TSSN+ Posted yesterday at 05:35 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:35 PM 16 minutes ago, bncho said: funky GFS run Why we posted a 384hr hour map and expecting anything less. Dear god seek help. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted yesterday at 05:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:37 PM 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Why we posted a 384hr hour map and expecting anything less. Dear god seek help. bc i have the username bncho dude. what do you expect from me? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 05:49 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:49 PM Euro Ai looks like garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 05:49 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:49 PM Just now, mitchnick said: Euro Ai looks like garbage it always loooks like garbage 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 05:50 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:50 PM Euro looks interesting if it can get that trough to go neutral/negative 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted yesterday at 05:50 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:50 PM Just now, mitchnick said: Euro Ai looks like garbage it's close? Neg tilt would help substantially. Day 9 storm is walking a very fine line with not a lot of cold... gonna take a pretty perfecto outcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 05:53 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:53 PM this looks better than 00z at 500. No idea what surface looks like but kicker on the heel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted yesterday at 05:56 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:56 PM 4 minutes ago, Ji said: this looks better than 00z at 500. No idea what surface looks like but kicker on the heel No dice - offshore (well - some precip). Really need more to get temps to cooperate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 05:57 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:57 PM 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: it's close? Neg tilt would help substantially. Day 9 storm is walking a very fine line with not a lot of cold... gonna take a pretty perfecto outcome what the heck is he talking about. It took a step in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 05:59 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:59 PM 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: No dice - offshore (well - some precip). Really need more to get temps to cooperate. thats closer but the temps would cooperate if the system bombed out earlier.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted yesterday at 06:02 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:02 PM 2 minutes ago, Ji said: thats closer but the temps would cooperate if the system bombed out earlier.... It always works out when we're rooting for the storm to create it's own cold air 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted yesterday at 06:02 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:02 PM Euro increases Augusta qp from .69" to 1.08" Saturday. More moderate rates east of cyclogenesis over Tenn./Ky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted yesterday at 06:03 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:03 PM I’m booking this IECS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted yesterday at 06:11 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:11 PM Euro was about to do something D10-11 and then it sheared it to hell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted yesterday at 06:13 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:13 PM 2 hours ago, Heisy said: Yeah it’s rare to see shortwaves dig into the gulf, so def something to keep an eye on if it’s legit. Also hopefully that kicker coming along holds off . Its always something, thats how we roll. If it ain't a sloppy phase then its a GL lp, or a kicker, or some rogue shortwave diving out of Nunavut that mucks things up. But seriously, one of these will eventually work out. Expect the worst, hope for the best. Expectations in check, patience, and all those other caveats apply. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 06:14 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:14 PM 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Euro was about to do something D10-11 and then it sheared it to hell That NW flow is killin' us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted yesterday at 06:22 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:22 PM 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: That NW flow is killin' us. CPF...but too much -EPO. Always something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 06:30 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:30 PM WB 12Z GEFS....next 10 days are nada... 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted yesterday at 06:36 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:36 PM 19 minutes ago, mitchnick said: That NW flow is killin' us. NW flow is good for Elkins or Oakland. It usually kills east of mts., winter or summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 06:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:37 PM I am a true believer that the MJO is the primary driver. It overwhelms the other indices....it is ruining our January chances this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 06:44 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:44 PM There was a small uptick over 0z in ensemble snowfall, albeit meager. It's better than going the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted yesterday at 07:04 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:04 PM 2 hours ago, bncho said: lol look at that stream of arctic highs I don't think I've ever seen that before. Maybe the models are hallucinating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 07:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:12 PM 7 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said: I don't think I've ever seen that before. Maybe the models are hallucinating. It's just overrunning that unusually further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 07:14 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:14 PM 43 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GEFS....next 10 days are nada... thats not true...it says 0.3. Thats a dusting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 07:15 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:15 PM 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: It's just overrunning that unusually further south. it will correct north about 40 miles before game time. Dont worry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted yesterday at 07:15 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:15 PM Good news, both ens and op models are pushing MJO into 7 by the 20th to 22nd. That will help us later in the month into Feb. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted yesterday at 07:21 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:21 PM 5 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Good news, both ens and op models are pushing MJO into 7 by the 20th to 22nd. That will help us later in the month into Feb. Isn't 8 to 1 to 2 the perfect progression in our area? Or is it 7 to 8 to 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted yesterday at 07:22 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:22 PM 1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said: Isn't 8 to 1 to 2 the perfect progression in our area? Or is it 7 to 8 to 1? 8-1-2 7 isn’t great 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted yesterday at 07:26 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:26 PM 11 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Good news, both ens and op models are pushing MJO into 7 by the 20th to 22nd. That will help us later in the month into Feb. Yup. From a WPC met. A glimmer of hope? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 07:29 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:29 PM 6 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: 8-1-2 7 isn’t great Is that for Niñas in particular or for all Enso states? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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