November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, Heisy said:

I’m actually seeing a bit of a signal for around the 30th, especially for interior.

Way out in time, but a bunch of EPS members had it.

18z OP GFS has a front clearing around the 28th with HP building behind and energy organizing down S.




.

Big interior snowstorm 

[Damage In Tolland]

AIF’s are cold and dry for that . OTS 

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

AIF’s are cold and dry for that . OTS 

Good place for it at 11days out…if its even real. 

[Typhoon Tip]

32 minutes ago, Heisy said:

I’m actually seeing a bit of a signal for around the 30th, especially for interior.

Way out in time, but a bunch of EPS members had it.

18z OP GFS has a front clearing around the 28th with HP building behind and energy organizing down S.

Likely too early in the Ridge beat down progression for the coastal plain, but I’d keep an eye out on this time period for interior/W NY region




.

It's more the 29th ... but yeah.  It's too low confidence to know about track and amplitude - the latter's probably too strong in this run though.  Might be the first multi-region/full synoptic event of the season; don't need it to be heading for the 980s in order to do it.  This is open wave NJ model low. They can bomb so we can't through the idea away entirely, but given to the progressive nature ... a middling system fits better. 

[H2Otown_WX]

17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It's more the 29th ... but yeah.  It's too low confidence to know about track and amplitude - the latter's probably too strong in this run though.  Might be the first multi-region/full synoptic event of the season; don't need it to be heading for the 980s in order to do it.  This is open wave NJ model low. They can bomb so we can't through the idea away entirely, but given to the progressive nature ... a middling system fits better. 

Do you think there could be a wave spacing issue given the signal for something in the Tuesday/Wednesday timeframe next week? I guess that should be enough to let Saturday do its thing but it's a little close I'd say. Will probably come down to what that midweek piece of energy does.

[dendrite]

I’m scared 

https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/19/weather/polar-vortex-cold-snowy-december-stratosphere

[MJO812]

15 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I’m scared 

https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/19/weather/polar-vortex-cold-snowy-december-stratosphere

Judah Cohen says get ready

[kdxken]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Judah Cohen says get ready

Everyone is saying it. Probably be a colossal bust.

[WinterWolf]

8 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Everyone is saying it. Probably be a colossal bust.

Right…-that’s what usually happens when they hype stuff.  It’ll spill into Siberia or Europe somewhere probably, and we get nada. 

[WinterWolf]

16 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Judah Cohen says get ready

He’s a hype guy though..so take with a grain of salt. 

[Damage In Tolland]

25 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Judah Cohen says get ready

Judas Priest 

[dendrite]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Judas Priest 

Return of the Judi

[Torch Tiger]

We're on the hype train...bottoms up

[weathafella]

Too much emphasis and living and dying with  the possibility of a SSW event.  Tip pretty much put it in perspective when he reminded us to keep your eye on 50,000 feet lower-H5 with his reference to the epo/wpo.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Return of the Judi

Luke Cohen Skywalker…? 

[dendrite]

What will we get first?

Epstein files
GTA6
Consequential SSW

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Luke Cohen Skywalker…? 

Scoot: “Judah…I am your daddy”

[dendrite]

Anyway…we’ll see. We all know these get a little overhyped before they start propagating down to the lower strat. As always, give me a decent pack before the arctic hounds arrive  

Looks like another chilly one tonight. Should be a lot of low 20s in CNE. 

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Scoot: “Judah…I am your daddy”

ObiWon never told Judah what happened to his father…Scoots is your father. 

[Typhoon Tip]

19 minutes ago, dendrite said:

What will we get first?

Epstein files
GTA6
Consequential SSW

I don’t understand what the big deal is with the Epstein files anyway… you’re not gonna be seeing the real ones anyway. 

The only reason why there’s any kind of impetus to release those files finally is because they’re finally done redacting them – obviously

[Typhoon Tip]

2 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Do you think there could be a wave spacing issue given the signal for something in the Tuesday/Wednesday timeframe next week? I guess that should be enough to let Saturday do its thing but it's a little close I'd say. Will probably come down to what that midweek piece of energy does.

That’s always possible in fast flow but those look spaced reasonably well. It also helps that they’re both flat waves and probably more middling intensity

[Typhoon Tip]

26 here already 

[dryslot]

30 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Anyway…we’ll see. We all know these get a little overhyped before they start propagating down to the lower strat. As always, give me a decent pack before the arctic hounds arrive  

Looks like another chilly one tonight. Should be a lot of low 20s in CNE. 

Teens again here, 25.3°F currently.

[kdxken]

 

[kdxken]

Just now, dryslot said:

Teens again here.

You shouldn't be wasting your time on the weatherboard. Get out on your stand. Sunrise isn't that far off.

[weathafella]

4 minutes ago, kdxken said:

You shouldn't be wasting your time on the weatherboard. Get out on your stand. Sunrise isn't that far off.

It’s pretty far off.  Time to move past July.

[dryslot]

Just now, kdxken said:

You shouldn't be wasting your time on the weatherboard. Get out on your stand. Sunrise isn't that far off.

I will be there by 5:45 in the morning, Just had another buck 20 mins ago on cam 2 heading to the fields where cam 1 is that had 3 deer on it in 43 mins from 6:08-6:51 am heading out at dawn this morning to go to there bedding area.

[weatherwiz]

The sky is so clear. Couldn’t get this for the big aurora show???