IronTy Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 3 minutes ago, bncho said: Alright guys. HH GFS is about to run. It was what renewed our hopes yesterday. And honestly? Please stop with the cliff jumping. It's kinda ridiculous. At hour 0, no change from the 12Z at 500mb. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 6 minutes ago, IronTy said: At hour 0, no change from the 12Z at 500mb. This is a limp grasp at a shadow............................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 4 minutes ago, stormy said: This is a limp grasp... @ravensruleyou agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 5 minutes ago, stormy said: This is a limp grasp at a shadow............................. You've convinced me to open a twitter account so I can make forecasting calls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: @ravensruleyou agree? If it’s Stormy it’s definitely very limp. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 I keep refreshing hoping for that 500mb ripple showing up in the four corners region to develop but so far, nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 This is 18z model interpretation. Less than .10 ". Are we talking about ice-fog? I wish we had a threat but this seems desperate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Euro weeklies were really good allegedly if you're up for grasping those straws 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 15 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Euro weeklies were really good allegedly if you're up for grasping those straws Oh yeah...great start too! https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202512300000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202601120000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Gimmie a big EPO ridge with a respectable NA. This pattern has worked quite well for much of the region in recent winters for bringing the cold and facilitating multiple moderate snow events. Been a persistent look on the extended products for mid to late month and now showing up towards the end of the ens runs. Latest "weeklies" 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Gimmie a big EPO ridge with a respectable NA. This pattern has worked quite well for much of the region in recent winters for bringing the cold and facilitating multiple moderate snow events. Been a persistent look on the extended products for mid to late month and now showing up towards the end of the ens runs. Latest "weeklies" This period has the best overall potential if you favor powder events with snow on snow. Hopefully this becomes reality in a couple weeks. Maybe we even get a true deep winter feel with both cold and snow. Bring it ! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Just now, frd said: This period has the best overall potential if you favor powder events with snow on snow. Hopefully this becomes reality in a couple weeks. Maybe we even get a true deep winter feel with both cold and snow. Bring it ! We are into prime snow climo for that period. Hopefully it's real and continues into Feb, where historically it(whatever it is) likes to snow on us. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: We are into prime snow climo for that period. Hopefully it's real and continues into Feb, where historically it(whatever it is) likes to snow on us. It would be awesome ! I like how all three major ensembles are showing this happening, leading to more confidence going forward. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Human pendulums 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Just now, stormtracker said: Human pendulums Pretty much everything in nature can be represented by a sine wave, including the mood of snow weenies. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Hopefully , late January and February will mimic climo... The recent pause in the cause has caused some to become increasingly desperate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Arkansas losts its 3” of ice. Disaster. All joking aside that run not as bad with SE ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 9 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Arkansas losts its 3” of ice. Disaster. All joking aside that run not as bad with SE ridge. Still a goofy ass evolution. Until proven otherwise, probably best to assume that trough doesn’t dig to Mexico City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Yikes at the cold at the end of the Gfs run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 How’s our January to remember shaping up? I’ve heard good things… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Euro weeklies were really good allegedly if you're up for grasping those straws you may not have to wait for the weeklies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 ive seen many times where is a snow threat 10 days out...then its gone for a few days and then one random 00z run---it comes back. Not everytime but i would give it 24-48 hours before tossing the idea 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 17 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Yikes at the cold at the end of the Gfs run. GFSAI also really cold at the end. Not a great run snow wise but less horrific to look at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 2 minutes ago, Ji said: ive seen many times where is a snow threat 10 days out...then its gone for a few days and then one random 00z run---it comes back. Not everytime but i would give it 24-48 hours before tossing the idea Look who's not being grumpy and actually being positive! Character growth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Imperfect patterns can produce snowstorms here. H5 a few days before the Jan 2022(CAPE) storm- The day before as the storm is approaching- 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GFSAI also really cold at the end. Not a great run snow wise but less horrific to look at. im tired of cold. I want it -1 below normal and way more precip 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Aleet aleet…digital blue on 18z euro for this weekend 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Aleet aleet…digital blue on 18z euro for this weekend Thank you Dave. How much for Short Pump?. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 13 minutes ago, bncho said: Look who's not being grumpy and actually being positive! Character growth! Nah....alcohol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Aleet aleet…digital blue on 18z euro for this weekend I think you just wasted a perfectly good ALEET for nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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