Wounded Duck Strikes Back: Dec 26 & 27th Winter Storm Obs

[40/70 Benchmark]

Great forecast for last night and early this AM, with the notable exception that I missed on the placement of the heaviest band, so amounts were oversold in central Mass, where 2-5" fell instead of the 6-10" forecast fell where models had in CT.

Final Grade: B-

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/12/friday-night-saturday-am-snows.html

 

 

[WinterWolf]

Those that had this area 4-8…yes, we hit the very top number, but the low range was off here.  6-10 for this area was a great call. 

[Ginx snewx]

5 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

lots? i saw 2. Thanks for the new preston report, i actually included a new preston report from cocorahs and it was exactly 9.9, maybe thats him

Toss that 8 in Jewett city I was there maybe 6

[vortex95]

21 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

BID reporting thunder 

39 CGs between 00 and 04z.  Not bad!
 

[vortex95]

23 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

What a weird storm. Dryslot into CT yet we worry about dry air. 

I looked further after you mentioned the dry slot.  Now this is whacked. While the sfc low was just E of the Delmarva, the center of the 700 low was close to KRUT!  What?  So wait, the sfc low by conventional standards is too far S for a SNE hit, yet the 700 low is well N which reeks of big dry slot and pcpn flip.

So we ended up w/  the "CoastalWx Quandary."  We were fighting dry Arctic air mass at low-levels and at the same time loss of RH at mid and upper levels is moving in?  Lose both ways?

A squeeze play, dry air storm!  And a surprise wild SNOINCR event in CT.

Once again, the weirdness of this storm sticks out.
 

[vortex95]

Saw 3 reports from Weymouth -- 4.2, 3.5, and 3.3. Which one was CoastalWx?

Overall, a quite good event for Dec, esp. CT/RI/SE MA where ocean temps often are a big issue this early.  Many locations now have above avg snowfall for Dec.  Couple that w/ the solid snowfall in NNE, best winter month for the region in some time!

So I don't want to hear it from CoastalWx!

 

[rgwp96]

19 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Dammm. Nobody is immune to those busts. I can recall a lot of those …especially when I was growing up in the 80’s.  I can feel the pain/disappointment.  there will be more chances. 
 

6-10” is what we were forecast to get for here…we got it. Pushing 8” and still snowing lightly. 

I ended up with 3.8.  Can’t complain I’ve have 11.4 for December but every  storm I’ve had has been under  in the forecasted amounts lol. 

[CoastalWx]

22 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Saw 3 reports from Weymouth -- 4.2, 3.5, and 3.3. Which one was CoastalWx?

Overall, a quite good event for Dec, esp. CT/RI/SE MA where ocean temps often are a big issue this early.  Many locations now have above avg snowfall for Dec.  Couple that w/ the solid snowfall in NNE, best winter month for the region in some time!

So I don't want to hear it fro CoastalWx!

 

6” for the month. Meh. Especially with this cold. 

[George001]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

6” for the month. Meh. Especially with this cold. 

Yeah this month underperformed. The late north trends for this past storm were nice, but I only got 3 or so inches and it’s probably going to be gone unless Monday trends a lot colder. Oh well, the January pattern looks promising for a minor threat (4-8 ish if everything breaks right) around new years and a bigger storm on the 6th.

[tamarack]

27 minutes ago, rgwp96 said:

I ended up with 3.8.  Can’t complain I’ve have 11.4 for December but every  storm I’ve had has been under  in the forecasted amounts lol. 

Decent, though no blockbusters.  Same here, proportionally to climo snow - now 20.3" for the month (no flakes from yesterday, as forecast). 
Tomorrow night/Monday looks to be mostly IP/ZR here.

[The 4 Seasons]

3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Toss that 8 in Jewett city I was there maybe 6

I never included it on my map. It won't be on the final one either it sticks out like a sore thumb obviously wrong. Thx Steve

[psv88]

1 hour ago, vortex95 said:

I looked further after you mentioned the dry slot.  Now this is whacked. While the sfc low was just E of the Delmarva, the center of the 700 low was close to KRUT!  What?  So wait, the sfc low by conventional standards is too far S for a SNE hit, yet the 700 low is well N which reeks of big dry slot and pcpn flip.

So we ended up w/  the "CoastalWx Quandary,"  We were fighting dry Arctic air mass at low-levels and at the same time loss of RH at mid and upper levels is moving in?  Lose both ways?

A squeeze play, dry air storm!  And a surprise wild SNOINCR event in CT.

Once again, the weirdness of this storm sticks out.
 

What about the hours of ocean effect snow that hit Long Island and southern nyc? Never seen that before either. Weird storm everywhere 

[vortex95]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

6” for the month. Meh. Especially with this cold. 

BOS avg December snowfall (1991-2020) is 9".  So that's likely your avg accounting for further S and inland a bit.  Better than recent Decembers, no?

I would say the area bounded by BOS-PVD-ORH-CON-PSM has not cashed in as much as Cape Cod, the South Coast, western New England, and a large part of northern New England for snowfall so far this season.  We are doing it piecemeal in the region  The fact CoastalWx's area has been lame is irrelevant to the big pix.  IMBY syndrome...want me to call the WHAN-bu-lance?      You can't expect every winter or storm to be the PT level, like Bliz of 97, 05, or 13!

And  then this response, "but it is been so lousy for so long!"  I don't know what to tell you.  These periods happen.  And CoastalWx knows this from when he was a kid in the 80s.    And in the here and now, we seem to be on the right track overall.  Like I said before, If Jan-Feb acts like Dec, it's going to end up a pretty good winter for most!
 

[vortex95]

2 hours ago, rgwp96 said:

I ended up with 3.8.  Can’t complain I’ve have 11.4 for December but every  storm I’ve had has been under  in the forecasted amounts lol. 

That's the right attitude!  Each storm has exceeded your expectations!

[vortex95]

1 hour ago, psv88 said:

What about the hours of ocean effect snow that hit Long Island and southern nyc? Never seen that before either. Weird storm everywhere 

I didn't catch that.  When did that occur?  Later in the storm as well like SE MA?
Long Island certainty has done well this month!  That S Coast/Cape Cod storm earlier this month dumped up to 9", and now up to 8" w/ this past storm.

 

[psv88]

Just now, vortex95 said:

I didn't catch that.  When did that occur?  Later in the storm as well like SE MA?
Long Island certainty has done well this month!  That S Coast/Cape Cod storm earlier this month dumped up to 9", and now up to 8" w/ this past storm.

 

Occurred from around 9 pm to 3 am. South shore cleaned up from that. Yes we’ve have an outstanding month down here 

[eduggs]

6 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Great forecast for last night and early this AM, with the notable exception that I missed on the placement of the heaviest band, so amounts were oversold in central Mass, where 2-5" fell instead of the 6-10" forecast fell where models had in CT.

Final Grade: B-

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/12/friday-night-saturday-am-snows.html

 

 

I know you were forecasting for SNE, but in case anyone is looking outside that area, the "verification" map is significantly low in ALB's region. Those reports were not final.