Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026

[GaWx]

8 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

 

That’s during the morning of 2/13, the morning before Valentine’s Day. I was referring to a storm on Val. Day that’s been showing up on some runs and being posted about here. Regardless, it’s still way out there and will change.

[HKY_WX]

4 hours ago, HKY_WX said:

There are some hints of a roll-over ridge and a return of the +PNA towards the last week of February. Don't see much in the way of winter related action prior to that. Enjoy the thaw next week for now. 

AI Euro is showing what i was referring to. Roll over ridges out west normally teleconnect to an eastern US trough. The models this far out are normally pretty worthless, so take with caution.

[wncsnow]

45 minutes ago, GaWx said:

That’s during the morning of 2/13, the morning before Valentine’s Day. I was referring to a storm on Val. Day that’s been showing up on some runs and being posted about here. Regardless, it’s still way out there and will change.

Its still the same time period and there's still a decent chance of wintry weather IMO. No guarantees of warmth and severe yet. 

[RaleighNC]

14 hours ago, JoshM said:

GFS can't decide if Valentine's day is going to be a CAD ice storm, Miller A snow, or 70s and thunderstorms. 90% of the time I would bet on thunderstorms, but not this winter. 

I vote for none of the above because I have Dropkick Murphys tickets

 

[BornAgain13]

Would love to see a big last half of Winter but even if we don't, this winter has been much above normal up this way.

15.05" so far of Snow/Sleet

[BooneWX]

End of next week looking a lot less torchy on guidance. The PNA is headed to negative territory but that block just doesn’t want to budge. Valentine’s may be a severe event but we could also trend firmly into a cad/miller b type of look with just a few more tweaks.