December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah, add 10 days of climo to yesterday's event and it looks a lot different from a sensible wx standpoint...that 1C mattered a lot for a good chunk of the storm. 

The pattern looks a bit colder anyway even if you adjust for climo. Not a good pattern to try and get a phased nuke....but these northern stream impulses can sometimes produce pretty nicely for us if we can get one of them to line up. 

TBH, that isn't the ideal route to a high-end month east of ORH in December, anyway.

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Please don't Dec 89 us ugh 

That was brutal

[ineedsnow]

Kind of looks like the NAM.and ICON are trying to Norlun us sat afternoon? 

[CoastalWx]

24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I can take getting ram rodded in the shed . It happens with wx and I get it. Usually I find some way to get at least some snow or ice here. 32 point something all day with rain . But this one spread both cheeks wide open , and inserted the weed whacker and then turned it on. 

I’m dying. 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m dying. 

Lol

[ineedsnow]

Reggie also

[HoarfrostHubb]

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Kind of looks like the NAM.and ICON are trying to Norlun us sat afternoon? 

It's been hinted at... but good luck with it.  One of Ray's fraud 5 I think

[CoastalWx]

Hinted on most guidance. Maybe an inch or so. Borderline in ern areas. 

[Kitz Craver]

We don’t need blockbusters, let’s just try and keep it festive for all moving towards Christmas. Compared to recent Holiday periods, that would be a win

[Damage In Tolland]

I’ll take that . Please happen . 1-3” 

[CoastalWx]

I like the two snow events modeled in VA and NC through day 5.  Where’s that weed whacker?

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’ll take that . Please happen . 1-3” 

Hope for an inch 

[weatherwiz]

I wish the program I was in had a winter forecasting class, that would be epic. They had a severe weather forecasting class so not sure why no winter weather. Whenever I look outside and see snow on the ground or snowing I feel all wintry and that's when I enjoy the cold. Makes me want to winter and do more winter forecasting. 

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hope for an inch 

It wouldn’t be shocking to see this beef up a bit more as we get closer. We’ve seen these do that where you have an offshore storm and a N stream coming in 

[Typhoon Tip]

21 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I wish the program I was in had a winter forecasting class, that would be epic. They had a severe weather forecasting class so not sure why no winter weather. Whenever I look outside and see snow on the ground or snowing I feel all wintry and that's when I enjoy the cold. Makes me want to winter and do more winter forecasting. 

Nah...they'd hit at a tone of climate for modulation and correction aspects, a lot of which are no longer valid because ... heh, the climate (isn't) changing -

wah wah wahhhh

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It wouldn’t be shocking to see this beef up a bit more as we get closer. We’ve seen these do that where you have an offshore storm and a N stream coming in 

All the 12z models have it so far.. looks like 1 to 2 if we get anything.. but we have also seen them before up or disappear

[weatherwiz]

6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Nah...they'd hit at a tone of climate for modulation and correction aspects, a lot of which is no longer valid because ... heh, the climate (isn't) changing -

wah wah wahhhh

One of the courses I have to do is a climate change course (well I think its an elective but I'm going to take it). Looking forward to that. Haven't read the info on it yet though so not exactly sure what would be covered. 

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

All the 12z models have it so far.. looks like 1 to 2 if we get anything.. but we have also seen them before up or disappear

The last 5 years or so most vanished. Prior to that they’d happen . Time to turn the tables 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The last 5 years or so most vanished. Prior to that they’d happen . Time to turn the tables 

Could easily be Bills Mafia slammed through the tables like last 4 years.

[Kitz Craver]

26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I like the two snow events modeled in VA and NC through day 5.  Where’s that weed whacker?

Nice HP, too nice. Lol

[Cold Miser]

Bone chilling cold and sh*t brown grass this week.  

I always love that combination, but it's definitely better with strong wind gusts added in for good measure. 

[dendrite]

Reggie looks interesting with the norlun right up through here.

You can see the col at H92 moving eastward south of LI and the inv trof moving W to E through the region. Of course that’s lalaland for these things.

[SouthCoastMA]

Clipper through Stowe then a warmup on the GFS OP. Let's trend that south a bit.

CMC looks different but it's all a crapshoot

 

[Cold Miser]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I can take getting ram rodded in the shed . It happens with wx and I get it. Usually I find some way to get at least some snow or ice here. 32 point something all day with rain . But this one spread both cheeks wide open , and inserted the weed whacker and then turned it on. 

This imagery will take days, maybe weeks to exit my psyche... right up to the scheduled Grinch Storm Christmas week. 

[Layman]

3 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

Bone chilling cold and sh*t brown grass this week.  

I always love that combination, but it's definitely better with strong wind gusts added in for good measure. 

Sounds like @Damage In Tolland may have stopped over with his seriously abused weed whacker.