December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[SouthCoastMA]

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s still a decent look for one or two things to break right. But I do think we have a mid month torch before we reset. It’s nothing abnormal. It’s a typical process.

Best chance seems to be a redeveloping clipper around 12/11..but far to go on that one. Then hopefully we are looking at a few more chances post 12/18 after the huge cutter/warmup mid month. Better then than on 12/24, but never a good idea to rule out a grincher. 

[Kitz Craver]

5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I truthfully don’t really see anything interesting for SNE through mid month. Sure something small could pop, but it looks like we wait until late month 

Yup, these are my thoughts. Nothing imminent 

[Kitz Craver]

Actually you know that cutter is la-la locked up. Cash that check.

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I truthfully don’t really see anything interesting for SNE through mid month. Sure something small could pop, but it looks like we wait until late month 

So if an op run showed a snow storm you’d buy it?

[Kitz Craver]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

So if an op run showed a snow storm you’d buy it?

Nope. We’ve learned that lesson.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

So if an op run showed a snow storm you’d buy it?

Nope. Ensembles are rather tepid for anything to.

I’ll believe it when I see it with regards to snow. Maybe that’s childish, but whatever. We’ve found every way to fail over the last couple years and today’s event is an extension of that.

Hope I’m wrong, but I’d bet most are waiting until around or after the holidays for snow.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Nope. Ensembles are rather tepid for anything to.

I’ll believe it when I see it with regards to snow. Maybe that’s childish, but whatever. We’ve found every way to fail over the last couple years and today’s event is an extension of that.

Hope I’m wrong, but I’d bet most are waiting until around or after the holidays for snow.

Today is early in the season has nothing to do with previous Winters. I definitely see some opportunities whether they work out or not I don’t know obviously.

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Today is early in the season has nothing to do with previous Winters. I definitely see some opportunities whether they work out or not I don’t know obviously.

Whoa, whoa, whoa, so you are saying we just don’t know?

[WinterWolf]

21 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I truthfully don’t really see anything interesting for SNE through mid month. Sure something small could pop, but it looks like we wait until late month 

This is Shocking Brett. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

Whoa, whoa, whoa, so you are saying we just don’t know?

Thank you. 

[WinterWolf]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

So if an op run showed a snow storm you’d buy it?

He’d be giddy inside.

[WinterWolf]

44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah we reset. 

The reset (if real) is two weeks away. Lots will change between now and then. 

[SouthCoastMA]

The ensembles have a pretty strong signal on Day 9/10. Whether that pans out positively for SNE is the WinterWolf question of the day. We just don't know. 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, Kitz Craver said:

Sure more cold around, but not much to show for it on last nights model runs. Either OTS underneath or keeps SNE right on the R/S edge. Not the greatest 

At least we’re in the target area…that will change over the days..there will be chances. If we can’t cash in…it’s just bad ju-ju. And that’s that. 

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Nope. Ensembles are rather tepid for anything to.

I’ll believe it when I see it with regards to snow. Maybe that’s childish, but whatever. We’ve found every way to fail over the last couple years and today’s event is an extension of that.

Hope I’m wrong, but I’d bet most are waiting until around or after the holidays for snow.

Why do you think December gets less snow on average than March…especially on the/close to the coast in SNE. 

[SouthCoastMA]

16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Why do you think December gets less snow on average than March…especially on the/close to the coast in SNE. 

I would easily trade any snow before 12/21 if it meant we get some snow around the holidays. I usually punt most of December, especially after the last several years. Its all about the SST's here, unless you have a frigid antecedent airmass in place or a perfect thread the needle situation. 

[ORH_wxman]

Clipper/redeveloper sig is definitely there on EPS

 

 

[moneypitmike]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Clipper/redeveloper sig is definitely there on EPS

 

 

The ever reliable EC (I know.....you're showing the eps).

[moneypitmike]

Looks like my neighbor waited one day too many to haul his dock out.  

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Clipper/redeveloper sig is definitely there on EPS

 

 

That’s the period I’m hoping for 

[moneypitmike]

16 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Looks like my neighbor waited one day too many to haul his dock out.  

Getting it done.  

 

[H2Otown_WX]

16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That’s the period I’m hoping for 

Only 32 runs to go 

[Snowcrazed71]

42 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Only 32 runs to go 

I know, it's like holding our breath every time we have a new possibility. And as we know with today's event, things aren't set in stone. Even 24 hours before. Fingers are crossed for a good Snow event for all!

[MJO812]

Gfs interesting for next week

[Sey-Mour Snow]

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs interesting for next week

This board would go up into flames if that verified (especially those that don’t get snow today) 

[MJO812]

20 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

This board would go up into flames if that verified (especially those that don’t get snow today) 

Sloppy phase

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Regardless GFS has 3 systems Monday Wednesday Friday this week, let’s get one of those to phase be a NJ redeveloper

[Chrisrotary12]

2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

Clipper/redeveloper sig is definitely there on EPS

 

 

I haven’t looked at this one but your post prompted the question we ask like every year…. When was our last northern stream nuke?

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

I haven’t looked at this one but your post prompted the question we ask like every year…. When was our last northern stream nuke?

A little clipper redeveloper nuke? Jeez, its been years. Xmas morning 2017? Lol. We did have a little blow-up system on 2/7/21 (super bowl sunday storm that year....best band was CT over to E and SE MA)...not quite the same look, but maybe we could count it.