26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

5 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

I'm surprised no one's mentioned the Herpes yet. And yeah, this has the look of a super sharp cutoff 

[mob1]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

NAM leading the charge unfortunately. How many times over the years have we discounted its warm push only to be burned . If I’ve learned anything it’s that 

You're so far from any level being even remotely close to freezing 

[OrangeCTWX]

28 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

From Tomer.. His model ratio calculates 4-5" per hour over SENY and NNJ in that band lmao 

Consider me intrigued lol

[ineedsnow]

This probably won't be figured out until tomorrow at this point.  Merry Christmas everyone!

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, mob1 said:

You're so far from any level being even remotely close to freezing 

I didn’t mean this area. I meant farther  SW in terms of sleet . I’ve gotten burned here so many times over the years . I used to always toss the NAM warm tongue.. and it was always right . By extension that pushes the snows much farther north east with this 

[mob1]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

I didn’t mean this area. I meant rather SW in terms of sleet . I’ve gotten burned here so many times over the years . I used to always toss the NAM warm tongue.. and it was always right 

Yeah, it's pretty much always the case. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

6 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I mentioned that a couple days ago. maybe someone pulls a bonus fluffy inch or two along typical spots

We’re kind of on the edge of guidance getting us with the main event. Need another 50 miles 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, mob1 said:

Yeah, it's pretty much always the case. 

And having Reggie match it and H to the 3rd continue moving NE means it’s likely on the right path 

[SouthCoastMA]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

We’re kind of on the edge of guidance getting us with the main event. Need another 50 miles 

I don't see it happening, but I'd take 1-2" at this point 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

And having Reggie match it and H to the 3rd continue moving NE means it’s likely on the right path 

Reggie went SW at 6z, Herpes is what you looked at which is erratic and unusable usually, but every blind squirrel

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Don't recall the last storm with heavy snow temps in the teens and wind chills around zero.. 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Reggie went SW at 6z, Herpes is what you looked at which is erratic and unusable usually, but every blind squirrel

Hi res was way NE

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Don't recall the last storm with heavy snow temps in the teens and wind chills around zero.. 

Early 2010's? 

Edit: Maybe 2013 or 2014?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hi res was way NE

That's the RGEM

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Early 2010's? 

Edit: Maybe 2013 or 2014?

2015 had several. 

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

2015 had several. 

2014-2015 winter?

That might be what I am thinking of then.

[ORH_wxman]

Jan 4, 2018 was pretty cold too over interior. Maybe not teens (except part of it but def low 20s for a long stretch)

[tavwtby]

5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Don't recall the last storm with heavy snow temps in the teens and wind chills around zero.. 

I wanna say that March storm in 17 or 18, can't remember but 2015 was frigid, that I recall 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Icon, RGEM, RRFS all NE at 12z small bump with Icon  .. I think ground zero will end up being an axis from Binghamton to BDR 15 miles either side of that line 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

RRFS finally on board whats a 250 mile multi run shift amongst drunk brothers 

[Go Kart Mozart]

11 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Icon, RGEM, RRFS all NE at 12z small bump with Icon  .. I think ground zero will end up being an axis from Binghamton to BDR 15 miles either side of that line 

Yeah, talk dirty to me.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

39 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I don't see it happening, but I'd take 1-2" at this point 

Yeah, it’s unlikely, but I don’t think an advisory event is dead here yet 

[DavisStraight]

36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hi res was way NE

Are you that lone purple circle?

[weatherwiz]

NAM bufkit is out!

So far looked at a couple locations (Waterbury and New Haven with New Haven shown below). 

Beautiful crosshair signature for a good 3 hours. But note...the duration of the snow, particularly the heaviest snow is going to be short lived. This is something that is going to cut back on the upper ceiling with this. It could really be difficult to pull off more than 6-7" but there are many factors to consider here. NAM bufkit even looks solid through Hartford. But it should be stressed that this is solely tied into the banding...meaning if you are not under the banding, its probably going to suck and may be difficult to accumulate more than a few inches (though most should be happy with that).

[Sey-Mour Snow]

NYC in trouble 

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

NYC in trouble 

ASOUT

[weatherwiz]

It's fairly unstable too into the DGZ. That could certainly argue for some rates locally approaching 3"/hr but I don't think those rates would be sustained for a full hour or multiple hours. Such a tough forecast...you almost have to have a large swath of something like 5-8" or 6-9" and then just use text to emphasize that swath ma be a bit more narrow as those totals are highly dependent on where the banding occurs and how wide the banding is. 

[weatherwiz]

I would have to think we see winter storm watches expanded through much of CT...maybe the trigger is pulled for a warning in Fairfield?

[tavwtby]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I would have to think we see winter storm watches expanded through much of CT...maybe the trigger is pulled for a warning in Fairfield?

yeah I would think watches for at least wor counties, CT is such a weird state with 3 offices covering such a small area.

[weatherwiz]

Just now, tavwtby said:

yeah I would think watches for at least wor counties, CT is such a weird state with 3 offices covering such a small area.

yup...damn trees and hills and valleys wrecking havoc on the radar beams. 

If I ever won a billion dollar powerball (well I would have to play the lotto first) I would pay to have a radar installed at BDL