E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion

[JTA66]

Snow on snow. HH didn’t disappoint.

[ChescoWx]

18z GFS with a Chesco Special..... book it dano!

[BBasile]

1.20" of rain for the storm thus far.  

[Ralph Wiggum]

3 hours ago, Duca892 said:

What would it take for this to become real to most? This thing isn’t that long out. It’s in midrange. EURO/GFS is warning level snows for many in this target area. Seeing the EURO jump up like that was awesome. Other than the GFS holding at 18z. What would others like to see latch on next 

Need to see some semblance of a system on the ensembles means. There is hardly a reflection at all.right now, and thats odd with some of the deterministic guidance showing a decent storm. That in and of itself tells me this storm on the 15th likely won't be a huge deal here. Guess there's time for that to change but we need big changes with the 0z suite imho wrt the ens support.

[ChescoWx]

23 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Need to see some semblance of a system on the ensembles means. There is hardly a reflection at all.right now, and thats odd with some of the deterministic guidance showing a decent storm. That in and of itself tells me this storm on the 15th likely won't be a huge deal here. Guess there's time for that to change but we need big changes with the 0z suite imho wrt the ens support.

Not a huge believer in even the ensembles at 5 days....I will be more interested in this thread the needle potential if they start to show something at 12z tomorrow.