January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[clskinsfan]

42 minutes ago, CAPE said:

I'll just post it lol-

[Ji]

1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Long range Euro showing potential. Gets a nice area wide win which is desperately needed. Not shown on the map is .1-.3 inches of freezing rain between the two parts of the storm

this has been hinted by several models in the past few days including a run where the euro gave us 4 feet lol. We desperately need this

[clskinsfan]

Just now, Ji said:

this has been hinted by several models in the past few days including a run where the euro gave us 4 feet lol. We desperately need this

We really do need it. It has been ridiculous. And that is a pretty easy way to win. Depending on where the boundary sets up. 

[TSSN+]

The @Ralph Wiggumgoon period upcoming! 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Euro OP has a 1pm temp of 5 degrees in DC the day after the storm.

[Ji]

1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

We really do need it. It has been ridiculous. And that is a pretty easy way to win. Depending on where the boundary sets up. 

the boundry has been trending south since the cutters from yesterday. Lets reel this in @aldie 22is already putting a for sale sign

[Ji]

Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

Euro OP has a high of 5 degrees in DC the day after the storm.

give us this storm and i will shut my mouth till next December

[Scraff]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

The @Ralph Wiggumgoon period upcoming! 

Only the old people will get this. 

[TSSN+]

Just now, Ji said:

give us this storm and i will shut my mouth till next December

Come on at least give us till January 

[Ji]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Come on at least give us till January 

not in a nino that will rival 09-10 bro

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 hour ago, Chris78 said:

Only took 300 hours but it finally gets us.

Although overall the run is colder and there's some close calls prior to this.

This combined with the ensembles in this time frame I think should give some optimism. 

It's never easy for snow in these parts lol.

Aside from being a mere deterministic solution, is actually a fairly decent rendition of how I see the pattern progressing over the next 12ish days. Some will disagree, but we actually have some stable large-scale features/tellies that make the Jan 27-29 period less a mirage and more a legit possibility. Leading up to this week, we had upper features up top shuffling around all over the place. It is no wonder the LR guidance had been struggling. But we are finally establishing a quasi-stable h5 structure with the epo ridge, ao ridging, and even some semblance of an Aleutian low out on the PAC side. I will refrain from gooning, rather I will suggest increasing optimism on my end for post 1/25. 

[Ralph Wiggum]

7 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

The @Ralph Wiggumgoon period upcoming! 

Increasing optimism. Remember, this is a Wendy's. 

[TSSN+]

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

Increasing optimism. Remember, this is a Wendy's. 

I’ll take the 5 dollar biggie bag please. 

[Ralph Wiggum]

6 minutes ago, Ji said:

give us this storm and i will shut my mouth till next December

@stormtracker please tell us youre keeping notes

[clskinsfan]

7 minutes ago, Scraff said:

Only the old people will get this. 

"It's become like a piece of furniture Guss"

[GreyHat]

12 minutes ago, Ji said:

this has been hinted by several models in the past few days including a run where the euro gave us 4 feet lol. We desperately need this

Yeah,  another fantasy storm that will turn out be nonexistent, maybe snow showers. Seems to be the music this year.

[Ji]

this is the Chuck storm. He has been gooning at this window for a 1-2 weeks now

[TSSN+]

2 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

Yeah,  another fantasy storm that will turn out be nonexistent, maybe snow showers. Seems to be the music this year.

What’s the forecast look like for Delaware? 

[pazzo83]

How much for Philly?

[SnowenOutThere]

14 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

The @Ralph Wiggumgoon period upcoming! 

Lowkirkenuinely we've been edging for way too long with these chopped ass delulu setups, feeling like we sisyphus fr; we need the Euro to lock in and start looksmaxxing to reach its Lowkirkentologicalockedinflowstate and show a NS that finally rizzes up some gul moisture and show a storm so we can finally get return to our goon caves and end this snow edging streak. 67

Don't bring this bullshit into our forum me and @bncho could ruin every thread here if we wanted to. This is your warning. 

[Solution Man]

8 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

Yeah,  another fantasy storm that will turn out be nonexistent, maybe snow showers. Seems to be the music this year.

Keep us posted TopHat

[winter_warlock]

22 minutes ago, Ji said:

this has been hinted by several models in the past few days including a run where the euro gave us 4 feet lol. We desperately need this

Well it's only 11 days out as opposed to  15 so has a little more credibility. And it has been showing for a while

[Ralph Wiggum]

7 minutes ago, Ji said:

this is the Chuck storm. He has been gooning at this window for a 1-2 weeks now

Probably not the popular opinion here, but Chuck is a damn intelligent hobbyist that supports his ideas with facts and is, believe it or not, pretty unbiased. His timing may be off ie reading the room, but I dont think he cares. He's not going to pump our hopes with false promise based on gut instinct. His stuff is always fact-based.

[Terpeast]

13 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

@stormtracker please tell us youre keeping notes

This one is yours. The Ralph Wiggum Storm. Question is, are you gonna deliver? 

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, winter_warlock said:

Well it's only 11 days out as opposed to  15 so has a little more credibility. And it has been showing for a while

Sir the system on euro starts Jan 24th. That’s 9 days out, get it right. Don’t need to make it longer than it needs to be. Lol

[WxUSAF]

The NArlingStormchaserRalph Storm

[winter_warlock]

33 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Only 216 out folks lol

 

Bring it!!!!!

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

This one is yours. The Ralph Wiggum Storm. Question is, are you gonna deliver? 

 

[ravensrule]

24 minutes ago, Ji said:

give us this storm and i will shut my mouth till next December

I call complete bullshit on this statement. 

[winter_warlock]

2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Sir the system on euro starts Jan 24th. That’s 9 days out, get it right. Don’t need to make it longer than it needs to be. Lol

 Oops lol I was going by the Date on the model  my bad bro!! But 9 days is even better!!!!