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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion


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3 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Peoria looking like the better spot to be for the first wave.  Northern IL is trending towards a dog turd duster on the globals.  

Im sure it will find a way to shift north or south of me still. The dome is strong. Ha. I feel most optimistic about Thurs. Sat I feel might end up even more south unfortunately. 12z gfs has me on northern edge. We shall see. Definitely a notable south trend. 

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It's basically the CAMs and RAP against the globals, with the GFS the farthest northeast of these. Wouldn't be surprised at a compromise in which the better f-gen banding and accum axis is indeed farther southwest, while farther north and east we get several hours of pixies accumulating to an inch or two.

Could certainly be wrong but my current lean is away from a complete whiff with the first system. Too soon to write off Saturday for adjustments back (a decent % of 06z EPS members still had solid snow up into parts of the metro).



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