bncho Posted November 16 Author Share Posted November 16 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z 12K NAM we're so cooked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted November 16 Author Share Posted November 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted November 17 Author Share Posted November 17 12z Euro was nice. Temps are around 32-35 so rain/snow mix. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 WB 18Z AI EPS: first threat of the season in early December? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted November 18 Author Share Posted November 18 6" of snow in December? I don't buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 5 minutes ago, bncho said: 6" of snow in December? I don't buy it. Do extended products use average climo? Like isn’t this showing only slightly above-average chance of snow? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 37 minutes ago, bncho said: 6" of snow in December? I don't buy it. Co-sign. Would be amazing and one of the better starts to winter of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted November 18 Author Share Posted November 18 13 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Co-sign. Would be amazing and one of the better starts to winter of late. i would love it, though. maybe we can sneak in a few 1-3 and 3-5 events in mid-late December to put us up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 3 minutes ago, bncho said: i would love it, though. maybe we can sneak in a few 1-3 and 3-5 events in mid-late December to put us up there. I'm fine with saving our best pattern for after Dec 15th. A regionwide, 1" - 3" Dec 5th cartopper would be sweet, but I'm all about Christmas snow, ESPECIALLY if it falls Christmas Day and then we just go vodka cold through January. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 3 hours ago, bncho said: 6" of snow in December? I don't buy it. That's the Average December Snowfall 40 Year's ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 1 hour ago, Daniel Boone said: That's the Average December Snowfall 40 Year's ago. It's only a thousand hours out... How wrong could it be lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 5 hours ago, bncho said: 6" of snow in December? I don't buy it. A model 1100 hours out is as reliable as the Jets are at winning lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Tuesday at 11:30 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:30 PM 6 hours ago, bncho said: 6" of snow in December? I don't buy it. The companion maps, Eps weekly snow anomalies, from Pivotal have it likely falling the last 2 full weeks of December ending on the 29th fwiw. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Wednesday at 01:43 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 01:43 PM 6z GFS is right where we want it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted Wednesday at 04:11 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:11 PM 2 hours ago, bncho said: 6z GFS is right where we want it? That low for 12/5 needs to be in the Florida Keys at this point for me to take it serious at this range on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Thursday at 02:38 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 02:38 AM December will be ROCKING! Prepare NOW! 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Thursday at 11:32 AM Share Posted Thursday at 11:32 AM 0z Euro Thanksgiving weekend. Kuchie is a little less, but it's not like we're dealing with reality, so... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Thursday at 12:11 PM Share Posted Thursday at 12:11 PM My cherry tree canceled winter.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Thursday at 12:14 PM Share Posted Thursday at 12:14 PM WB 6Z AI ensemble....lock in our 1-50 chance for a post Thanksgiving blizzard. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted Thursday at 01:16 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:16 PM 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z AI ensemble....lock in our 1-50 chance for a post Thanksgiving blizzard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Friday at 02:59 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:59 AM 14 hours ago, Weather Will said: My cherry tree canceled winter.... I've seen a couple of those and don't know why. We haven't really had any blowtorches recently and the last couple weeks had 2-3 mornings that were below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago No idea if it is any good at all, but 12z euro AI ensemble mean snow is 2-3” through the metro area through D15. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: No idea if it is any good at all, but 12z euro AI ensemble mean snow is 2-3” through the metro area through D15. It falls at the end of the run. It takes a slp system far enough to our west and a cold High in Quebec doesn't budge as it goes to our west and weakens. Cold air holds on and probably ends as drizzle or -rn. For those old enough to remember, Thanksgiving Sunday night into Monday morning 1978 had a similar setup and dropped 3.5+" around BWI and IAD. DCA was closer to 2" I think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 40 minutes ago, mitchnick said: It falls at the end of the run. It takes a slp system far enough to our west and a cold High in Quebec doesn't budge as it goes to our west and weakens. Cold air holds on and probably ends as drizzle or -rn. For those old enough to remember, Thanksgiving Sunday night into Monday morning 1978 had a similar setup and dropped 3.5+" around BWI and IAD. DCA was closer to 2" I think. Is that the Op you’re talking about? I saw the ensemble mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 48 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Is that the Op you’re talking about? I saw the ensemble mean. Yes, Op now that I look at it. I thought it was the ensembles on Pivotal. Too any models, and I never thought that would ever come out of this weenie little mind of mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Oh yeah 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 59 minutes ago Share Posted 59 minutes ago 3 hours ago, WxUSAF said: No idea if it is any good at all, but 12z euro AI ensemble mean snow is 2-3” through the metro area through D15. Shot around the 2nd and shot around 6th is how it gets there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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