January 2026 OBS and Discussion

[weathermedic]

2 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

I was wondering that, agreed 

Maybe graupel?

[IrishRob17]

[sussexcountyobs]

Partly sunny and breezy. 35.3F

[NorthShoreWx]

6 minutes ago, weathermedic said:

Maybe graupel?

A trained spotter ought to know the difference.

[MANDA]

Looks like the best echos are going to pass north of me, more over Sussex County.  Still I think I get clipped by the southern end.  Will keep you posted.

[sussexcountyobs]

Still party sunny, but snow flurries falling. 35.2

[gravitylover]

Flakes are here

[IrishRob17]

10 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

A trained spotter ought to know the difference.

Sleet is right above snow in the mPING app so maybe a typo I'm thinking. If they realized an error they could have submitted an updated report 30 seconds later. 

[MANDA]

Flakes and graupel here.

[SACRUS]

 

Some rain/snow graupel here in CNJ 43

 

[SACRUS]

[sussexcountyobs]

Quickly getting dark to my west. Temp dropping. 34.3

[sussexcountyobs]

Heavy snow. 31.2F

[IrishRob17]

Wind not too bad but just like that there's snow cover again. Moderate/heavy snow 

[BoulderWX]

Fun snow squall in Morristown! 

[Evie3]

Just got back from a walk in Basking Ridge and we definitely had a passing Graupel shower.  Led to an interesting conversation about the difference between graupel and hail with my son.

[sussexcountyobs]

Snow squall has ended. Picked up a quick 1/4" all surfaces but street. 30.0F

[mob1]

Nice snow shower at my parents house (in Airmont NY)

[the_other_guy]

Snow squall!! 44F 42F 41F almost comical to watch twmpp

[MJO812]

Gfs

[eduggs]

It's a shame that all the overrunning is modeled up in NW PA and NNY. If the GFS is right, there could be some good snow with that feature.

[mob1]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs

Far far far cry from what it showed yesterday, and as much as it sucks the evolution of this storm actually makes a lot of sense. There's a potent closed low and by looking at H5 without anything else it looks sexy, but by the time the dynamics come into play it's far to late for us (which is often the case) and favors areas well to our NE. 

 

On the bright side, even some mood snow would be welcome after the recent warmup. 

[sussexcountyobs]

@5:10 snow showers. 29.9

[binbisso]

Heavy snow squall very windy everything covered 

[gravitylover]

That was a nice squall. Nicely coated again

[MJO812]

35 minutes ago, mob1 said:

Far far far cry from what it showed yesterday, and as much as it sucks the evolution of this storm actually makes a lot of sense. There's a potent closed low and by looking at H5 without anything else it looks sexy, but by the time the dynamics come into play it's far to late for us (which is often the case) and favors areas well to our NE. 

 

On the bright side, even some mood snow would be welcome after the recent warmup. 

Huge uptick on the gefs. We should open a thread soon.

[Franklin0529]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Huge uptick on the gefs. We should open a thread soon.

Gets going to late. More of NE storm. 

[NorthShoreWx]

Nice snow squall here

[NEG NAO]

14 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Huge uptick on the gefs. We should open a thread soon.

BX said no thread earlier - and I agree .

[eduggs]

15 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Huge uptick on the gefs. We should open a thread soon.

 

 

I did notice a bunch of 960s something mb lows on the individuals off of the Cape at 18z Fri. That's a bit west of the GFS op. I'll take the 958mb just off Montauk though! It's fun to look at but even on the GFS and GEFS, the 850mb/700mb lows are too slow to develop. And I'm losing confidence in this type of solution as we lose models to the Canadian solution.