26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Looks like gfs is going to tick north again through 24

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

GFS says Merry Christmas 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

GFS says Merry Christmas 

Explain.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Explain.

Great for much more in SNE

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

That’s a pretty big bump IMO. Probably would be some heavy snow for a time even here 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Great for much more in SNE

Dam…3/4” of liquid.  This thing has juiced up into a pretty good sized system. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Great for much more in SNE

Well tickle me shivers

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

That’s a pretty big bump IMO. Probably would be some heavy snow for a time even here 

Yeah, especially for a global model close in.   Could be some descent snow into much of MA.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Yeah, especially for a global model close in.   Could be some descent snow into much of MA.

Yeah this is a case where the qpf actually probably isn’t doing it justice outside of CT. Some good banding would be likely well into ma 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Dam…3/4” of liquid.  This thing has juiced up into a pretty good sized system. 

There will be a 20-30mi wide stripe of 6"-8" somewhere across SNE/ENY .   Fun to track. Nothing locked in yet.  

[WxWatcher007]

 

 

 

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah this is a case where the qpf actually probably isn’t doing it justice outside of CT. Some good banding would be likely well into ma 

Agree. I think you guys are in pretty good shape out there for a couple inches. 

[Snowcrazed71]

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Dam…3/4” of liquid.  This thing has juiced up into a pretty good sized system. 

Shyte!!! I mean.... I I'm ecstatic for all my peeps in Ct ( I'm gonna miss the goods ). Lol!! Figures... But oh well.... I'll be checking in while I'm gone.

[Snowcrazed71]

20 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Great for much more in SNE

Wow... So what's the Snow nap look like

[dendrite]

10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

 

 

Pretty good speed convergence initially there. 65-70kt flow screeching to a halt over SNE. A little stretching along that axis too. But you can see how it starts falling apart there 6hr later and that LLJ slides SE.

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Wow... So what's the Snow nap look like

A swath from NYC to Hartford could get warning snows.  Good times!

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Canadian looks about the same?

Been stubbornly south for a few runs. Was hoping for a better move 

[Torch Tiger]

i'd be very careful with that N/NE edge. it's been said (virga) but much of that may never reach the ground

[8611Blizz]

Some stations have moved the 1-3 over EMA.  Big improvement over the coating forecast this morning. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

6 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

i'd be very careful with that N/NE edge. it's been said (virga) but much of that may never reach the ground

Some of the Mesos show a sharp edge wrt the dry air intrusion.    Get on the snowy side of that and maybe some good ratios. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

This will be fun to track tomorrow.  The atmospheric lottery storms are the best!

[Sey-Mour Snow]

GEFS juiced and north 

[Snowcrazed71]

35 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

GEFS juiced and north 

I wonder... Would they actually upgrade the Winter weather advisory in Hartford to a winter storm warning? 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

13 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

I wonder... Would they actually upgrade the Winter weather advisory in Hartford to a winter storm warning? 

I will boldly venture a "yes" response on that, if it looks like the potential for 6"+ was imminent... 

[OrangeCTWX]

Still lean 3-6 here given how quick this thing moves through but fingers crossed we get 6+.  I heavily hinted to the wife that getting a new snow blower would be a great Christmas investment as our current one is having issues. That did not happen. At least this shouldn’t be a heavy wet snow to shovel lol

[Snowcrazed71]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

lol Euro finally pulled the rug out in SWCT. Congrats up north 

?... Still shifting north I take it.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

?... Still shifting north I take it.

Yessir! Congrats up north! Hopefully an even better distribution for all. 

[WxWatcher007]

6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

lol Euro finally pulled the rug out in SWCT. Congrats up north 

 

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Yessir! Congrats up north! Hopefully an even better distribution for all. 

It’s a very large swath the Euro tries to cut, especially in that Binghamton to Albany corridor. I’m skeptical of that verbatim. Still a nice storm for SW CT and now much of SNE.

[WxWatcher007]

12z

 

00z

[The 4 Seasons]

5 hours ago, Spanks45 said:

anything in the past have any resemblance to this system? Seems to be a pretty unique setup, especially when looking at the block

Yes as Will said 12/14/95 is a farther south version of this.

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/dec-14-1995

The first one that came to mind in terms of sfc low track and overall qpf trajectory is 01/14/04. Though contrary to 12/14/95 this is a farther north version of that one. And synoptically at H85 it doesn't appear to be an analog on the list for CIPS.

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-14-15-2004