December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[ORH_wxman]

I can’t believe Euro AI is still almost a whiff. What a dumb model. 

[dendrite]

Scoot is already down for the count and I have 0.1”

[dryslot]

Looks like the mean ticked a bit west of 0z on the EPS.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

Looking at that you’d think we’d all be slapping weenies, damn

I think interior SNE will get some decent snow. Interior CT in that I-84 stretch might have some issues at 925 but we’ll see how hard that pushes inland. Lot of variation on guidance. 

[dendrite]

Goofus AI looked better

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Looking at that you’d think we’d all be slapping weenies, damn

Early season and retreating high. A month from now would be different.

[SouthCoastMA]

retreating highs and marginal antecedent airmass is a theme of the last several years. makes it an easy call along the coast at least 

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Goofus AI looked better

Lol at H85 though

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Scoot is already down for the count and I have 0.1”

Will may be right. SNE is Dec 2007 NYC. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dendrite said:

Lol at H85 though

Let’s do it 

[CoastalWx]

At least the posts from NYC police cruisers have stopped. 

[Damage In Tolland]

48 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not the best for CT with those temps.

So nothing here ? Just f’ing great 

[Kitz Craver]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Lol at H85 though

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

At least the posts from NYC police cruisers have stopped. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So nothing here ? Just f’ing great 

You’ll get something. You’re close

to your favorite type. All Paste.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

You’ll get something. You’re close

to your favorite type. All Paste.

And close to an MLK disaster part deux .All anger 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So nothing here ? Just f’ing great 

We need a 50 mile south tic, can easily go either way.  I’d wager the tics go north though, we shall see, still have 48 hours til confidence really goes up in the track. 

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So nothing here ? Just f’ing great 

If current guidance is very close to reality, I’d prob put you around 50/50 for warning snow. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And close to an MLK disaster part deux .All anger 

At least the Cowboys won?

[moneypitmike]

25 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

06z eps

 

 

a lot of eastern lean there.  hopefully it will have enough moisture for the northern crowd.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

a lot of eastern lean there.  hopefully it will have enough moisture for the northern crowd.

You’re fine. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

You’re welcome in advance. 
 

[CoastalWx]

18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I can’t believe Euro AI is still almost a whiff. What a dumb model. 

I’m hoping in one of these events it has a clue because I’m curious to see how it performs with mesoscale details like CAD etc.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

a lot of eastern lean there.  hopefully it will have enough moisture for the northern crowd.

Euro has been ticking west

[weatherwiz]

I see the 6z GFS (at least) briefly get a double barrel low going. Tired of seeing those

[UnitedWx]

36 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

 

Move that precip 50 to 100 miles northwest,  seems more likely 

[dendrite]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I’m hoping in one of these events it has a clue because I’m curious to see how it performs with mesoscale details like CAD etc.

It always looks like it has 1996 resolution. 

[CoastalWx]

At least it ends as snow here. Would be nice to grab an inch. 

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And close to an MLK disaster part deux .All anger 

Scott being near the water in early Dec with any east wind is toast. But we will have to suffer through his angst. You on the other hand just can't help but being Nelly the Naysayer. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dendrite said:

It always looks like it has 1996 resolution. 

I know. Don’t think it’s a vendor issue either.