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The Monday wintry event potential (12/8/25)


GaWx
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2 hours ago, BG_Slick said:

In summary, we had snow for about 3 hours with a burst of heavier snow at the end - between 2 and 2:30 pm.  Nothing stuck to the ground or even elevated surfaces.  Still technically snowing very lightly now.  

Better than nothing though...

And of course the wife and I had to be out of town today in SC so missed even the mood flakes.  Oh well.

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4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

NE NC looks like a good bet for some good totals with the temps and sun getting right. Wouldn’t shock me to see 3-4” around Roanoke rapids looking at radar 

Yeah they should do alright. For us, three trace events by early December will hopefully bode well for a measurable event to come.

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Lessons learned: 1) Daytime light snow will have a difficult time accumulating even in December and temperatures are near freezing during the precipitation ; 2) if it is above 45 degrees the day before snow, sticking will be a problem if the snow begins during daylight; and 3) wet bulbs temps need to be below freezing when snow begins if a daytime snow is not heavy. 

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1 minute ago, Orange county said:

Wake County Schools closed Tuesday

I live in SE wake

Its 33-lite snow melting as it hits the rain soaked ground

I think it’s a good call. Roads are going to be awful with black ice. No drying and most of the county is already below freezing. Cancelling today was easily a dumb decision 

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For the record regarding the main indices for today’s wintry event:

- The prior -PNA rose to the more favorable neutral PNA (-0.1)

- AO -1.9, one day after a short-term minimum of -2.2 was hit

- NAO -1.2, one day after a short-term minimum of -1.3 was hit

- MJO likely was inside the circle phase 8 (probably won’t know for sure for a couple of days)

- +EPO

- -WPO

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