January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm

[AppalachianWedge]

 Feels like not so much the calm before the storm but the deep breath before the storm because I’m old enough to remember 2002 pretty well and it sucked. And I think that’s the best analog here. I also think some posters here have not emotionally recovered from the rug pull this week lol

I think it's because no one here cares about ice.

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[neatlburbwthrguy]

HRRR looks to bring a little snow to extreme north ga mountains with initial band of precip if it can make it through the dry air.  
 

[ADB83]

2 minutes ago, AppalachianWedge said:

I think it's because no one here cares about ice.

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They will soon. Hope everyone is ready. 

[lookingnorth]

I am in Norman, OK, and I will say that a lot of the models were showing sleet for me at this time frame, but we are getting snow currently. It's no guarantee that the warm nose will be less intense than modeled in the Southeast, but just a data point to consider.

[Buddy1987]

NAM early on in the run has the HP slightly stronger out in the Midwest. See if it helps with temps as we go here and keeps the stones around longer. 

[Buddy1987]

1 minute ago, lookingnorth said:

I am in Norman, OK, and I will say that a lot of the models were showing sleet for me at this time frame, but we are getting snow currently. It's no guarantee that the warm nose will be less intense than modeled in the Southeast, but just a data point to consider.

Appreciate you stopping in! 

[strongwxnc]

Been wall to wall weather since Sunday. just ready for actual obs to pop!


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[Grayman]

11 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

The HRRR is a devastating ice storm for the Carolinas. @Buddy1987the HRRR smoked yall man with 8"

Did not expect that either. Just not show about that run. Different for sure 

[PackGrad05]

HRRR is very cold for central NC and shows a long duration freezing rain event.

[Buddy1987]

Looks like the NAM finally is starting to latch onto the idea of a more significant qpf producer as hr 19 has a good chunk filled over the state of TX. Beginning portion of the precip our way has the “finger” of snow pointed directly at the NC mountain empire. 
 

Around 00z sleet and freezing rain mix spilling over now into NC. Snow breaking out 81 corridor up into VA. 

[Snow dog]

12 minutes ago, ADB83 said:

They will soon. Hope everyone is ready. 

I think I can speak for the upstate SC folks… we are truly dreading this storm.  Anyone ‘rooting’ for ice/fz rain hasn’t been through what’s about to come to us.  Please check on your neighbors and the elderly. This is serious ‘shit’ that we are getting ready to experience.  I pray that everyone stays safe & warm…

[USCG RS]

1 minute ago, Snow dog said:

I think I can speak for the upstate SC folks… we are truly dreading this storm.  Anyone ‘rooting’ for ice/fz rain hasn’t been through what’s about to come to us.  Please check on your neighbors and the elderly. This is serious ‘shit’ that we are getting ready to experience.  I pray that everyone stays safe & warm…

100%. 

[Buddy1987]

@BornAgain13HR 36 literally might have us giggle as to how hard the sleet will be coming down outside. The band verbatim the NAM has roll thru is like a damn summer time thunderstorm. 

[Snow dog]

My optimistic side says we stay sleet longer than forecasted.  Local Mets saying that’s what we need to pray for.  Even an hour or 2 longer of sleet could make a big difference in what ultimately happens here in the upstate….

[Brick Tamland]

8 minutes ago, PeeDeeWx said:

Brick just got a semi.

[lilj4425]

8 minutes ago, Snow dog said:

I think I can speak for the upstate SC folks… we are truly dreading this storm.  Anyone ‘rooting’ for ice/fz rain hasn’t been through what’s about to come to us.  Please check on your neighbors and the elderly. This is serious ‘shit’ that we are getting ready to experience.  I pray that everyone stays safe & warm…

I live in Greenville. The only thing I can hope is that Helene brought down enough trees so maybe it won’t be as bad as it could be. Either that or it’s sleet/less qpf than the models are showing. 

[Snow dog]

Just now, lilj4425 said:

I live in Greenville. The only thing I can hope is that Helene brought down enough trees so maybe it won’t be as bad as it could be. Either that or it’s sleet/less qpf than the models are showing. 

Yeah- Helene ended up costing me just over $13k in tree work and landscaping on my property.  Right now I’m most worried about being cold when the inevitable happens and power is lost. I do have a generator, but worry about folks that dont. Forecasted lows Monday night here are around 5.  That’s concerning……

[ADB83]

NAM continuing to show the dry slot. Also has a nice little line of rain going through Raleigh at the end lol 

[Snow dog]

Just now, ADB83 said:

NAM continuing to show the dry slot. Also has a nice little line of rain going through Raleigh at the end lol 

Does that dry slot extend into upstate S.C.? 

[RockyKnob]

WNC doesn’t have the fragile pines that are in ENC, so they have that going for them. Also, any places with altitude will either be sleet or rain. It’s tough to get prolonged freezing rain there. The escarpment will have freezing rain, but without the pines to collapse everywhere, it hopefully will not be so bad. 

[Tony Sisk]

39 minutes ago, AppalachianWedge said:

I think it's because no one here cares about ice.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk
 

^^THIS^^ no one cares about ice nor wants ice.

[USCG RS]

6 minutes ago, Snow dog said:

Yeah- Helene ended up costing me just over $13k in tree work and landscaping on my property.  Right now I’m most worried about being cold when the inevitable happens and power is lost. I do have a generator, but worry about folks that dont. Forecasted lows Monday night here are around 5.  That’s concerning……

That is exactly what is concerning me. Its actaully giving me a good bit of anxiety because this could be really rough from that point of view. 

[greendave]

[wncsnow]

Short range all trending south with initial precip. Super close for north of 40 for snow for a few hours now

[Buddy1987]

FV3 also now has that punch of a dry slot come flying up. Hi Res models maybe onto something. Post dry slot though back end comes in guns a blazin 

[NorthHillsWx]

NAM is honestly a nuisance event in Raleigh. 0.30” of mixed QPF then the rest is plain old rain. WTF are we getting an ice storm or insignificant slop?

[Brick Tamland]

[Brick Tamland]

[Snow dog]

1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said:

*Check please*

[Brick Tamland]

3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

NAM is honestly a nuisance event in Raleigh. 0.30” of mixed QPF then the rest is plain old rain. WTF are we getting an ice storm or insignificant slop?

I hate this stupid storm.