olafminesaw Posted Thursday at 04:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:32 PM 15 minutes ago, BooneWX said: How much of this is snow? Not sure, but I wouldn't bank on much more than 1:1 ratios 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted Thursday at 05:25 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:25 PM I know everyone’s excited about the rain but I really don’t like how the tropics are starting to fire up at the end of the model runs. It would be our luck to go from drought to a wet period followed by tropical mischief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bckhd2 Posted Thursday at 06:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:05 PM Another cell just popped up and is over downtown Atlanta in almost the exact spot as the storm that created all the flooding issues yesterday. This is actually moving, though, and the rain rates seem to be less than they were yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Thursday at 06:10 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 06:10 PM 1 hour ago, olafminesaw said: Not sure, but I wouldn't bank on much more than 1:1 ratios Love a good slop fest pasting. Sun angle is going to be a thorn in our side this time of year. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted Thursday at 06:33 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:33 PM 22 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Love a good slop fest pasting. Sun angle is going to be a thorn in our side this time of year. The warm nose is rearing it's ugly head. We just can't seem to win. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Thursday at 06:37 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 06:37 PM 3 minutes ago, WXNewton said: The warm nose is rearing it's ugly head. We just can't seem to win. A day late and a dollar short on the wedge. We can’t do anything right around here. Hope RDU folks score this round tho. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlGrey Posted Thursday at 10:25 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:25 PM Hopefully this helps the wildfire in Chapell Hill. Tons of smoke on Wake today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted yesterday at 12:29 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:29 AM 2 hours ago, EarlGrey said: Hopefully this helps the wildfire in Chapell Hill. Tons of smoke on Wake today. Oh wow I didnt hear about this today, thats getting to close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted yesterday at 01:08 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:08 AM Raleigh is getting screwed again so far. A new line of storms popped off the boundary to the east and there is a gap over us while the rain west of here seems to have hit a wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted yesterday at 01:19 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:19 AM 0.01” here. Yay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted yesterday at 03:19 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:19 AM Not even enough here to get it wet under the trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted yesterday at 02:38 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:38 PM We finally got a little something overnight but we definitely need a lot more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Omega Block? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionCountyNCWX Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I left for a cruise on the 17th, just got back this morning. The no rain anywhere to heavy rain/ flooding/ tropical news for a large portion of the SE happened fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, UnionCountyNCWX said: I left for a cruise on the 17th, just got back this morning. The no rain anywhere to heavy rain/ flooding/ tropical news for a large portion of the SE happened fast. Everything is one giant impervious surface rn unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 40 minutes ago Share Posted 40 minutes ago Good news thanks to El Nino for folks like me who prefer a not so active season and thus less risk of destruction in the SE and thus lower stress: NOAA's outlook for the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season indicates that a below-normal season is the most likely outcome, with moderate chances for a near-normal season, and low probabilities that the season could be above-normal. The outlook calls for a 55% chance for a below-normal season, a 35% chance of a near-normal season, and only a 10% chance for an above-normal season. See the NOAA definitions of above-, near-, and below-normal seasons for more information. The 2026 outlook calls for a 70% probability for each of the following ranges of activity: 8-14 Named Storms 3-6 Hurricanes 1-3 Major Hurricanes Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) range of 45-115% of the median ——————— It’s all relative though and unfortunately the midpoints of 11 NS/4.5 H/2 MH can still be devastating if land is affected as it takes only one like in ‘92. Also, NOAA has wide spreads. I’m leaning to lower half of these due to how strong El Niño is expected to be and not as warm ATL tropics as in ‘23.https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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