Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[MAG5035]

Despite pretty high winds, the most impactful weather has shifted over to the snow bands that set up late this evening/early this morning in combo with the winds of course. 

Opted for a late night snow chase on a band that set up in northern Blair/NW Huntingdon a couple hours ago and it ended up being worth it. Some folks probably saw their biggest snowfall of the season to date under it. 2-4” was common on the I-99 corridor roughly between Bellwood-Tyrone, carrying over into Huntingdon County. Very impressive for a LES band being off the Laurel’s.

I-99 between Tipton (Exit 45) and Tyrone (48)

PA 45 in Spruce Creek, PA (NW Huntingdon)

This band missed here by about 6 miles or so, there’s only about a half inch of wind blown snow here at the house. 

 

[pawatch]

26 degrees, winds been blowing hard all night, kept me half awake.

51 mph gust up here.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Back to back days with .03” of rain. Low of 28. Winds had me up through the night and were downright vicious around 3am. Let’s see if we can’t catch a dusting one of the next couple nights. 

[mahantango#1]

WOOF:

[mahantango#1]

I'm so over this wind.

[canderson]

Harrowing night.  Not much sleep at all. 

Winds should decrease into the 20s this evening. 

[ChescoWx]

Winds have been howling much of the night and will continue this morning before slowly subsiding later today. The sun returns today but we stay with well below normal temperatures for at least the next week with temperatures remaining below freezing till at least Saturday. We only warm slightly to just above freezing this weekend into early next week. There is a chance of a little snow later New Years Eve into New Years Day. If we do see some snow amounts should be light.

[mahantango#1]

[canderson]

2 hours ago, mahantango#1 said:

I'm so over this wind.

It has been more relentless than most other wind storms. Peaks were higher last week but this is constant long-lasting 40-55mph gusts that repeat every minute or two. 

[WmsptWx]

Goddamned wind killed Edison sometime throughout the night. I have OSA and require air being shoved into my face hole to sleep so obviously, that didn't happen. 

 

Dragging tuchus today. Still windy. Shit sucks. 

[mahantango#1]

21 minutes ago, canderson said:

It has been more relentless than most other wind storms. Peaks were higher last week but this is constant long-lasting 40-55mph gusts that repeat every minute or two. 

Yes I'd like to do some work outside with the brush cutter. Now that the sleet is gone would be a great time to do it. Even if it's around 30. But factor in that wind...no thanks. 

[canderson]

They’ve extended the wind advisory until later today. 

[Itstrainingtime]

MU continues to make very...interesting posts.

Needless to say, he's not enthusiastic over the advertised pattern in January. Meaning, he isn't buying it. 

[WmsptWx]

Just now, Itstrainingtime said:

MU continues to make very...interesting posts.

Needless to say, he's not enthusiastic over the advertised pattern in January. Meaning, he isn't buying it. 

He needs to take a break and let one of the students do the posting. 

[pawatch]

2 hours ago, canderson said:

They’ve extended the wind advisory until later today. 

Looks like a wind advisory the rest of the week. 

[Superstorm]

MU continues to make very...interesting posts.
Needless to say, he's not enthusiastic over the advertised pattern in January. Meaning, he isn't buying it. 

I have actually stopped reading his (or MUs) twitter posts.


.

[GrandmasterB]

20 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

MU continues to make very...interesting posts.

Needless to say, he's not enthusiastic over the advertised pattern in January. Meaning, he isn't buying it. 

MU vs. Eric Webb battle on X

[GrandmasterB]

1 minute ago, Superstorm said:

I have actually stopped reading his (or MUs) twitter posts.


.

I don’t need a Met to tell me the odds of a big snowstorm are low. Of course they are. It’s relatively rare to get a double digit snowfall around here. Seems like he’s simply playing the percentages and then gloating about it. 

[GrandmasterB]

1 minute ago, GrandmasterB said:

I don’t need a Met to tell me the odds of a big snowstorm are low. Of course they are. It’s relatively rare to get a double digit snowfall around here. Seems like he’s simply playing the percentages and then gloating about it. 

“Here's a BIG reason to be skeptical of a monster snowstorm in the mid-Atlantic States through mid-Jan…” -MU 

Incredibly bold call to predict no “monster” snowstorms in the next two to three weeks.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

38 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

MU continues to make very...interesting posts.

Needless to say, he's not enthusiastic over the advertised pattern in January. Meaning, he isn't buying it. 

