TSSN+ Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 16 minutes ago, bncho said: funky GFS run Why we posted a 384hr hour map and expecting anything less. Dear god seek help. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Why we posted a 384hr hour map and expecting anything less. Dear god seek help. bc i have the username bncho dude. what do you expect from me? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Euro Ai looks like garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, mitchnick said: Euro Ai looks like garbage it always loooks like garbage 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Euro looks interesting if it can get that trough to go neutral/negative 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, mitchnick said: Euro Ai looks like garbage it's close? Neg tilt would help substantially. Day 9 storm is walking a very fine line with not a lot of cold... gonna take a pretty perfecto outcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 this looks better than 00z at 500. No idea what surface looks like but kicker on the heel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 minutes ago, Ji said: this looks better than 00z at 500. No idea what surface looks like but kicker on the heel No dice - offshore (well - some precip). Really need more to get temps to cooperate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: it's close? Neg tilt would help substantially. Day 9 storm is walking a very fine line with not a lot of cold... gonna take a pretty perfecto outcome what the heck is he talking about. It took a step in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: No dice - offshore (well - some precip). Really need more to get temps to cooperate. thats closer but the temps would cooperate if the system bombed out earlier.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, Ji said: thats closer but the temps would cooperate if the system bombed out earlier.... It always works out when we're rooting for the storm to create it's own cold air 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Euro increases Augusta qp from .69" to 1.08" Saturday. More moderate rates east of cyclogenesis over Tenn./Ky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I’m booking this IECS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Euro was about to do something D10-11 and then it sheared it to hell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 hours ago, Heisy said: Yeah it’s rare to see shortwaves dig into the gulf, so def something to keep an eye on if it’s legit. Also hopefully that kicker coming along holds off . Its always something, thats how we roll. If it ain't a sloppy phase then its a GL lp, or a kicker, or some rogue shortwave diving out of Nunavut that mucks things up. But seriously, one of these will eventually work out. Expect the worst, hope for the best. Expectations in check, patience, and all those other caveats apply. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Euro was about to do something D10-11 and then it sheared it to hell That NW flow is killin' us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: That NW flow is killin' us. CPF...but too much -EPO. Always something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 WB 12Z GEFS....next 10 days are nada... 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 19 minutes ago, mitchnick said: That NW flow is killin' us. NW flow is good for Elkins or Oakland. It usually kills east of mts., winter or summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I am a true believer that the MJO is the primary driver. It overwhelms the other indices....it is ruining our January chances this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 There was a small uptick over 0z in ensemble snowfall, albeit meager. It's better than going the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 hours ago, bncho said: lol look at that stream of arctic highs I don't think I've ever seen that before. Maybe the models are hallucinating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 7 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said: I don't think I've ever seen that before. Maybe the models are hallucinating. It's just overrunning that unusually further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 43 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GEFS....next 10 days are nada... thats not true...it says 0.3. Thats a dusting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: It's just overrunning that unusually further south. it will correct north about 40 miles before game time. Dont worry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Good news, both ens and op models are pushing MJO into 7 by the 20th to 22nd. That will help us later in the month into Feb. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 5 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Good news, both ens and op models are pushing MJO into 7 by the 20th to 22nd. That will help us later in the month into Feb. Isn't 8 to 1 to 2 the perfect progression in our area? Or is it 7 to 8 to 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said: Isn't 8 to 1 to 2 the perfect progression in our area? Or is it 7 to 8 to 1? 8-1-2 7 isn’t great 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 11 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Good news, both ens and op models are pushing MJO into 7 by the 20th to 22nd. That will help us later in the month into Feb. Yup. From a WPC met. A glimmer of hope? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 6 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: 8-1-2 7 isn’t great Is that for Niñas in particular or for all Enso states? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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