Moderate snowfall 12/14/2025 WWA up for most of the area

[jm1220]

Euro looked like a 2-3” event at 18z. 

[weatherpruf]

1 hour ago, TJW014 said:

"finally"
Anybody who posts a snowfall map over 3 days in advance is dumb.  

poster has a doctorate in a hard science. show some respect.

[psv88]

1-3” still looks good area wide. 

[Krs4Lfe]

20 minutes ago, psv88 said:

1-3” still looks good area wide. 

Hopefully New York City can sneak in 4 inches of snow by the end of the month although that is looking increasingly unlikely especially with the big warm-up coming after the 20th. Statistics don’t lie and Decembers that usually feature at least 4 inches of snow in New York City have a high chance of producing average or above average snowfall for the rest of the season. Central Parks measuring has been consistently terrible over the past few years even more so then it had been in the past so I wouldn’t be surprised if they barely record an inch from the snow that is coming on Sunday.

[WeatherGeek2025]

Nam looks good here 

 

let's see how it finishes

[MJO812]

7 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

Nam looks good here 

 

let's see how it finishes

Nice 

[WeatherGeek2025]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Nice 

if we could push this north by 30 miles everyone in this forum could get 2-4 and be happy

[MJO812]

Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said:

if we could push this north by 30 miles everyone in this forum could get 2-4 and be happy

This might even be more. Maybe higher ratios ?

[MJO812]

3k Nam and still snowing

[Stormlover74]

Rgem still good but did shift south a bit

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Rgem still good but did shift south a bit

 

[psv88]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

 

Where do I sign 

[Franklin0529]

Icon looks to be 2-4" area wide. Take it an run. See if we can lock it in by Tommorow night 

[jm1220]

FWIW (probably not much) RRFS 0z looks quite robust. 

[MJO812]

Just now, jm1220 said:

FWIW (probably not much) RRFS 0z looks quite robust. 

Yep

[MJO812]

Gfs

[psv88]

Yikes.

[LVblizzard]

LOL GFS…it’s crazy how much it just gets utterly lost in the 2-5 day range. Happens with every single storm it seems like.

[wthrmn654]

Upton snow amounts went way up...

[MJO812]

9 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Yikes.

Not right

AI gfs is more accurate 

[brooklynwx99]

the GFS just has to be tossed assuming the ECMWF holds steady. it is awful with these anafront type systems and is almost always too progressive with them 

we’re still on track for plowable snowfall in the metro IMO

[TJW014]

Why are we posting mesoscale models when they're useless more than 48 hours out?

[Nibor]

2 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

Why are we posting mesoscale models when they're useless more than 48 hours out?

[MJO812]

Ukie

[eduggs]

Right now the best shot at moderate snow accumulations based on a model consensus would be I-95 east in CNJ and maybe into Long Island.

[RU848789]

6 hours ago, TJW014 said:

"finally"
Anybody who posts a snowfall map over 3 days in advance is dumb.  

My point was that they could've issued a 72-hour map (that's as far out as they issue them, which I'm fine with) at 18Z that went through 18Z Sunday, which is past the end of the storm, but they waited until 0Z to do so.  Plus, I think issuing a map through only 12Z Sunday, without clearly noting that snow wasn't over yet is more than a little misleading and something they shouldn't do, IMO.  

[coastalplainsnowman]

3 hours ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

if we could push this north by 30 miles everyone in this forum could get 2-4 and be happy

There seems to be a hard cap of about 35% happiness here.

[North and West]

if we could push this north by 30 miles everyone in this forum could get 2-4 and be happy

Be happy?



.

[North and West]

There seems to be a hard cap of about 35% happiness here.

35% seems too generous.


.

[MJO812]

AI Euro and Euro give NYC 2-4 inches. Nice little bump up.