December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[SouthCoastMA]

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s still a decent look for one or two things to break right. But I do think we have a mid month torch before we reset. It’s nothing abnormal. It’s a typical process.

Best chance seems to be a redeveloping clipper around 12/11..but far to go on that one. Then hopefully we are looking at a few more chances post 12/18 after the huge cutter/warmup mid month. Better then than on 12/24, but never a good idea to rule out a grincher. 

[Kitz Craver]

5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I truthfully don’t really see anything interesting for SNE through mid month. Sure something small could pop, but it looks like we wait until late month 

Yup, these are my thoughts. Nothing imminent 

[Kitz Craver]

Actually you know that cutter is la-la locked up. Cash that check.

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I truthfully don’t really see anything interesting for SNE through mid month. Sure something small could pop, but it looks like we wait until late month 

So if an op run showed a snow storm you’d buy it?

[Kitz Craver]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

So if an op run showed a snow storm you’d buy it?

Nope. We’ve learned that lesson.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

So if an op run showed a snow storm you’d buy it?

Nope. Ensembles are rather tepid for anything to.

I’ll believe it when I see it with regards to snow. Maybe that’s childish, but whatever. We’ve found every way to fail over the last couple years and today’s event is an extension of that.

Hope I’m wrong, but I’d bet most are waiting until around or after the holidays for snow.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Nope. Ensembles are rather tepid for anything to.

I’ll believe it when I see it with regards to snow. Maybe that’s childish, but whatever. We’ve found every way to fail over the last couple years and today’s event is an extension of that.

Hope I’m wrong, but I’d bet most are waiting until around or after the holidays for snow.

Today is early in the season has nothing to do with previous Winters. I definitely see some opportunities whether they work out or not I don’t know obviously.

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Today is early in the season has nothing to do with previous Winters. I definitely see some opportunities whether they work out or not I don’t know obviously.

Whoa, whoa, whoa, so you are saying we just don’t know?

[WinterWolf]

21 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I truthfully don’t really see anything interesting for SNE through mid month. Sure something small could pop, but it looks like we wait until late month 

This is Shocking Brett. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

Whoa, whoa, whoa, so you are saying we just don’t know?

Thank you. 

[WinterWolf]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

So if an op run showed a snow storm you’d buy it?

He’d be giddy inside.

[WinterWolf]

44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah we reset. 

The reset (if real) is two weeks away. Lots will change between now and then. 

[SouthCoastMA]

The ensembles have a pretty strong signal on Day 9/10. Whether that pans out positively for SNE is the WinterWolf question of the day. We just don't know. 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, Kitz Craver said:

Sure more cold around, but not much to show for it on last nights model runs. Either OTS underneath or keeps SNE right on the R/S edge. Not the greatest 

At least we’re in the target area…that will change over the days..there will be chances. If we can’t cash in…it’s just bad ju-ju. And that’s that. 

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Nope. Ensembles are rather tepid for anything to.

I’ll believe it when I see it with regards to snow. Maybe that’s childish, but whatever. We’ve found every way to fail over the last couple years and today’s event is an extension of that.

Hope I’m wrong, but I’d bet most are waiting until around or after the holidays for snow.

Why do you think December gets less snow on average than March…especially on the/close to the coast in SNE. 

[SouthCoastMA]

16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Why do you think December gets less snow on average than March…especially on the/close to the coast in SNE. 

I would easily trade any snow before 12/21 if it meant we get some snow around the holidays. I usually punt most of December, especially after the last several years. Its all about the SST's here, unless you have a frigid antecedent airmass in place or a perfect thread the needle situation.