Damage In Tolland Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I still think you could see some snow, but I think the trough orientation is sharpening a bit more which brings the main snow band NW. The 36 hour RAP performs very well… Said no one ever … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 22 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Temps do look kinda borderline here. Better not fn rain after all this. Let's get the system a bit stronger for heavier rates I think that’s being kind of overblown. If it’s anything other than light snow for 18 hours, I think you’ll be fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I think that’s being kind of overblown. If it’s anything other than light snow for 18 hours, I think you’ll be fine Most likely..6z looked a little warmish at the start but this is going to waffle a bit until go time I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I think that’s being kind of overblown. If it’s anything other than light snow for 18 hours, I think you’ll be fine It’s a product of this being closer. I do think some precip may be used to cool the airmass a bit. I’d like to see this more meaty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 18 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I don't think much will be happening until after the game... ride home might have some snow depending on how long you stay in the lot. I wish it was coming in sooner (if at all) Makes sense. Kind of what I was thinking. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s a product of this being closer. I do think some precip may be used to cool the airmass a bit. I’d like to see this more meaty. Agreed. Not sure if it’s rain, but it might be slop for a bit. The overnight runs definitely came west, but in the process, we’ve steadily lost dynamics. So while it’s closer, there is definitely still a legitimate ceiling. Assuming this doesn’t escape east over the next two days, and we do get a system, I’d be surprised if anyone got 6” of snow, just kind of has that look of a middle of the road advisory event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Agreed. Not sure if it’s rain, but it might be slop for a bit. The overnight runs definitely came west, but in the process, we’ve steadily lost dynamics. So while it’s closer, there is definitely still a legitimate ceiling. Assuming this doesn’t escape east over the next two days, and we do get a system, I’d be surprised if anyone got 6” of snow, just kind of has that look of a middle of the road advisory event Well if it came west you aren’t going to lose dynamics at the same time. But the system itself isn’t exactly a monster. Hopefully a few more ticks west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well if it came west you aren’t going to lose dynamics at the same time. But the system itself isn’t exactly a monster. Hopefully a few more ticks west. Let’s keep that vortmax more consolidated and get double digits. Why not. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 I love that I have been going from freeze to mini thaw / mud season every other day. Yesterday my car sunk in 8” of mud. Then I have to rake out the ruts so I can wake up to frozen dirt. Same scene all season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Let’s keep that vortmax more consolidated and get double digits. Why not. Yeah it seemed like the 6z gfs was trying to curl it in last second on approach. I’d like to see this suite try to lean in that direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: I love that I have been going from freeze to mini thaw / mud season every other day. Yesterday my car sunk in 8” of mud. Then I have to rake out the ruts so I can wake up to frozen dirt. Same scene all season Pot holes are going to be absolutely cavernous this spring. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Pot holes are going to be absolutely cavernous this spring. My road is horrendus right now. Like, hugely destroyed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: My road is horrendus right now. Like, hugely destroyed. Yup. There’s some sinkholes down the road here too. They had a cone blocking one the other day and when I drove by it yesterday the cone was shattered so someone got swallowed in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Pot holes are going to be absolutely cavernous this spring. I hit a nasty one on the X way the other day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Wow pleasant surprise with the overnight guidance. Given the time frame we're entering hopefully those trends are an indication of where we're headed. Definitely want to see the Euro with a bit of a bigger shift at 12z. Still need a bit of work but its doable at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah it seemed like the 6z gfs was trying to curl it in last second on approach. I’d like to see this suite try to lean in that direction. We need to “buy” ourselves about 3-5 hours for that vort to curl in before getting shoved E. Like you said, that 06z gfs at 66 hours was trying but then it just doesn’t have the time to really go to town before getting crunched east. The way we buy ourselves a little time is to really sharpen the trough so that lead vort energy gets shoved north into S Canada or near N NY border at 60h instead of slicing across VT/central NY acting like a brick wall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I hit a nasty one on the X way the other day. Did your head do this? 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Not sure Nam will do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Yeah looks meh. Of all models that should be the most bullish you’d think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah looks meh. Of all models that should be the most bullish you’d think. Might actually be worse than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah looks meh. Of all models that should be the most bullish you’d think. Looks worse than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Might actually be worse than 6z Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Not sure Nam will do it. Looks like horse shit. Hopefully it’s just being the NAM and one of its random clown solutions. But it’s never been bullish about this threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Hopefully we whiff on all the snow this weekend and go into next week brown. Deep winter rolls on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah looks meh. Of all models that should be the most bullish you’d think. Just thinking to myself...is it a precursor the one model you would expect to go bonkers not doing so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Well that sucks but has me worried despite the Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Nam is way south. Very weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 It's up to Reggie, if that capitulates, we're in big trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Bad start to 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Bad start to 12z Nothing is that far south and east. Weird run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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