Coach McGuirk Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 I hate how NYC is now expecting a foot of snow. We are lucky for an ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Is the NAM even worth considering anymore?? Not for just this storm but period. This is terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 The FV3 looks good for the initial thump! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 NAM is usually good for mid levels and sometimes low level temps. Inside it's range. That's really all I see the NAM good for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 This is also mid January, when the sun can't help warm the blacktop as much, so 31/32 and rain has a much higher chance of truly being freezing rain than if this were mid to late Feb. Not sure I’d call the 25th of January mid January . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Nam looks about the exact same as 18Z honestly. Slightly less precipitation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sakau2007 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 what do you guys think will happen in the smokey mountains and in places like boone? ordinarily, they squeeze out more snow but because of the warm layer, might the higher peaks be at or above freezing for most of the event, making it an odd situation where the smokey mountains are all rain while NE GA and upstate SC are icy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppalachianWedge Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 That was the first sun angle post. Now we just need the gulf storms robbing moisture post. .That only comes up if it is robbing snow.Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 5 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Not sure I’d call the 25th of January mid January . Eh. That's fair. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockyKnob Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, sakau2007 said: what do you guys think will happen in the smokey mountains and in places like boone? ordinarily, they squeeze out more snow but because of the warm layer, might the higher peaks be at or above freezing for most of the event, making it an odd situation where the smokey mountains are all rain while NE GA and upstate SC are icy? I’m not sure what altitude the warm layer will occupy, but generally, for the reasons you mention, freezing rain is generally not a thing in the mountains. The high peaks in particular should be fine. Valleys like Boone can still have sone issues, but I can’t see prolonged freezing rain above 3,000 feet unless us down in the flatlands get mostly sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Looking more like PD-2 in 2003. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fyredog28 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just a fyi, if yall don't see me posting much, my shift on the Fire Dept works on Sunday but it looks like its gonna be bad so they may call us all in Saturday evening. May have to work 36 hrs straight... If I dont have time to post ill try to get on and scan the pages but I hope u all stay safe and keep your power on!I drew the short straw and have Saturday. Be safe!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 11 minutes ago, sakau2007 said: what do you guys think will happen in the smokey mountains and in places like boone? ordinarily, they squeeze out more snow but because of the warm layer, might the higher peaks be at or above freezing for most of the event, making it an odd situation where the smokey mountains are all rain while NE GA and upstate SC are icy? Ice to start then mostly rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sakau2007 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Ice to start then mostly rain what a bummer for the ski resorts. a chance to get several feet of good snow and they will get little to nothing? oof. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Hope the NAM is right if we can't get snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 0Z NAM showing a lot of sleet. If this verifies, ZR could be minimized to accrual levels that are far less damaging in central NC. We shall see.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, Brick Tamland said: You’d have to be on drugs to draw that map 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3K NAM is also sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: As an upstate resident, I’d love for that to verify. Lights stay on most likely! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 NAM: This is a snowstorm for Ontario 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diggiebot Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 5 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Map makes absolutely no sense 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 12 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: You’d have to be on drugs to draw that map NAM'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 The FV3 looks good for the initial thump!Southern extent of 1-3 inch “thump”? Triad? Or North . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 That map depicts a sleet fest and a relative lull in precipitation in central NC. It’s higher north due to more precipitation falling during that lull after warm nose. East is higher due to more ZR than sleet. It’s plausible but anything is at this point except significant snow in the Triangle (this time).. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 4 minutes ago, DC2Winston said: Southern extent of 1-3 inch “thump”? Triad? Or North . Pittsburgh 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppalachianWedge Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Eh. That's fair. We can call it late-mid January.Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTP Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 hour ago, Blacksburg Coach said: Curious what you guys think. Can sleet accumulate to cause tree damage or power outages? I have never experienced a sleet storm that has stuck to anything other than the ground. Not to my knowledge- spheres (IP) generally will not stick to another curved surface and typically bounce or roll off However, freezing drizzle between sleet showers (pretty common) definitely will stick to trees and powerlines, even more than ZR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Well, it's supposed to get down to 17 degrees tomorrow night. It is extremely cold and difficult to get over freezing when the storm is storming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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