANGE OVER COULD DIFFER 1-2 HOURS. KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE THROUGH 16Z. PCPN MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW THROUGH 18Z. PERIOD OF -RA/DZ PSBL THROUGH THE AFTN. TIMING OF PCPN TYPE CHANGE OVER COULD DIFFER 1-2 HOURS. KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: HEAVY SNOW PSBL THROUGH 16Z. PCPN MIX OF SLEET...RAIN...AND SNOW THROUGH 20Z. PERIOD OF -RA/DZ PSBL THROUGH THE AFTN. TIMING OF PCPN TYPE CHANGE OVER COULD DIFFER 1-2 HOURS. .OUTLOOK FOR 15Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY... .FRI...VFR WITH STRONG W WINDS EARLY. POTENTIAL FOR MVFR/IFR IN SN SHOWERS FRI EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. WEST WIND AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. .SAT...CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING WITH MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS. SNOW ENDING AROUND 17Z WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS. NW WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 KT. .SUN-MON...MAINLY VFR. PCPN PSBL BY MON EVENING BRINGING SUB-VFR CONDITIONS. && .MARINE... GALES WINDS DEVELOPING THIS MORNING. ISOLD STORM FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE ON THE OCEAN. THE GALES CONTINUE TNGT AS THE LOW PASSES NE OF THE WATERS...AND FINALLY WIND DOWN BY LATE IN THE DAY FRI. WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE FRIDAY NIGHT. ALL BUT THE EASTERN OCEAN WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA...AND REMAIN BELOW IT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS AND SEAS THEN INCREASE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PASSES WELL OFFSHORE. SCA FOR ALL WATERS PROBABLE DURING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. WINDS DIMINISH ONCE AGAIN SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD THE WATERS. && .HYDROLOGY... AROUND 1.5 TO 1.75 INCHES OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH THE UPCOMING STORM. SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. WHILE MOST OF THE AREAS WILL RECEIVE SNOW...EASTERN PORTIONS OF LI AND CT COULD RECEIVE A PERIOD OF MODERATE RAINFALL RESULTING IN AREAS OF MINOR FLOODING...PARTICULARLY WHERE SNOW AND ICE BANKS HAVE LIMITED DRAINAGE. LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. NO HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED DURING THIS TIME FRAME. && .TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON FOR HIGH SURF OF 6 TO 10 FT AT THE OCEAN FACING SHORELINES. MAIN TIME PERIOD OF CONCERN FOR LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS THE THIS EVE/TONIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLE...WITH GENERALLY 2 TO 2 1/2 FT OF STORM SURGE. LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTH SHORE OF WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND TWIN FORKS OF LONG ISLAND WITH 1 TO 3 FT WAVE ACTION. ELSEWHERE...LOCALIZED IMPACTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND AND NY HARBOR. SOME OF THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS ARE FROZEN...COMPLICATING THE THREAT. && .EQUIPMENT... DUE TO INTERFERENCE ISSUES WITH THE U.S. COAST GUARD EMERGENCY BROADCAST CHANNEL...THE NEW YORK CITY NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO STATION KWO35 IS OUT OF SERVICE. DURING THE TIME...THE TRANSMITTER MAY BE RETURNED TO SERVICE INTERMITTENTLY FOR USE OF THE NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO DURING POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATIONS...FOR ROUTINE WEEKLY TEST OF THE WARNING SYSTEM...AND TO DETERMINE IF THE INTERFERENCE ISSUE HAS BEEN RESOLVED. && .OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY FOR CTZ005>012. NY...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY FOR NYZ067>075- 078>081-176>179. HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY FOR NYZ080-081-178-179. NJ...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY FOR NJZ002-004-006- 103>108. MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ335-338-345-355. GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ330-340-350-353. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JMC/JC NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM...JMC LONG TERM...JC AVIATION...BC/SEARS MARINE...JMC/JC HYDROLOGY...JMC/JC TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... EQUIPMENT... Still the heaviest snow I’ve ever seen. 5” an hour, flakes the size of actual pancakes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: how did the euro run? I was at the shopping center. I'm driving right now. Pretty much the same as previous run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: how did the euro run? I was at the shopping center. I'm driving right now. Tick snowier 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Somehow cmc ensembles ran but anyways their a goooood hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 19 minutes ago, MJO812 said: That's the first time I have ever seen then update their maps twice in 2 hours lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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