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December 2025 OBS and Discussion


wdrag
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2 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said:

We spiked to 48.4 at 9:40 am and are down 2 degrees since. That's been happening a lot recently with the max, or at least a secondary max before 10am.  I have no explanation for why.  I noticed the same on a couple of other local sensors.

Made it to 49° here with the MOS and raw guidance forecast for low 40s. Noticed the MOS from several days ago was around 50° but it shifted colder. Models often underestimate highs with sunny and windy downslope flow and the cold air lagging frontal passage.

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Eps again was too torchy in the long range.  Take the long range with a grain of salt. 
 
 
 
New run is colder
IMG_20251221_140715.thumb.jpg.c5f638d15e750d3da828a843dfc769f5.jpg

Honest question, why does everyone lose their minds with long range models (no matter that they show), when they’re just going to change anyway? It’s a seasonal tradition.


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8 minutes ago, North and West said:


Honest question, why does everyone lose their minds with long range models (no matter that they show), when they’re just going to change anyway? It’s a seasonal tradition.


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Yep

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