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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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20 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

No. It didn’t.  Just look at the normals.  But it has at times-Like this year. We take. 

I took a look at the normals. Northeast Decembers as cold as the coldest one of the 21st century (Dec 2017, 24.2F) used to occur an average of 1 every 2.83 years from 1895-2000. 

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1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

So we have a fake Norlun, one model showing a marginal event Monday morning, a cutter midweek, and then back into the freezer for some dry weather.

Hell, tonight we get arctic winds but can’t buy a snow squall.

This has really, truly, been a zero return hobby outside of 1 storm for 7 years 

Time to find something else to do bro…we’ll see you when a storm is imminent. 

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3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

So we have a fake Norlun, one model showing a marginal event Monday morning, a cutter midweek, and then back into the freezer for some dry weather.

Hell, tonight we get arctic winds but can’t buy a snow squall.

This has really, truly, been a zero return hobby outside of 1 storm for 7 years 

See you for the 00z nam

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Just now, WinterWolf said:

Well if I that’s the case, then why aren’t the normal highs and lows colder than they are, if that’s real?  Something ain’t adding up if that’s the case? 

They run off of 30 year normals. Most sites run off of 1991-2020 averages, which were a step up from 1981-2010 averages, which were a step up from 1971-2000 averages. Im surprised nobody's made a tool to show what specific months or years would look like using modern 30 year averages vs older ones.

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3 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

They run off of 30 year normals. Most sites run off of 1991-2020 averages, which were a step up from 1981-2010 averages, which were a step up from 1971-2000 averages. Im surprised nobody's made a tool to show what specific months or years would look like using modern 30 year averages vs older ones.

Well I’m no statistician…but that’s still 2out of 3 that aren’t all that cold/wintry. I think that’s more the point. Sometimes they are…more times they aren’t.  Let’s enjoy this wintry one. 

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8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Well I’m no statistician…but that’s still 2out of 3 that aren’t all that cold/wintry. I think that’s more the point. Sometimes they are…more times they aren’t.  Let’s enjoy this wintry one. 

This is a true sentiment. I guess what I was getting at was that 24/25 of the past Decembers have been in that second camp, some bolstered by the fact that they do not need to be as cold as December 2017 to see prolific winter conditions.

 

I agree with you on the last part. Cold and snowy times are already an infrequent part of an infrequent season. We deserve to enjoy the times where winter shows its true hand. 

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