October 2025 Discussion and Obs

[SACRUS]

1 hour ago, psv88 said:

Yea that mostly sunny forecast is a bust

Even partly cloudy forecasts are not materializing.   I did see mostly sunny and still see that for this area of NJ.

[FPizz]

51 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Even partly cloudy forecasts are not materializing.   I did see mostly sunny and still see that for this area of NJ.

Yeah, cloudy with a few breaks of sun has been more like it.

[Dark Star]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

Even partly cloudy forecasts are not materializing.   I did see mostly sunny and still see that for this area of NJ.

Sunny now...

[Brian5671]

wind kicking up here with partly sunny now 65 degrees

[Stormlover74]

5 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Gfs and euro both have a decent amount of rain on Monday 

Welp they've already lost most of the rain

[psv88]

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

Welp they've already lost most of the rain

We don’t need more rain…

[uofmiami]

18 minutes ago, psv88 said:

We don’t need more rain…

We all need more rain but I'd prefer if we'd dry out from the latest rainfall along the coastal areas.  Further inland could definitely use some rain, as they missed out on the Nor'easter.

[mgerb]

1 hour ago, psv88 said:

We don’t need more rain…

Some of us definitely do. 

[psv88]

33 minutes ago, mgerb said:

Some of us definitely do. 

Didn’t realize NJ was so dry 

[FPizz]

37 minutes ago, mgerb said:

Some of us definitely do. 

I didn't really rain too much with the Nor'Easter in the D1 and D2 shades to make a dent.  

[Brian5671]

As Walt Drag noted above, blocking continues so expect some more storms and rains...definitely not like last year's bone dry fall

[Sundog]

6 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

The normals aren't simple arithmetic averages. In fact, with the 1991-2020 normals, it looks like they were piloting some sort of new method of calculating them in Ohio, where the normals are significantly above the means.

This is especially prevalent at Toledo, where the normal is an unbelievable 1.9F above the calculated mean. It appears to be a new methodology to factor in the warming trend, so more months are near or below average, instead of exclusively above average. Because of this change, even a "normal" year would be among the warmest ever recorded at Toledo. Just another way for them to hide the incline, I guess. 

 

 

I don't understand what you're saying. How can a 30 year normal be anything other than the average of the previous 30 years of temperatures?