Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026

[suzook]

9 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Winter’s Revenge next week 

 

 

Looks like 2 BN days/nights, and it's done. No staying power on this one.

[Met1985]

1 hour ago, suzook said:

Looks like 2 BN days/nights, and it's done. No staying power on this one.

Staying power will be in the freaking middle of Spring I bet.

[NorthHillsWx]

1 hour ago, suzook said:

Looks like 2 BN days/nights, and it's done. No staying power on this one.

Won’t be anything close to offset this week of +10 to +25 AN readings. Winter is over for the piedmont. We’re chasing freezes now 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[olafminesaw]

57 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

 

[NorthHillsWx]

19 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

 

Even with that look it shows temps in 40s across NC piedmont and mid 30s in Virginia 

[Snow dog]

2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Won’t be anything close to offset this week of +10 to +25 AN readings. Winter is over for the piedmont. We’re chasing freezes now 

...and that's completely fine by me!  January was cold enough!

[Upstate Tiger]

I think the wild card is how quickly nino sets up.  Nino springs tend to be colder and wetter than average in the SE.  

[olafminesaw]

3 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said:

I think the wild card is how quickly nino sets up.  Nino springs tend to be colder and wetter than average in the SE.  

It's been creeping up over the last few weeks, but not enough to reach close to Nino before late spring at the earliest. Of course we could still have a nino like pattern in a neutral Enso state as we saw a few weeks ago

[Upstate Tiger]

15 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

It's been creeping up over the last few weeks, but not enough to reach close to Nino before late spring at the earliest. Of course we could still have a nino like pattern in a neutral Enso state as we saw a few weeks ago

It’s hard to know.  The last couple of springs have been very cold and they were Nina’s.  

[Daniel Boone]

4 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Staying power will be in the freaking middle of Spring I bet.

Yeah, seems to never fail when you have a mild late Winter. I hate it as it's like a slap in the face. However, even with that, if there's late Snow I can still enjoy that. Lol

[NorthHillsWx]

Looks like we make it through yet another February without a trackable threat. I know RDU-east got that February storm last year but there have been so many blanks recently that it’s really becoming a spring month. This is most on the forums snowiest climo month and now it’s just a segway into official spring. 

[CentralNC]

20 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Looks like we make it through yet another February without a trackable threat. I know RDU-east got that February storm last year but there have been so many blanks recently that it’s really becoming a spring month. This is most on the forums snowiest climo month and now it’s just a segway into official spring. 

We had measurable snow feb 4-5 in the Triad but know what you're saying 

[Tacoma]

February use to be as cold and snowy as January, each year it seems as if February is becoming a spring month.  You would think we would have the whole month of February and March in the mountains.  

[Coach McGuirk]

5 hours ago, Tacoma said:

February use to be as cold and snowy as January, each year it seems as if February is becoming a spring month.  You would think we would have the whole month of February and March in the mountains.  

Early to mid February was cold and snow in 2026.  It warms up then maybe another last chance. 

[UnionCountyNCWX]

Oh hey hour 384 on the GFS bringing the goods to some lol. Funny yes, but may also be the last fantasy snow showing on models for the not mountains and Virginia north peeps for the season. 

[Tony Sisk]

20 hours ago, Upstate Tiger said:

It’s hard to know.  The last couple of springs have been very cold and they were Nina’s.  

My experience....any snowfall in March is a complete surprise.

[Upstate Tiger]

The Euro and GFS have two totally different iterations in the long term.  GFS wetter and somewhat milder.  The Euro is much dryer and colder starting with the frontal passage this weekend.  Would at least like to see some decent weekend golfing weather...

[NorthHillsWx]

1 hour ago, Upstate Tiger said:

The Euro and GFS have two totally different iterations in the long term.  GFS wetter and somewhat milder.  The Euro is much dryer and colder starting with the frontal passage this weekend.  Would at least like to see some decent weekend golfing weather...

6z EURO completely caved to GFS for this weekends storm. Now it too shows a strong costal low off the mid Atlantic whereas it hasn’t even had the storm in previous runs. Someone from the MA to NE might get buried this weekend 

[olafminesaw]

5 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

6z EURO completely caved to GFS for this weekends storm. Now it too shows a strong costal low off the mid Atlantic whereas it hasn’t even had the storm in previous runs. Someone from the MA to NE might get buried this weekend 

Yeah, this doesn't look like our storm because of the little bit of SE ridge, but this does have the classic look of a big storm from DC to NYC. Haven't had one of those in a while (from a coastal anyway)