January 24-25: Miracle or Mirage

[MillvilleWx]

4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

The 6z Sunday sounding looks AMAZING. Mlcape in the 350s and pounding snow. Maybe a rumble or 2? 

Yeah, that sounding is a mauling of epic proportions. I mentioned to @wxdude64 tonight that I think 2-3”/hr is on the table during the storm height. It’s truly one of the better setups you’ll get at your latitude. 

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, winter_warlock said:

00z icon at very end of its run... And  it's still snowing at hour 120 for all of us. And more snow to come!

That's 18z dude

[Jebman]

22 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Hopefully Cantore goes to Richmond.

Earlier, I was just talkin out my ass. I have NO idea where Cantore is going. Probably Richmond is my wag.

[bncho]

Jeez, guys. Keep it together. Stop posting incorrect maps. I, for one, would never do that. 

[TSSN+]

Can people learn how to read what hour the model intialized? Stop posting old maps for the love of god.

[brooklynwx99]

ICON is way better, not even close

[Interstate]

1 minute ago, winter_warlock said:

00z icon at very end of its run... And  it's still snowing at hour 120 for all of us. And more snow to come!

Icon goes to 180

[LeesburgWx]

Just now, SnowenOutThere said:

Icon clearly has a better setup for NS and SW phase interaction 0z 

18z

Pretty big differences up top with the NS 

[Ji]

Just now, stormtracker said:

That's 18z dude

geez....perhaps limit who can posts maps man. this is like 8th time in 2 days

[SnowenOutThere]

Just now, MillvilleWx said:

Yeah, that sounding is a mauling of epic proportions. I mentioned to @wxdude64 tonight that I think 2-3”/hr is on the table during the storm height. It’s truly one of the better setups you’ll get at your latitude. 

Do you think we can get any thundersnow with this setup? No idea how dynamics work behind it or what to look for in general. 

[Interstate]

Just now, stormtracker said:

That's 18z dude

Once again. He should be stripped of his duty 

[TSSN+]

This is coming north. 
 

 

[Weather Will]

[stormtracker]

ICON is ICONing.  Looks nice so far at 114

[MillvilleWx]

4 minutes ago, WxMan1 said:

Exactly. This storm does have some similarities to PDII in February 2003. I was working at the AKQ WFO at the time and at one point we had 12-18" for RIC and counties north. Problem is LWX had the same totals for their CWA in northern VA. We were like, hmmm, not *everyone* will get that...there has to be a mix somewhere, likely in the heavier QPF area farther south. Sure enough, RIC got 3-5" of sleet. Still a WSW, but yeah, in the mid Atlantic it's quite rare to get a 100-150 mile north-south swath of jackpot snow. Just doesn't happen. Climo, climo, climo! I know where the heaviest QPF is still progged (south), but I bet you the best ratios, and thus heaviest snow, will be north of Rte 50, maybe even north of I-70.  

I’m with you on this, although I think north of I-66 is probably in the goods for this one along with the elevations in southwest VA. Looks like a good time brewing  

[Weather Will]

[LP08]

That is a wow run of the ICON

[LeesburgWx]

Just now, Weather Will said:

Holy Shit. Pummeled

[stormtracker]

Yeah, she's beautiful.   All snow for most of us

[Weather Will]

0Z Mon.

[stormtracker]

Looks like 20 Kuchera inches, a foot regular 

[SnowenOutThere]

Icon has the crazy lift in the DGZ during the coastal takeover. 

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said:

Holy Shit. Pummeled

Tucked

[Warm Nose]

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

[bncho]

ICON = 20"

What a run.

[winter_warlock]

4 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

That’s 18z

I realized that and deleted it lol. 

[Weather Will]

6Z

[Snowman.]

DCA and BWI jack on ICON

[Nomz]

Love the icon. At 12:1 in DC it looks like about 15 inches.

[stormtracker]

Just now, winter_warlock said:

I realized that and deleted it lol. 

It's honest mistakes.  I've done it, but this is why I'm sometimes "slow" or late making calls because I double and triple check before posting anything.  Just gotta slow down