bncho Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 so much for my analysis, apparently it's cold and dry and I suck. talk to the meteorologists and the good posters if you want real analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 2 minutes ago, bncho said: so much for my analysis, apparently it's cold and dry and I suck. talk to the meteorologists and the good posters if you want real analysis. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 36 minutes ago, Ji said: for what? Dry and cold? How's February/March looking? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 So next week is really gonna be several days below freezing without any snow, isn’t it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 12 minutes ago, Chris78 said: How's February/March looking? I might have to update my rockin' post already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 19 minutes ago, bncho said: so much for my analysis, apparently it's cold and dry and I suck. talk to the meteorologists and the good posters if you want real analysis. lol do yourself a favor and go spend time doing something else rather than chasing non existent storms and feet of pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Now THAT is a cold and dry pattern. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 9 minutes ago, bncho said: Now THAT is a cold and dry pattern. That's a shame honestly. If the trough axis was focus over the Ohio Valley, we'd have the door open for disturbances to shoot up the coast. At least it's cold. There's nothing worse than 55 and sunny in winter. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: That's a shame honestly. If the trough axis was focus over the Ohio Valley, we'd have the door open for disturbances to shoot up the coast. At least it's cold. There's nothing worse than 55 and sunny in winter. Nah if it’s not snowing it can be warm 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 2 minutes ago, GreyHat said: Looks like rain here Felton Delaware and snow showers by Eagles Mere. Get out 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Nah if it’s not snowing it can be warm 100% Agree. Bone chilling cold with no snow sucks. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Get out Still to far out and will likely change. Snow showers this weekend for us here Felton disappeared as the system gets pushed OTS. Kick the can all the way to winter 2026-2027. Lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Get out Get this guy out of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Only 240-300 hours out... what could possibly go wrong? 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Only 240-300 hours out... what could possibly go wrong?Only a cutter on the 23rd and suppressed on the 27th 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 19 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Only 240-300 hours out... what could possibly go wrong? As many reasons as there are ensemble members, and then some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Fwiw, 18z Nam gives the combined metro areas a coating to at most an inch tomorrow night, and the Icon refuses to give up on the Cape storm for those N and W, with far NW favored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Cape storm trying 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 8 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Fwiw, 18z Nam gives the combined metro areas a coating to at most an inch tomorrow night, and the Icon refuses to give up on the Cape storm for those N and W, with far NW favored. Not a bad look upstairs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 2 hours ago, Ji said: ill be danged....we actually went up in snowfall from 00z to 12z after all See? You don't know how to interpret ensemble guidance. Stick to the op runs and go from happy to hissy fit every other run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 23 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Not a bad look upstairs. Its been frustratingly close. I have a feeling...but it might just be this HH bourbon. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Just now, CAPE said: Its been frustratingly close. I have a feeling...but it might just be this HH bourbon. I mean ens seem to like some chances maybe we will get it to go off here soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Its been frustratingly close. I have a feeling...but it might just be this HH bourbon. You know what model will show it? The GFS. Then it'll keep showing it until the Euro shows it. But the JV CMC and UKIE and ICON won't show it. Then the GFS trends away, then the Euro, and we get nothing. OR The JV models will show it, and we get a 12+" blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 The Cape storm is centered on the the 19th-20th. Anything else is not mine lol. That's the window I said I liked for a winter storm based on the ens h5 look several days ago now. It has changed some ofc. But still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Just now, bncho said: You know what model will show it? The GFS. Then it'll keep showing it until the Euro shows it. But the JV CMC and UKIE and ICON won't show it. Then the GFS trends away, then the Euro, and we get nothing. OR The JV models will show it, and we get a 12+" blizzard. Cmc has it at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, bncho said: You know what model will show it? The GFS. Then it'll keep showing it until the Euro shows it. But the JV CMC and UKIE and ICON won't show it. Then the GFS trends away, then the Euro, and we get nothing. OR The JV models will show it, and we get a 12+" blizzard. Its frenetic as fuck. Fun! GFS has been most persistent, although all over the place from run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: The Cape storm is centered on the the 19th-20th. Anything else is not mine lol. That's the window I said I liked for a winter storm based on the ens h5 look several days ago now. It has changed some ofc. But still. Diffrent look upstairs on the GFS so far. Prob won't amount to much tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Diffrent look upstairs on the GFS so far. Prob won't amount to much tho Damn WB so slow. But I don't like it at hour 102. Positively tilted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Damn WB so slow. But I don't like it at hour 102. Positively tilted. Well vs 12, moisture on the coast now wehre there was none. But it's too far east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Yeah, too far east. Just some interesting changes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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