MJO812 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Ai Euro ticked west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Ai Euro ticked west I thought it looked slightly east, but not much difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 3 minutes ago, Hailstoned said: What? Someone thinking he's clever throwing F-Bombs is entertaining? Just talking truth bro…hope you weren’t offended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 3 minutes ago, Hailstoned said: What? Someone thinking he's clever throwing F-Bombs is entertaining? I think that was pure rage, not anything planned lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: I thought it looked slightly east The low center ticked E but it was stronger with a larger QPF field, so the QPF looked slightly west. It's kind of what @Typhoon Tip was saying earlier about how the center can move slightly E but the impact of sensible wx can move slightly W if the storm is stronger/larger. Either way, we're talking error bars here....nothing big. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 3 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: I thought it looked slightly east, but not much difference Low center was def a little east but precip thrown further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Euro AI is like 75-100 miles from being a really good event South of Boston, as is, kind of just another middling low end advisory 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Man, too bad we can't lock in the entire run of 18z skynet Euro....winter of yore. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Man, too bad we can't lock in the entire run of 18z skynet Euro....winter of yore. It Might be on to something. It’s not the only model showing some very wintry set ups after the 24th or so. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 46 minutes ago, dendrite said: Hopefully this pans out and it’s puking in Foxboro between 3 and 6pm. I don't think it would get going in time.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 34 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: If I get 6-12 I’ll snow low in flip flops and tank top. Book it Gonna hold you to that- 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 48 minutes ago, dendrite said: Hopefully this pans out and it’s puking in Foxboro between 3 and 6pm. Another Foxborough 2002 scenario? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: It Might be on to something. It’s not the only model showing some very wintry set ups after the 24th or so. I buy it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't think it would get going in time.... Yeah. I think if anything happens it would be late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I buy it. Very Interesting for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 euro came west, still a whiff but improved 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 24 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: I thought it looked slightly east, but not much difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: euro came west, still a whiff but improved How did the overall evolution look in your professional opinion? Did it trend towards a similar evolution of the guidance that gives a hit(and not talking the fantasy blizzard from 12z GFS). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Very Interesting for sure. Second half of January into February was always go-time for me this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Pretty distinct trend. GFS (not 12z) has to be the model of choice here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 If we can get the Euro to tick the same as it did over the last 4 runs today, during tomorrow and Friday, we'll have ourselves a decent snowstorm for all of Southern New England... Even SE NY and Jersey. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: How did the overall evolution look in your professional opinion? Did it trend towards a similar evolution of the guidance that gives a hit(and not talking the fantasy blizzard from 12z GFS). The S/W trough you see on the last frame of this animation over the M/A & Carolinas is hanging back a bit and digging deeper than the 12Z run and is improving overall. Still dealing with that shit streak over the NE but it is lessing up a bit over the last run from 12Z. Overall these are improvements you want to see for a healthier system that gets a little more developed and is pulled in west a bit, which is exactly what is reflecting at the surface. So yea, its trending better, but still has a bit to go. It's just a few ticks off from being a solid hit for most of SNE. You want to see this happen again at 00z, but if it doesnt, were still within a lead time that things can waffle a bit before they get picked up and move west, it wouldn't take much. Inside of 84/72 hrs its much more important than 100+. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Euro AI was just noise to me, i mean you are really splitting hairs at this time frame to say west or east. It's the same imo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 That was a good move by the Euro. the outliers from 12z have moved towards each other at 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Another shift like that and it’s a warning event for Eastern Ma 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: That was a good move by the Euro. the outliers from 12z have moved towards each other at 18z Agreed. Hard to argue that wasn’t a fairly sizable shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 its coming!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Agreed. Hard to argue that wasn’t a fairly sizable shift Agreed. And currently you’re in the best spot of all of us, along with those on the Cape. The rest of us have to hope for a few more movements than you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: its coming!!! Let’s not get to overly confident…has work to do. But it has the time to do it. Still Not sure it makes it though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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