November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, Heisy said:

I’m actually seeing a bit of a signal for around the 30th, especially for interior.

Way out in time, but a bunch of EPS members had it.

18z OP GFS has a front clearing around the 28th with HP building behind and energy organizing down S.




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Big interior snowstorm 

[Damage In Tolland]

AIF’s are cold and dry for that . OTS 

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

AIF’s are cold and dry for that . OTS 

Good place for it at 11days out…if its even real. 

[Typhoon Tip]

32 minutes ago, Heisy said:

I’m actually seeing a bit of a signal for around the 30th, especially for interior.

Way out in time, but a bunch of EPS members had it.

18z OP GFS has a front clearing around the 28th with HP building behind and energy organizing down S.

Likely too early in the Ridge beat down progression for the coastal plain, but I’d keep an eye out on this time period for interior/W NY region




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It's more the 29th ... but yeah.  It's too low confidence to know about track and amplitude - the latter's probably too strong in this run though.  Might be the first multi-region/full synoptic event of the season; don't need it to be heading for the 980s in order to do it.  This is open wave NJ model low. They can bomb so we can't through the idea away entirely, but given to the progressive nature ... a middling system fits better. 

[H2Otown_WX]

17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It's more the 29th ... but yeah.  It's too low confidence to know about track and amplitude - the latter's probably too strong in this run though.  Might be the first multi-region/full synoptic event of the season; don't need it to be heading for the 980s in order to do it.  This is open wave NJ model low. They can bomb so we can't through the idea away entirely, but given to the progressive nature ... a middling system fits better. 

Do you think there could be a wave spacing issue given the signal for something in the Tuesday/Wednesday timeframe next week? I guess that should be enough to let Saturday do its thing but it's a little close I'd say. Will probably come down to what that midweek piece of energy does.