October 2025 Discussion and Obs

[Sundog]

11 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

felt like a november morning when i stepped outside my hands were freezing..

Any frostbite?

[winterwarlock]

Really not all that chilly today. Full sun rely keeps things from being cool

[psv88]

68 now. Pleasant 

[bluewave]

58 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

It just seems more like it was when I grew up, which is fine and great to reduce my allergies and the bug population.

A lot of rain can be much more damaging to agriculture and gardening than too little rain.  

This dryness up here this summer with only 4.99” and the record heat was similar to the 2022 and 1999 back on Long Island. 
 

Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2000	3.02	65
2	1966	4.15	0
3	2022	4.29	0
4	2017	4.76	3
5	2025	4.99	0

 

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1999	4.00	63
2	2010	4.15	0
3	2022	4.68	1
4	2016	6.68	2
5	2005	6.92	0

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1966	3.89	0
2	2022	5.20	0
3	1999	5.56	0
4	1965	5.68	0
5	1993	5.71	0

 

[steve392]

48 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Keep this pattern going and it will be a different story for the reservoirs come Spring.  Not saying pattern will persist but a drier than normal pattern for Winter is not out of the question.  And I 100% agree if you have ag or garden / landscaping interests this pattern is not enjoyable.

Reservoirs here in NJ are already getting very very low.

[FPizz]

23 minutes ago, steve392 said:

Reservoirs here in NJ are already getting very very low.

[MANDA]

25 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Yes, this is what I mean.  Keep the dry pattern going through Winter and come Spring we will be significantly below normal.  Long ways to go but pattern has been rather persistent.  If we get lots of suppression from high pressure to our north as we move through Fall and Winter it will keep the dry pattern going.  Very possible.

[winterwx21]

70 degrees here and not a cloud in the sky. Great way to start October. I'm leaving right now for bow hunting for the first time this season. Perfect weather for it. 

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

This dryness up here this summer with only 4.99” and the record heat was similar to the 2022 and 1999 back on Long Island. 
 

Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2000	3.02	65
2	1966	4.15	0
3	2022	4.29	0
4	2017	4.76	3
5	2025	4.99	0

 

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1999	4.00	63
2	2010	4.15	0
3	2022	4.68	1
4	2016	6.68	2
5	2005	6.92	0

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1966	3.89	0
2	2022	5.20	0
3	1999	5.56	0
4	1965	5.68	0
5	1993	5.71	0

 

2022 wasn't that hot though 1999 definitely was, I have great memories of that wonderful summer!!

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

This dryness up here this summer with only 4.99” and the record heat was similar to the 2022 and 1999 back on Long Island. 
 

Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2000	3.02	65
2	1966	4.15	0
3	2022	4.29	0
4	2017	4.76	3
5	2025	4.99	0

 

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1999	4.00	63
2	2010	4.15	0
3	2022	4.68	1
4	2016	6.68	2
5	2005	6.92	0

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1966	3.89	0
2	2022	5.20	0
3	1999	5.56	0
4	1965	5.68	0
5	1993	5.71	0

 

Three of my favorite summers in this list-- 1966, 1999, 1993.

Why not 2002?

2022 was not hot in any memorable way though.

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, winterwarlock said:

Really not all that chilly today. Full sun rely keeps things from being cool

the wind made it bad but now it's good 

no more wind

[donsutherland1]

October commenced with the arrival of the coolest air mass so far this season. After another very cool day tomorrow, temperatures will quickly moderate, rising to above normal levels by the weekend as an air mass that will challenge or break records in parts of the Upper Midwest moves eastward.

Tomorrow will be the coolest day. High temperatures will reach only the middle 60s tomorrow. New York City will see the low temperature bottom out in the lower 50s. Outside the City, widespread 40s are likely. A few of the colder locations could see the temperature bottom out in the 30s.

A rapid warmup will commence on Friday and a warm weekend lies ahead.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around September 24. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.12°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.42°C. La Niña conditions will likely develop during mid- or late-autumn.

The SOI was +13.60 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.387 today. 

 

[winterwarlock]

73 today and its looking like a late August beach weekend.  Couldnt buy a decent beach weekend for about the first 6 weeks of the season but here we are now