Saw that, and still ranting about the performance of the models.  I also saw he openly admitted to preferring warm weather and said he doesn't root for big snowstorms.  Alrighty then.  

[pasnownut]

1 hour ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Saw that, and still ranting about the performance of the models.  I also saw he openly admitted to preferring warm weather and said he doesn't root for big snowstorms.  Alrighty then.  

quite frankly dont give a rats ass what he wishes for and yeah, he's wordsmithing his warm bias into it as shared above.  Just call it like you see it, and keep opinions to self.  IF he wasnt a pro, and just a weenie like most of us, and wants to come in here w/ his warm bias, thats fine, but public sector weighs heavily on his "opines". 

We live in an information era, and peeps rely far too much on other peeps "opines", and can get caught off guard.  

Out in woods most of the day.  Face looks just a tad windburnt.  Stopped to see my mom and she all but freaked and said, honey your blood pressure must be terrible.  lol

 

[WmsptWx]

To provide the MU guy a tiny defense, 

 

James Spann posted the 8-14 day outlook about an hour ago and it shows warmth over just about the entire CONUS while referencing just a couple of days ago it showed "extreme cold."

 

So I wonder if more mets are going through it. 

[pasnownut]

5 minutes ago, WmsptWx said:

To provide the MU guy a tiny defense, 

 

James Spann posted the 8-14 day outlook about an hour ago and it shows warmth over just about the entire CONUS while referencing just a couple of days ago it showed "extreme cold."

 

So I wonder if more mets are going through it. 

and thats fine, but when you admit you have a bias, its hard to not view w/ a tad of skepticism (for those of us who have a modicum of weather knowledge, but to the peeps that just read, and go off thinking whatever is posted is happening, that can be trouble.  

I'd just say its up in the air.....

[Ruin]

21 minutes ago, WmsptWx said:

To provide the MU guy a tiny defense, 

 

James Spann posted the 8-14 day outlook about an hour ago and it shows warmth over just about the entire CONUS while referencing just a couple of days ago it showed "extreme cold."

 

So I wonder if more mets are going through it. 

Lol same story every winter

[Ruin]

2 hours ago, pawatch said:

Looks like a wind advisory the rest of the week. 

And yeah, pretty sure that this wind was supposed to subside early today.But it didn't

[mahantango#1]

Various weather sources are mentioning possible snow squalls making into the Susquehanna Valley tomorrow night.

[Itstrainingtime]

My "issue" with MU is all about the tone in his messages. It seems like he's aggressively defending his warm-biased ideas. He's always been a warm weather guy but he's never been so brazen about it. It feels like he's been getting some sort of negative feedback and is fighting back. Whatever it is, it's not a good look.

[canderson]

14 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Various weather sources are mentioning possible snow squalls making into the Susquehanna Valley tomorrow night.

Noticed that and CTP had snow my grid forecast. But they seem very light if they make it at all

[Mount Joy Snowman]

1 hour ago, pasnownut said:

quite frankly dont give a rats ass what he wishes for and yeah, he's wordsmithing his warm bias into it as shared above.  Just call it like you see it, and keep opinions to self.  IF he wasnt a pro, and just a weenie like most of us, and wants to come in here w/ his warm bias, thats fine, but public sector weighs heavily on his "opines". 

We live in an information era, and peeps rely far too much on other peeps "opines", and can get caught off guard.  

Out in woods most of the day.  Face looks just a tad windburnt.  Stopped to see my mom and she all but freaked and said, honey your blood pressure must be terrible.  lol

 

You were out in that wind most of the day!? A true warrior you are, Nut. 

[Blizzard of 93]

21 minutes ago, canderson said:

Noticed that and CTP had snow my grid forecast. But they seem very light if they make it at all

Here are CTP’s thoughts for tomorrow.

By the mid to late afternoon (New Years Eve), a wave of low
pressure will drift eastward across the Great Lakes, and drag an
Arctic front south through the Commonwealth. Underneath a
favorable left exit region of an upper jet, this front could
produce a threat of snow squalls late Wednesday evening into the
New Year. Current expectation is that the front and associated
snow squall threat will move into northwest PA in the 6-8PM
timeframe and then race southeast, crossing the I-99 corridor
between 10PM and midnight and then getting into the Lower
Susquehanna Valley between midnight and 2AM. Anyone planning
to travel for the New Year should be prepared for the risk of
snow squalls. If a Snow Squall Warning is issued, delay travel
or exit the highway at the next opportunity.