winter_warlock Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Ji said: You’ve got to be kidding Dry hole right thru Central md lol unreal! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 There are no signs of any major storms. Just a bunch of broken 1-3 2-4 stuff The gfs ai should be trashed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 9 minutes ago, Ji said: You’ve got to be kidding Not helping yourself, bro. Just don't look at it, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Not helping yourself, bro. Just don't look at it, lolI am getting so incredibly frustrated. Heart of winter and seeing digital blue miss is for 360 hours of frames 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 18 minutes ago, bncho said: What a shitty ass model the GFS is. Terpeast said the ensembles are the way to go past D5. Let's listen to him. Everybody who isnt 12 or Ji knows this. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Everybody who isnt 12 or Ji knows this.The gfs ensembles are equally trash. The whole suite should be aborted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Things will get better. Mid Atlantic is way overdue for a big snow over the entire sub. You guys have been 'paying the piper' for years and years. That lazy sadistic son of a bytch is bloated and its high time he gave some up, in the form of a wild crazy March 1993-magnitude blizzard over the Mid Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Everybody who isnt 12 or Ji knows this.Here is your Nino look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, Ji said: Here is your Nino look Dude it’s a holiday weekend please go out to WV and hike in the snow 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: Dude it’s a holiday weekend please go out to WV and hike in the snow Another good place is the Lake Effect Snow Belts. Watertown's getting Janu-Buried in 4 feet of fresh snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 31 minutes ago, bncho said: What a shitty ass model the GFS is. Terpeast said the ensembles are the way to go past D5. Let's listen to him. Prior to this you were not aware that ensembles were dramatically more valuable than OP runs 8-10 days out? Bruh. WAY too many posters in this thread - many of whom SHOULD know better - acting shocked and despairing about variable OP outcomes over a week away. Come on, folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said: Prior to this you were not aware that ensembles were dramatically more valuable than OP runs 8-10 days out? Bruh. WAY too many posters in this thread - many of whom SHOULD know better - acting shocked and despairing about variable OP outcomes over a week away. Come on, folks. of course prior to this i knew that ensembles were better than ops at d5+. but half the time people don't give a shit about what i say, so if i introduce a red tagger maybe they'll listen? idk man, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 7 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said: Prior to this you were not aware that ensembles were dramatically more valuable than OP runs 8-10 days out? Bruh. WAY too many posters in this thread - many of whom SHOULD know better - acting shocked and despairing about variable OP outcomes over a week away. Come on, folks. Seriously. I'm baffled by he expectation that we should lock in a solution at 240 hours and have every consecutive deterministic cycle not waiver in the slightest. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Ecmwf almost gets the entire country precip free on friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 7 minutes ago, Amped said: Ecmwf almost gets the entire country precip free on friday. Precip "free"? I'm assuming that was a typo, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 21 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Precip "free"? I'm assuming that was a typo, lol It's close some lake effect snow and a couple of sprinkles over Florida. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 we all get to have drought! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 hours ago, GreyHat said: The truth will set you free. You like your fantasy stuff by hugging model runs. You probably still believe in the tooth fairy. This is my territory 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 EPS snowfall went wild again 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Huge CAD signature next weekend.. some models are wet around here or just before 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 21 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Huge CAD signature next weekend.. some models are wet around here or just before Seems to me we probably have just 1 shot at a big storm before the cold dump. Gunna' stink if we fail with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Seems to me we probably have just 1 shot at a big storm before the cold dump. Gunna' stink if we fail with it. 6z GFS has Jan 24-25 storm.. 6" for DC. 1037mb High to the north. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 6z GFS has Jan 24-25 storm.. 6" for DC. 1037mb High to the north.Yea that’s not going to work for me. I’ll take my chances with the euro 1 inch qpf event 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 WB 6Z GFS...for upcoming weekend. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, Ji said: Yea that’s not going to work for me. I’ll take my chances with the euro 1 inch qpf event We both know the 6Z GFS is closer to reality..... the snow hole is there..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: We both know the 6Z GFS is closer to reality..... the snow hole is there..... Meh...snow hole over mby too. 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 26 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Seems to me we probably have just 1 shot at a big storm before the cold dump. Gunna' stink if we fail with it. After I looked at the 00z euro and 6z gfs I thought the same thing. Hopefully we can cash in. If not we're waiting till the cold relaxes, which probably puts us into the beginning of February lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 18 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS...for upcoming weekend. Will see come Thursday & Friday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Undoubtedly, the best 24hr ensemble forecast period of the year on the 6z Gefs. EDIT: I should add that this is 180 hours, so you can't expect a big number like 6"+. Those won't come until we're closer to the threat. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 hours ago, Ji said: EPS snowfall went wild again Does the EPS like any other windows or is it mostly from the 1/25-27 period? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts