Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[Eskimo Joe]

12z NAM/HRRR would imply a solid 4" - 6" for York, Lancaster, and Lebanon counties. Might be a last minute victory here folks.

[AccuChris]

12z 3km NAM kuchera snow


.

[canderson]

Gonna be leaving Philly around 8 pm. We'lll se how that goes.  

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Nothing better than an event that starts with low expectations and then ramps up towards game time. Might have to up my O/U to 3”. 

[GrandmasterB]

31 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Nothing better than an event that starts with low expectations and then ramps up towards game time. Might have to up my O/U to 3”. 

Seems like it’s been a little while since we had an event trending better and better right up until go time. Ya love to see it! 

[pasnownut]

1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said:

12z NAM/HRRR would imply a solid 4" - 6" for York, Lancaster, and Lebanon counties. Might be a last minute victory here folks.

Youre smarter than us (well me anyways) so keep talkin, cause were listening.

[pasnownut]

1 hour ago, canderson said:

Gonna be leaving Philly around 8 pm. We'lll se how that goes.  

get a room.

 

[pasnownut]

14 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said:

Seems like it’s been a little while since we had an event trending better and better right up until go time. Ya love to see it! 

as been of concern for the last few days, the coastal interaction is easters key to the snow globe toy chest.  Prorgressive pattern keeps this thing moving, and still worries me that any delay, will quickly rob wester LSV folks, and even me as.  Somethin to keep an eye on.  While not a Miller B, similar attributes/characteristics in play IMO

[Jns2183]

was just going to post as well.  Thats the model to hug right now.  

The cut of gradiant for this one is going to be brutal

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[pasnownut]

7 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

The cut of gradiant for this one is going to be brutal

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Lookin at nooner hi res suite, give a little hope to the continued western increase in qpf, bringing much of the LSV hope for some white gold.  Feeling a bit better, and hoping its seeing better response to coastal interaction in western qpf distribution for LSV. 

[Itstrainingtime]

8 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

The cut of gradiant for this one is going to be brutal

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Elliott agrees - as little as a coating to 1" across Franklin and Perry counties up to 5" in eastern parts of Lancaster.

[Itstrainingtime]

I honestly do not remember the last time Lanco jacked. It's been at least several years.

[ChescoWx]

Snow arrives this evening after 7pm with maybe some rain at the onset across far southern and eastern areas of Chester into Delaware Counties. The snow should be ending by daybreak tomorrow morning. It will be windy and cold tomorrow with blowing and drifting snow and temperatures falling into the teens by afternoon. Of note we only need about 3 inches of snow to go to above normal snowfall for the season to date which is 4.4" after tomorrow. Our unseasonably cold weather looks like it will continue through mid-week. We finally see some warming on Thursday before we turn closer to normal temperatures to close out the week.

[pasnownut]

Fwiw, nooner GFS continues the westward tick in qpf for LSV.  Not much more room for further adjustments, but I81 and points SE should have plows down (cause ya know they plow 1/4" or greater).  

Hoping for another HH tick west to bring Carlisle and Blizz into the good stuff as well.  

[canderson]

CTP has snow starting around 11 pm for HBG