WEATHER53 Posted yesterday at 04:59 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:59 AM 44 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Ain’t saying but… that looks familiar… That’s it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted yesterday at 05:00 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:00 AM Where the hell is JI?! The man lives for getting digitally snow pummeled, and not even a peep? Epic fail. He probably doesn’t even like snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted yesterday at 05:06 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:06 AM 5 minutes ago, Scraff said: Where the hell is JI?! The man lives for getting digitally snow pummeled, and not even a peep? Epic fail. He probably doesn’t even like snow. Maybe he saw the digital snow map and fainted lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted yesterday at 05:06 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:06 AM 12 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: 2016? Yup!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted yesterday at 05:19 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:19 AM 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: How the hell am i the only pixel getting goddamn sleet Warm tongue off the Atlantic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 05:30 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:30 AM More GEFS support for Storm 2. WB 0Z GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 05:40 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:40 AM Looks like the EuroAI likes the inland route for storm 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted yesterday at 05:43 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:43 AM euro is a miss for jan 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 05:45 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:45 AM euro is a miss for jan 15Geez not even close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted yesterday at 05:47 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:47 AM 1 minute ago, Ji said: Geez not even close AH, you show up for the bad stuff 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 05:48 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:48 AM WB 0Z EURO AI is closer for storm 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted yesterday at 05:48 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:48 AM wtf is up with these skipping panels on the models lately. SV is particularly bad with the GFS. goes from like 210 to 252 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 05:49 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:49 AM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: AH, you show up for the bad stuff You don't think he wasn't watching? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted yesterday at 05:49 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:49 AM But can already tell, Euro is a whole lot of nothing. For both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted yesterday at 05:50 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:50 AM they call the euro dr. no for a reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted yesterday at 05:58 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:58 AM Euro keeps the northern stream in the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 06:00 AM Share Posted yesterday at 06:00 AM Well another awful night of modeling and time is running out 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted yesterday at 06:20 AM Share Posted yesterday at 06:20 AM 18 minutes ago, Ji said: Well another awful night of modeling and time is running out Time is running out? Lol we got 6 to 7 days before the 1st one and 200+ hours before no 2.. we got plenty of time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 06:24 AM Share Posted yesterday at 06:24 AM Just like last year, and probably more so, southern Canada continues to get crushed. Thanks La Niña. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted yesterday at 06:43 AM Share Posted yesterday at 06:43 AM Well at least we are going into a cold pattern again. PNA is changing to positive (it still hasn't been positive a single day this Winter - since Dec 1) Which is supported by the ENSO subsurface - I have found when warm water makes it east of the dateline, +PNA is more likely to occur. Kelvin waves impact the N. Pacific pattern, my theory. I think we'll have some good shots at snowstorm when the new pattern sets in, this early stuff is the thread the needle, trough is still progressive and it's unlikely that we'll get 18 hours of rain, then a blizzard on the backend with how dry the pattern has been. I think later on - last week of January and maybe going into Feb we will have some high probability snowstorm chances 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago There is practically zero support across any of the 3 major ensembles for the Jan 15 system. Those members that do have a slp south of say 40n swing it way off the coast and harmlessly ots. Pretty safe to say the gfs is an outlier here, but I also think realistically most already knew this, tho we always hold hope for the best. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 16 hours ago, Kevin Reilly said: Yes the entire I-95 corridor. The trough is wide and positive tilting. Early during the week I miss spoke of gfs run but is showed this system going from NC to out to sea. Unless the trough changes I don't see this coming up the coast. Then again we have this weekend system we're there's 1 - 2 inches of rain for delmarva. Never any cold are when we have precipitation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago We lost everything EPS snowfall is back to 0 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 4 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Well at least we are going into a cold pattern again. PNA is changing to positive (it still hasn't been positive a single day this Winter - since Dec 1) Which is supported by the ENSO subsurface - I have found when warm water makes it east of the dateline, +PNA is more likely to occur. Kelvin waves impact the N. Pacific pattern, my theory. I think we'll have some good shots at snowstorm when the new pattern sets in, this early stuff is the thread the needle, trough is still progressive and it's unlikely that we'll get 18 hours of rain, then a blizzard on the backend with how dry the pattern has been. I think later on - last week of January and maybe going into Feb we will have some high probability snowstorm chances Depending on your location, the cold is short lived as in around 5 days or so. Even the extended forecast for Muncy Valley PA. Shows the temps climbing upper 20s and mid 30s around the 22nd. 1 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Gut instinct is that our best reasonable hope for Thursday/Friday is some widespread light snow with the upper level shortwave passage. This is pretty much the euro-ai solution. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Gut instinct is that our best reasonable hope for Thursday/Friday is some widespread light snow with the upper level shortwave passage. This is pretty much the euro-ai solution. Don't believe the 6z Gfs then? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 6 hours ago, stormtracker said: wtf is up with these skipping panels on the models lately. SV is particularly bad with the GFS. goes from like 210 to 252 I don’t know why everyone doesn’t use pivotal weather. It is free and has all the models now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 35 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Don't believe the 6z Gfs then? Lol I mean, 6z isn’t too far off that idea actually 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 34 minutes ago, Interstate said: I don’t know why everyone doesn’t use pivotal weather. It is free and has all the models now. Agreed. I have their pay version, which adds a number of weenie benefits like Kuchera and close up maps, for $99/yr. At only $8.25/month, you can't beat it imho. Only gripe I have is that their Eps maps are limited to the Conus, but Hemisphere maps are available at Tropical Tidbits for free. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago I don’t know why everyone doesn’t use pivotal weather. It is free and has all the models now. Randy gets SV for free and it’s supposed to be faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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