clskinsfan Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 This cold after the storm is legit. Bottom of the driveway glaciers incoming. No matter how much falls. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Can’t see how this run is not an improvement GFS: "Hold my beer" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LordBaltimore Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 4 minutes ago, bncho said: I'm like 90% sure that the RGEM 10km is a higher res version of the CMC—exact same output otherwise The names people call models in casual discussion is sort of confusing. The CMC is the GEM model, run by the CMC (met center). Hence RGEM is regional GEM. Similarly the ECMWF isn't really the ECMWF, it's the IFS run by the ECMWF AKA the Euro Center for medium range weather forecasting 4 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 The GFS has begun running. May the odds be ever in our favor 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 We turn our eyes to the Goofy Forecasting System 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Weird. The usual models that honk snow the most…gfs and sphire are big no 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 4 minutes ago, Nomz said: We turn our eyes to the Goofy Forecasting System Otherwise known as the GooFus. Otherwise know as the GFS. Otherwise known as the American weather model that mostly sucks until it shows something that we like. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Ji said: Weird. The usual models that honk snow the most…gfs and sphire are big no The Spire?? I'm gonna go out on a limb and say the Spire isn't exactly known for its accuracy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, winter_warlock said: The Spire?? I'm gonna go out on a limb and say the Spire isn't exactly known for its accuracy He also posted a 12z run so who cares. More Ji panhandling. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 14 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: This cold after the storm is legit. Bottom of the driveway glaciers incoming. No matter how much falls. That's some serious cold!! Single digits down to North Carolina!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 GFS almost identical so far...early tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Very early but the sw off CA is trending less closed. We’ll see how that goes 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: GFS almost identical so far...early tho It’s only fitting the guy with the mlk avatar brings one in our direction on mlk day… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 If the GFS came out after the Euro/ggem/UK we wouldn’t even pay attention to it 4 6 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Hr 60, TPV a bit weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Little less southern on the sw and little more energy coming down from nw pacific so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 Compared with it's own run, GFS is about the same...RGEM/ICON were a bit east at this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 If the GFS came out after the Euro/ggem/UK we wouldn’t even pay attention to it It’s like the kid having the house to himself and then the dad arrives at 1230 to tell him no 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, stormtracker said: Compared with it's own run, GFS is about the same...RGEM/ICON were a bit east at this time Im def seeing differences Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, TSSN+ said: Im def seeing differences More energy coming from the back, could open this thing up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 Just now, TSSN+ said: Im def seeing differences There are some slight diff. I guess I'm looking more in terms of that wave coming out and also comparing to the ICON/RGEM positionI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, Terpeast said: More energy coming from the back, could open this thing up Yup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 Just now, Terpeast said: More energy coming from the back, could open this thing up But yeah, at 93, it is a bit more interaction and further inland...a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 At 78hrs, heights are noticeably higher on the east coast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 ok, differences are a bit apparent at 99...s/w is a bit more easter 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Right direction 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 We’re going to need more than that difference wise downstream to have the implications we need. It’s a positive; but it’s not much yet. I like the height improvement and tpv more than the s/w energy changes early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, DDweatherman said: We’re going to need more than that difference wise downstream to have the implications we need. It’s a positive; but it’s not much yet. I like the height improvement and tpv more than the s/w energy changes esrly Hey any step is a good one with how stubborn it's been 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 Regardless of outcome, seems to be positive baby steps so far 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 It’s getting there 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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